As usual - I agree with everything you have written here CatDog!I agree about Japan and Mitsui. I have always wondered what they would bring to the table outside of funding and potential relationships with Japanese OEMs/battery manufacturers. The situation has materially changed with the funding options now available to Talga and the focus on Europe so they're likely no longer required. I think it also made sense while Talga were refining their technology as I believe they were working closely with Japanese companies for the Talnode C and Talnode Si testing. Mark also mentioned that some of the manufacturing equipment suppliers were Japanese.
I also agree that Hong Kong is likely for the LTT/Foxconn relationship and maybe some chinese battery manufactuers. Hong Kong makes sense as a location for a corporate presence close to these partners. Purely speculation but as these chinese manufacturers scale globally, Talnode Si could easily be a drop in solution for their anode. With EU and US "green new deal" regulations I believe there are requirements for a certain percentage of the material to be sourced domestically. Talga could be a way for them to meet these requirements.
The Gen 3 comment was interesting and something I'll need to do some further research into. As I understand the graphite in Talnode Si is still used for lithiation. Mark made a comment about them investigating options for the graphite to be used as a "framework" for the silicon rather than for lithiation. I wonder if that's the gen 3 he's referring to and how it could revolutionise the the industry. I haven't got my head around it yet but will do some digging.
Last but not least, this is the first time I’ve heard MT state the revised capex of the project of up to $500m - i assume that’s USD for consistency.
Based on current exchange rate from Euro to USD, the 300m Euro loan from the EIB converts to US$320m. I’m also going to assume TLG is well placed to get the full amount now given all the rhetoric from the EU Commission that they want to give more funding not less to critical raw material projects! Talga has been able to position itself beautifully by being one of a few select companies showcased by the Swedish Gov’t/EU Commission at recent events and MT stating in the webinar they have been ‘educating’ the legislators on graphite!
Then add in Nordic Investment Bank, Swedish & Swiss Export credit agencies and possible customer offtake finance with ACC, and conservatively, I reckon Talga could easily get over the US$400m mark (approx 80% of total financing amount) leaving $100m (20%) via equity financing.
The level of dilution to us shareholders is now significantly minimised and enables us to enjoy more of the upside when production kicks in. Will be really interesting to see how this equity component is structured - at the project level or parent level and who they deem to be the most compatible partner that aligns with Talga’s vision.