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beserk

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Unfortunately a news item from SVT Sápmi yesterday discussed the possibility of protests and activism as a valid response in the ongoing Talma v Talga confrontation.

Specially in case the Swedish Land and Environmental Court decision, expected on April 5, goes against the primary interest of Talma reindeer owners. Moreover, in the report below the Chairman of Talma reindeer cooperative opines that you have to go to the Supreme court to get a definitive ruling. And that they have won two out of three Supreme court cases dealing with intrusion on 'their' reindeer grazing lands.

And naturally SVT Sápmi connected the Talga case with the recent debacle in the streets of Oslo and the presence of Greta Thunberg.


Screenshot_20230327_122302_Chrome.jpg


IMHO I'm afraid that there might be some way to go yet judging from the militant tone in the news report.

-beserk
 
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BigDog

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Should the permits go in Talga’s favour, I’d suggest some protesting and activism would be expected. However, and most importantly for Talga, if the permits are approved (caveat for any Conditions that may come with the approval) it is full steam ahead.
IMHO
 
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beserk

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Unfortunately a news item from SVT Sápmi yesterday discussed the possbility of protests and activism as valid response in the ongoing Talma v Talga confrontation.

Specially in case the Swedish Land and Environmental Court decision expected on April 5 goes against the primary interest of Talma reindeer owners. Moreover, in the report below the Chairman of Talma reindeer cooperative opines that you have to go to the Supreme court to get a definitive ruling. And that they have won two out of three cases dealing with intrusion on 'their' reindeer grazing lands.

And naturally SVT Sápmi connected the Talga case with the recent debacle in the streets of Oslo and the presence of Greta Thunberg.


View attachment 33037

IMHO I'm afraid there might be some way to go yet judging from the militant tone in the news report.

-beserk

The neighbouring Sami reindeer cooperative Girjas won a case in Swedish Supreme Court setting precedent in granting the reindeer owning Sami in Girjas exclusive fishing and hunting rights on 'their' land.

Talma is following the example set by Girjas and have filed a lawsuit against the State of Sweden challenging the right of anyone but bona fied Sami reindeer owners to fish or hunt on the grazing lands within the perview of Talma.


Screenshot_20230327_144804_Chrome.jpg


Note that this Supreme court ruling exclude the 90 % or so of Sami that don't own any reindeer. In Girjas this has created what I believe is an "upper class" of Sami directly involved in reindeer husbandry that continue their "traditional" ways of herding reindeer using mobile phones, gps tracking drones and noise and air polluting snow mobiles.

This exemplifies that the Talma Chairman is not afraid of taking cases to the Supreme Court and has got lawyers at his beck and call willing to contest the case in opposition to Talgas lawyers in this instance.


IMHO.E&EO.

-beserk
 
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cosors

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The neighbouring Same reindeer cooperative Girjas won a case in Swedish Supreme Court granting the reindeer owning Sami in Girjas exclusive fishing and hunting rights on 'their' land.

Talma is following the example set by Girjas and have filed a lawsuit against the Swedish Government challenging the right of any non-Sami reindeer owner to fish or hunt on the grazing lands within the perview of Talma.


View attachment 33043

Note that this Supreme court ruling exclude the 90 % or so of Sami that don't own any reindeer. In Girjas this has created what I believe an "upper class" of Sami that continue their "traditional" ways of herding reindeer using mobile phones, gps tracking drones and noise and air polluting snow mobiles.

This exemplifies that Talma Chairman is not afraid of taking cases to the Supreme Court and has got lawyers at his beck and call willing to run the case against Talga in this instance.


IMHO.E&EO.

-beserk
Yes from Dragon Mining I read the same thing with the reindeer industry and a rejection. We just need the better lawyer.)
Don't forget, it's of national interest and as well as of European interest. That was not the case here.
By the way, the nature conservancy is complaining that they are running out of people to handle all the cases against something and are soliciting more staff. So not only the authorities are overloaded but also their counterpart, the nature conservation. This is all insanity.

Sidenote:
Maybe you can guess now why I was so annoyed about Greta and her acting completely away from environmental protection the other day.
And as we can now guess it's about money and compensation payments.

