obe wan
Regular
Yes this has always been my view; I always expected Chinese or others to make a move on AVZ and for them to come in quickly , after they waited for AVZ to take the risk and go through the hurdles in getting the ML; once ML was in hand then it was who‘s quickest off the picket fence.If and when this current shitshow ends there will be a stream of takeover offers IMO. I want us to go mining but I can’t see us getting that far.
I suspect Zijin and all other interest parties expected the same thing; however Zijin / CAMI and co have likely caused the other potential movers to climb back on to the fence whilst this shit is worked out ; however Zijin , affiliates & crook friend likely using this mess to stitch up AVZ.
Should AVZ manage to come out of this , I think Zijin are cooked and will get not a thing even with regard to offtakes ; I’m sure Nigel would tell them to jog on ; but I’d suspect that we’d have offers tabled pretty soon after ML stamped.
heard a couple of times in the past the number of $5bUS mentioned and being the figure that interest would only start to agitate at; since then more drillings has taken place with massive intercepts to firm up more Jorc tonnage and this to the south alone ; it’s unfortunate that we are going through this mess , other lithium plays would be loving it as they rush through into production , even happy to just knock out DSO whilst Dathcom/AVZ tries to shake of these dogs…
i somehow doubt AVZ are going to come out of this this totally intact .I.e. North and South ; 10% to government , ROFR accepted and taken up. I suspect higher percent at 15% to the government along with a few more frills ; ROFR % likely goes elsewhere ; hoping, as it should 13559 is granted to AVZ as a whole and the tailings fall within this granting. That or 80% of that and it’s red hot for TO advances ; north carved out and I think you have a few hmmm noises being made , as the north from that point would likely head into Chinese hands and those guys would just swamp infrastructure capacity leaving it difficult in the short / medium time for operators in carrier as they would likely have a grant of ML with a 10 page application passing through cami in record timing and boots on the ground before the rest