Hi all, a challenging period for sure.
Whilst I love a conspiracy as much as the next person it seems pretty clear to me that the price response is a natural reaction to the decrease in perceived product value. At this stage of development the market cap includes significant speculative value which is simply being eroded by an impatient and volatile market. Traders have built positions on this basis forever and will not revert until a series of events occur to shift projections. The old adage ‘if you are not bullish you’re bearish’ is very relevant here.
Let’s see what comes. Over to you BrainChip.
Cheers.
So your hypothesis is that the "
decrease in perceived product value" was an instantaneous response to the 4C?
Any shareholder who had been paying attention would know that:
Sean advised that income would be lumpy;
the nature of BRN's business is licensing Akida IP;
the report from the 3 months previous announced significant licence fees;
it takes several months to design verify, tape-out, and manufacture chips, and
this hiatus between the signing of a licence and the production of the chip explains the difference between income in the consecutive reports.
Who polices investing without due care and attention? Mr Market, I hear you say.
Mr Market is a bit of a martinet, and certainly not "firm but fair" ... well, truth to tell, Mr Market is in the pocket of the big boys.
So, yes, those who sold (other than the manipulators - yes, that's right, I don't think the manipulators had a day off on Friday out of sympathy for the mum and dad investors) probably did perceive a decrease in the value of the market for Akida.
Do I have sympathy for those retail investors who sold?
Yes, I do. They have been forced into the hands of the ASX because leaving money in the bank would have eroded the value of their capital, money which they had earned by the sweat of their brow(s).
The shorters of those 12 million odd short shares bought on Friday probably doubled their money or more, and did no one any good except themselves.
Let's hope that the inquiry into ASIC give the regulator real teeth.