...

But I'd rather take a step back until the decision is made.
 
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beserk

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According to this publication the price difference between synthetic v natural graphite has come down. I am not sure if the price for production of synthetic graphite fully captures the environmental impact of the production methods for synthetic graphite.

Screenshot_20230328_014957_LinkedIn.jpg


-,beserk
 
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Semmel

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According to this publication the price difference between synthetic v natural graphite has come down. I am not sure if the price for production of synthetic graphite fully captures the environmental impact of the production methods for synthetic graphite.

View attachment 33063

-,beserk

Interesting piece of information, thank you. It seems unlikely though that this is going to last with the supply crunch going on. Still, Talga will charge on a product performance basis and what the market would be willing to pay for the performance. That is only indirectly related to the production heritage.
 
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beserk

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Kungen på plats utanför museet • Tog sig tid att prata med Luleåbor • Bilkortege genom stan , ytterligare information : https://www.breaking7.com/NewDetails/82404869

King Carl XVI Gustaf is paying Luleå an official visit today. As he should.

What I reacted against is the presence of Sami children....from Talma and Kiruna.

A PR coup from our opponents timed to coincide with the announcement of the Land & Environmental court?

Kiruna is 340 km distance from Luleå and there are at least two other Sami villages closer to Luleå than Talma. The eastern most border of Talmas claimed cultural dominion is next to Njunisvarre or Nunasvaara. Still some 300 km km north west of Luleå and the Gulf of Bothnia..

A coincidence? Or a conspiracy theory?

I will ask my brother to investigate...

-beserk
 
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cosors

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Interesting piece of information, thank you. It seems unlikely though that this is going to last with the supply crunch going on. Still, Talga will charge on a product performance basis and what the market would be willing to pay for the performance. That is only indirectly related to the production heritage.
And note the price of electricity, which is not getting cheaper anywhere soon. Nobody has enough electricity, not even the Chinese who are building 250 new coal-fired power plants and 150 new coal mines. Not to speak of green electricity.
The tide will soon turn as often predicted and more NG than SG. Even BM has also predicted this, or not?
I am not worried about the competition, only about the meat industry.
 
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cosors

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Kungen på plats utanför museet • Tog sig tid att prata med Luleåbor • Bilkortege genom stan , ytterligare information : https://www.breaking7.com/NewDetails/82404869

King Carl XVI Gustaf is paying Luleå an official visit today. As he should.

What I reacted against is the presence of Sami children....from Talma and Kiruna.

A PR coup from our opponents timed to coincide with the announcement of the Land & Environmental court?

Kiruna is 340 km distance from Luleå and there are at least two other Sami villages closer to Luleå than Talma. The eastern most border of Talmas claimed cultural dominion is next to Njunisvarre or Nunasvaara. Still some 300 km km north west of Luleå and the Gulf of Bothnia..

A coincidence? Or a conspiracy theory?

I will ask my brother to investigate...

-beserk
Please ask him also how many reindeer are running around in Hertsönfältet. Because of my post in the permits thread.
 
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beserk

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Yes saw the reindeer run on the ice under the Bergnäset bridge where the 7 km ice skating track surrounding central Luleå was prepared last month. And the herd was followed by a Sami reindeer herder on a snow mobile.

I have never seen a herd of reindeer being driven under the bridge in the direction of Hertsön before in my life. Is this also a PR excercise to cast doubts over the wisdom in the decision on the location of the full scale EVA plant at Luleå industrial park in Hertsön?

Another "coincidence" or a conspiratory theory?

-beserk
 
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Semmel

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If reindeer are driven on the ice through the city, then it just shows that the Sami are using their rights in nefarious ways. This will ultimately undermine their trustworthiness, and their support in their cause. I support the Sami in their idea and goal to live as their ancestors, as one with nature. That's nothing i or most would want to take away. But doing this type of protesting is giving them short term satisfaction for long term harm in the support. Just my 2 pennies.
 
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cosors

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Yes saw the reindeer run on the ice under the Bergnäset bridge where the 7 km ice skating track surrounding central Luleå was prepared last month. And the herd was followed by a Sami reindeer herder on a snow mobile.

I have never seen a herd of reindeer being driven under the bridge in the direction of Hertsön before in my life. Is this also a PR excercise to cast doubts over the wisdom in the decision on the location of the full scale EVA plant at Luleå industrial park in Hertsön?

Another "coincidence" or a conspiratory theory?

-beserk
No, it's not a PR campaign. I just out of curiosity enter reindeer and Luelea in Google and thus found this image.

And so that I do not flood everything with posts: in the other thing with the registration with the court I will still wait a little and think. Maybe it's better if it actually runs centrally through you but maybe it's more comfortable for you if you're not the only one with this burden. I would like to think about it a bit more and then I would contact you directly via the personal chat.

Thanks for all your input! I appreciate it very much.
 
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beserk

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News flash! US Secretary of State Antony Blinken accompanied by EU heavies is visiting Luleå in the near future.

Screenshot_20230404_171844_Breaking News.jpg

Why Luleå? I am 99'% sure it has to do with the Swedish presidency of EU council. But why have Swedish Government chosen Luleå as a preferred meeting place?

1) Strategic position. Next to the border to Finland that today joined NATO. Blinken might be combining Luleå trip with visit to Finland. Sending a signal to Putin.

2) US IRA and EU CRM Act. Much of the focus of the Swedish Gov is for extraction and development of natural resources from Norrbotten of which Luleå is the provincial capital.

IMHO this is a golden opp for Talga to further talk up the world class high grade NG to be explored in Vittangi mining district (pending go ahead) and value added in Luleå.

Maybe Swedish Gov alredy has asked Talga AB in Luleå to contribute to proceedings of coming EU and US meeting together with LKAB, Northvolt etc?

Interesting times ahead when superpower conflict, US and EU federal legislation, and mining of natural resources geographically intersect in Luleå and Northern Sweden.

-beserk
 
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Apologies if this Fastmarket Report has already been posted

Graphite anode market: A rocky road, but brighter skies ahead​

Graphite market: key dynamics​

March 13, 2023
By the Fastmarkets team, Jon Stibbs, Sybil Pan
GraphiteBattery materialsElectric vehicles
China’s natural graphite anode market has been under pressure since capacity for synthetic graphite production rose in the second half of 2022, with cuts in the subsidy for electric vehicle (EV) purchases then hitting demand. But the market will revert to deficit in the second half of the year, according to Fastmarkets research.
Prices for spherical graphite (SPG) materials in China rose strongly from April 2021 to March 2022 in response to increased demand from the rapidly expanding electric vehicle (EV) market.
Graphite makes up the majority of the anode in EV lithium-ion batteries. Cellmakers can use natural active anode material (SPG) or synthetic graphite, or blend the two in their anodes.
The primary advantages that natural graphite anode material has over its synthetic equivalent are lower cost and its smaller carbon footprint, due to the large amount of electricity required to produce synthetic graphite.
After March 2022, however, the market stabilized before prices began to fall in June of that year when production capacity for synthetic graphite rose.
There is a strong correlation between prices for uncoated SPG (uSPG) and the graphitization costs for the production of synthetic graphite. The coating of SPG is the final step in producing active anode material.
Synthetic graphite has been the dominant material in anodes over the past five years and it leads the trends in price movements for uSPG.
“Graphitization costs and uSPG prices were at their highest in May and June 2022,” Fastmarkets research analyst Georgi Georgiev said. “Since then, graphitization costs have fallen by almost 50% and uSPG prices have followed, dropping by more than 28%.”
“In the longer term,” he added, “uSPG prices might become more autonomous, with sustainability factors shifting demand to natural graphite.”


EV subsidies cut impacts anode material market​

The Chinese government ended its subsidy system for EV purchases in January 2023, and this slashed demand for natural anode material in the immediate term, according to market sources, with consumers slowing their purchasing.
Output of EVs in China plunged by 46.6% month-on-month and by 6.9% year-on-year to 425,000 units in January 2023, while sales fell by 49.9% month-on-month and by 6.3% year-on-year to 408,000 units, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM).
As a result, the price for uSPG has been under pressure since mid-2022.
Fastmarkets’ price assessment for graphite, spherical, 99.95% C, 15 microns, fob China, dropped by 25.35% over the period from last June to March 2 this year, when it was $2,500-2,800 per tonne.

“We haven’t seen any positive signs for demand in the first quarter,” a battery manufacturer in China said. “It might be the second quarter before there’s any recovery. The problem is that prevailing destocking among battery manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers [OEMs] has resulted in lower demand for upstream raw materials.”
Elsewhere, battery makers have also put pressure on anode producers to cut anode prices, due to their weak consumption rates, with some anode producers at less than full operation in January and February, according to market sources.
While falling EV sales and output were partly explained by seasonal trends, increased graphite supply has fuelled bearish market sentiment, the sources said.
“In spite of the positive expectations among industry participants, slow sales growth in the first quarter, as well as high inventories held by OEMs, mean that natural or synthetic anode prices will continue to face downside risk,” the battery producer source said.
“The rapid expansion of graphitization in China will result in further cost falls in anode production, and thus lower anode prices. Total nameplate capacity of graphitization was said to be around 2.5 million tonnes [per year] last year and was expected to reach 3 million tpy in 2023,” the same source added.

Dilemma for natural spherical graphite​

While demand in overseas markets has shown a subdued upward trend, bearish sentiment has prevailed in the domestic market, according to sources in China.
And China remains the dominant global consumer of spherical graphite.
Total exports of China’s spherical graphite came to 62,272 tonnes in 2022, up by 9.66% from a year earlier, according to Chinese customs data. But falling anode operation rates in China and growing synthetic anode supply were adding pressure to the domestic spherical graphite market.
New orders for uSPG were now falling, with major anode producers consuming existing stocks, a graphite producer said.
“With the current price of fine flake graphite, many spherical graphite producers are facing narrow profit margins or losses,” a second graphite producer told Fastmarkets. “Some spherical graphite producers are now on halt, with unknown restart dates.”
The fall in the price of fine graphite flake – the feedstock for spherical graphite – has also removed support for the natural anode market.
Fastmarkets’ latest price assessment for graphite flake, 94% C, -100 mesh, fob China, was $750-770 per tonne on March 2, down by 8.43% from the start of the year.


The road ahead for graphite​

The outlook for spherical and natural flake graphite will remain weak in the second quarter of 2023, according to Fastmarkets’ principal battery raw materials consultant, Amy Bennett.
“We expect to see flake and uncoated spherical graphite prices remain under pressure during the first half of 2023,” she said, “reflecting subdued demand from the EV industry, declining costs and prices for competing synthetic graphite material, and the strong US dollar enabling Chinese producers to reduce their prices in US dollar terms, while maintaining revenue in local currency terms.”
As a result, Fastmarkets research has reduced its 2023 price forecasts for -100 mesh material, FOB China, to an average of $875 per tonne, and uSPG prices to an average of $3,100 per tonne.
But Fastmarkets research expects stronger demand and that restocking activity will propel prices higher in the second half of the year.
“With demand for graphite from the battery sector forecast to rise by 37% year-on-year in 2023, we expect the current pricing lull to prove temporary. We see demand growth outpacing supply in the second half of 2023,” Bennett said.
And the market is expected to tighten further in 2024, with continuing growth in demand exceeding the likely increases in supply.
“Deficit conditions will worsen in 2024,” Bennett said, “with demand for graphite from the battery sector forecast to rise by a further 29%, while delays to new natural graphite projects persist, propelling prices higher through 2024.”
 
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beserk

Regular
News flash! US Secretary of State Antony Blinken accompanied by EU heavies is visiting Luleå in the near future.

View attachment 33611

Why Luleå? I am 99'% sure it has to do with the Swedish presidency of EU council. But why have Swedish Government chosen Luleå as a preferred meeting place?

1) Strategic position. Next to the border to Finland that today joined NATO. Blinken might be combining Luleå trip with visit to Finland. Sending a signal to Putin.

2) US IRA and EU CRM Act. Much of the focus of the Swedish Gov is for extraction and development of natural resources from Norrbotten of which Luleå is the provincial capital.

IMHO this is a golden opp for Talga to further talk up the world class high grade NG to be explored in Vittangi mining district (pending go ahead) and value added in Luleå.

Maybe Swedish Gov alredy has asked Talga AB in Luleå to contribute to proceedings of coming EU and US meeting together with LKAB, Northvolt etc?

Interesting times ahead when superpower conflict, US and EU federal legislation, and mining of natural resources geographically intersect in Luleå and Northern Sweden.

-beserk

And as always our fearless leader is one step ahead....

Screenshot_20230405_042721_Twitter.jpg


May 30 and 31 it is. In Luleå. The first date is my mothers birthday. That she is celebrating in Luleå.

-beserk
 
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beserk

Regular
And as always our fearless leader is one step ahead....

View attachment 33637

May 30 and 31 it is. In Luleå. The first date is my mothers birthday. That she is celebrating in Luleå.

-beserk

Perhaps I need to visit her and bring her some candles for the cake...and to be in the focal centre of geopolitics. Luleå.

All depending on if the 45th POTUS will get indicted again and again on these dates. In Georgia or Washington DC. Pick and chose.BIGLY.

-beserk
 
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Semmel

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Bring her some rocky road ;)
 
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beserk

Regular

Putin is mobilising his last reserves of decrepid T-34 WWII vintage tanks and threatening to deploy them guarding the 1200 km long newly opened northwest flank towards NATO territory. Finland was accepted in from the cold where Sweden is still kept waiting due to obstruction from NATO members Türkiye and Hungary.

Also I note that it is US Secretary of State Antony Blinken that gets first dibs in rebutting Russia due to him handling the NATO Instruments of Accession.


And it is the same Antony Blinken that is scheduled to attend the US-EU TTC meeting in Luleå May 30 and 31.

Say no more.

-beserk
 
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Semmel

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Apologies if this Fastmarket Report has already been posted

Graphite anode market: A rocky road, but brighter skies ahead​

Graphite market: key dynamics​

March 13, 2023
By the Fastmarkets team, Jon Stibbs, Sybil Pan
GraphiteBattery materialsElectric vehicles
China’s natural graphite anode market has been under pressure since capacity for synthetic graphite production rose in the second half of 2022, with cuts in the subsidy for electric vehicle (EV) purchases then hitting demand. But the market will revert to deficit in the second half of the year, according to Fastmarkets research.
Prices for spherical graphite (SPG) materials in China rose strongly from April 2021 to March 2022 in response to increased demand from the rapidly expanding electric vehicle (EV) market.
Graphite makes up the majority of the anode in EV lithium-ion batteries. Cellmakers can use natural active anode material (SPG) or synthetic graphite, or blend the two in their anodes.
The primary advantages that natural graphite anode material has over its synthetic equivalent are lower cost and its smaller carbon footprint, due to the large amount of electricity required to produce synthetic graphite.
After March 2022, however, the market stabilized before prices began to fall in June of that year when production capacity for synthetic graphite rose.
There is a strong correlation between prices for uncoated SPG (uSPG) and the graphitization costs for the production of synthetic graphite. The coating of SPG is the final step in producing active anode material.
Synthetic graphite has been the dominant material in anodes over the past five years and it leads the trends in price movements for uSPG.
“Graphitization costs and uSPG prices were at their highest in May and June 2022,” Fastmarkets research analyst Georgi Georgiev said. “Since then, graphitization costs have fallen by almost 50% and uSPG prices have followed, dropping by more than 28%.”
“In the longer term,” he added, “uSPG prices might become more autonomous, with sustainability factors shifting demand to natural graphite.”


EV subsidies cut impacts anode material market​

The Chinese government ended its subsidy system for EV purchases in January 2023, and this slashed demand for natural anode material in the immediate term, according to market sources, with consumers slowing their purchasing.
Output of EVs in China plunged by 46.6% month-on-month and by 6.9% year-on-year to 425,000 units in January 2023, while sales fell by 49.9% month-on-month and by 6.3% year-on-year to 408,000 units, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM).
As a result, the price for uSPG has been under pressure since mid-2022.
Fastmarkets’ price assessment for graphite, spherical, 99.95% C, 15 microns, fob China, dropped by 25.35% over the period from last June to March 2 this year, when it was $2,500-2,800 per tonne.

“We haven’t seen any positive signs for demand in the first quarter,” a battery manufacturer in China said. “It might be the second quarter before there’s any recovery. The problem is that prevailing destocking among battery manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers [OEMs] has resulted in lower demand for upstream raw materials.”
Elsewhere, battery makers have also put pressure on anode producers to cut anode prices, due to their weak consumption rates, with some anode producers at less than full operation in January and February, according to market sources.
While falling EV sales and output were partly explained by seasonal trends, increased graphite supply has fuelled bearish market sentiment, the sources said.
“In spite of the positive expectations among industry participants, slow sales growth in the first quarter, as well as high inventories held by OEMs, mean that natural or synthetic anode prices will continue to face downside risk,” the battery producer source said.
“The rapid expansion of graphitization in China will result in further cost falls in anode production, and thus lower anode prices. Total nameplate capacity of graphitization was said to be around 2.5 million tonnes [per year] last year and was expected to reach 3 million tpy in 2023,” the same source added.

Dilemma for natural spherical graphite​

While demand in overseas markets has shown a subdued upward trend, bearish sentiment has prevailed in the domestic market, according to sources in China.
And China remains the dominant global consumer of spherical graphite.
Total exports of China’s spherical graphite came to 62,272 tonnes in 2022, up by 9.66% from a year earlier, according to Chinese customs data. But falling anode operation rates in China and growing synthetic anode supply were adding pressure to the domestic spherical graphite market.
New orders for uSPG were now falling, with major anode producers consuming existing stocks, a graphite producer said.
“With the current price of fine flake graphite, many spherical graphite producers are facing narrow profit margins or losses,” a second graphite producer told Fastmarkets. “Some spherical graphite producers are now on halt, with unknown restart dates.”
The fall in the price of fine graphite flake – the feedstock for spherical graphite – has also removed support for the natural anode market.
Fastmarkets’ latest price assessment for graphite flake, 94% C, -100 mesh, fob China, was $750-770 per tonne on March 2, down by 8.43% from the start of the year.


The road ahead for graphite​

The outlook for spherical and natural flake graphite will remain weak in the second quarter of 2023, according to Fastmarkets’ principal battery raw materials consultant, Amy Bennett.
“We expect to see flake and uncoated spherical graphite prices remain under pressure during the first half of 2023,” she said, “reflecting subdued demand from the EV industry, declining costs and prices for competing synthetic graphite material, and the strong US dollar enabling Chinese producers to reduce their prices in US dollar terms, while maintaining revenue in local currency terms.”
As a result, Fastmarkets research has reduced its 2023 price forecasts for -100 mesh material, FOB China, to an average of $875 per tonne, and uSPG prices to an average of $3,100 per tonne.
But Fastmarkets research expects stronger demand and that restocking activity will propel prices higher in the second half of the year.
“With demand for graphite from the battery sector forecast to rise by 37% year-on-year in 2023, we expect the current pricing lull to prove temporary. We see demand growth outpacing supply in the second half of 2023,” Bennett said.
And the market is expected to tighten further in 2024, with continuing growth in demand exceeding the likely increases in supply.
“Deficit conditions will worsen in 2024,” Bennett said, “with demand for graphite from the battery sector forecast to rise by a further 29%, while delays to new natural graphite projects persist, propelling prices higher through 2024.”

Quoting "Output of EVs in China plunged by 46.6% month-on-month and by 6.9% year-on-year to 425,000 units in January 2023, while sales fell by 49.9% month-on-month and by 6.3% year-on-year to 408,000 units"

The reason for the plunge was COVID related shutdowns of factories in china. Also the EV price war makes EV prices a deflationary item, with Chinese buyers being very price sensitive, means many are waiting. On top of that slap the increase in interest rates that suppress buys like cars. So yes, in a sense the report is correct as macro economic forces have also had an impact.

It's not a long term demand valley, that's for sure ;) ICE is going away and EVs are taking their place.
 
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