AVZ Discussion 2022

JNRB

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AVZ and Bezos-backed miner KoBold Metals in standoff over deal the White House wants done​

Brad Thompson
Donald Trump’s administration wants a deal done between AVZ Minerals and KoBold Metals for control of the Manono lithium project in the DRC. Picture: AFP

Donald Trump’s administration wants a deal done between AVZ Minerals and KoBold Metals for control of the Manono lithium project in the DRC. Picture: AFP

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19 hours ago

China is back in contention to control all of a vast lithium project in Africa amid a standoff between Australian company AVZ Minerals and a US company backed by Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos.
The impasse between AVZ and KoBold Metals has left the door open for Chinese interests to reassert claims to the entire Manono project in the Democratic Republic of Congo against the wishes of the White House.
A deal between AVZ and KoBold over the southern half of the Manono project shaped as a key component of a critical minerals pact between the Trump administration and the strife-torn DRC, and a blow to China’s interests in Africa.
However, AVZ is clearly frustrated and on Monday reiterated its legal claims and victories in international arbitration that have been largely funded through support from heavyweight Chinese lithium-ion battery maker CATL. The legal backing has created a pathway for CATL to eventually own all of Manono.
DRC President Felix Tshisekedi tweeted details of an in-principle deal between his resources-rich nation and KoBold late last week. He said the deal, signed in Kinshasa, cleared the way for KoBold to apply for exploration permits covering Manamo and to digitise the nation’s geological data.
There are suggestions the US and the DRC could sign a critical minerals pact in Washington in about six weeks’ time, with the standoff with AVZ shaping as a major stumbling block.
The DRC sought US help in the face of Rwanda-backed M23 rebels causing havoc and overrunning parts of the country, with US President Donald Trump congratulating the DRC on a peace deal with Rwanda signed last month.
AVZ said it was not involved in the drafting nor a party to the deal between the DRC and KoBold, in a sign of tension between the parties.
“It (AVZ) remains open to constructive dialogue with the parties, to agree a suitable commercial outcome for AVZ shareholders, where its legal rights and existing commercial relationships are respected,” the AVZ board, chaired by John Clarke, said in a statement.

“The company confirms that discussions continue with various parties including KoBold, who wish to advance the development of the Manono project to better balance global lithium supply chains, benefiting all stakeholders, not least the people of the DRC.

“Should these discussions result in any binding commitment, then the company will appropriately advise its shareholders at that time.”

AVZ and Kobold have been unable to agree on a price for AVZ’s stake in Manono since issuing a joint statement in May.

The Australian has reported that AVZ might walk away with up to $1.5bn and a royalty. However, KoBold clearly wants to pay far less in cash upfront given the risks in the DRC and the depressed lithium market.

AVZ’s market capitalisation reached $4.6bn in 2022 on high hopes for Manono but plunged amid a dispute over ownership of the massive hard rock deposit that ultimately led to its delisting in 2024.

In their May statement, AVZ and KoBold said they recognised that “rapid, ethical development of the Manono lithium deposit should play a role in supporting peace and security”.

AVZ Minerals non-executive chairman John Clarke

AVZ Minerals non-executive chairman John Clarke
“This framework entails AVZ selling its commercial interest in the Manono lithium deposit to KoBold for fair value,” they said.

“The agreement will enable KoBold to rapidly deploy more than $US1bn to bring the Manono lithium to Western markets.”

It is understood AVZ wants to wrap up a deal with KoBold in the next 30 days and before the signing of any critical minerals accord between the US and the DRC.

AVZ’s bargaining chips include recent victories in the International Court of Arbitration of the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) and the support of CATL, which listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange earlier this year.

A CATL subsidiary already owns part of AVZ and, through a deal revised in January, kicked in another $20m to fund the legal fight with the DRC over Manono.

The deal cleared the way for CATL’s Suzhou CATH Energy Technologies (CATH) to pay AVZ $US259m for a 30.5 per cent indirect interest in the Manono project, and to ultimately own all of the project.

Manono boasts an 842 million tonne resource at 1.61 per cent lithium oxide and is split into two geographically distinct northern and southern deposits. The southern part alone, sometimes referred to as Roche Dure, holds a 669 million-tonne resource.

AVZ maintains the DRC acted illegally by taking over its permit over the whole of Manono and then awarding the northern portion to Chinese mining company Zijin in September 2023.

The US has indicated in recent months it is willing to back AVZ retrieving the southern licence to minimise antagonising Beijing, given that Zijin is well advanced in developing the northern deposit.

It is understood both the US and KoBold favour a change of ownership based on AVZ and the DRC discontinuing legal action.

"There are suggestions the US and the DRC could sign a critical minerals pact in Washington in about six weeks’ time, with the standoff with AVZ shaping as a major stumbling block.."

There is no standoff with AVZ. We have made it clear we're ready to move forward with this and get the hell out.

Just pay us our $12

Stumbling block it would appear is Kobold. But I think what looks like them stumbling is actually trying to do a bit of a dance.

Don't dance around the price too long KoBold. China doesn't dance, they will just walk in and take it from you otherwise.

What exactly is it Kobold brings to the table other than cash? We already 'found' the resource without old-school intelligence. Geopolitical influence? Only good in so far as you can turn it back into cash.

I still believe they are also just playing hardball and when push comes to shove they will pony up the right combination of cash/royalties/scrip. But CATH has offered us a viable and profitable path forwards so onus is on KoBold to convince us to walk away from that. Any wishy-washy 'statements of support' from GDRC dont mean shit so the field is still wide open to anyone else that wants to step in.


For those that think this MUST be tied up in the M4S deal:
That only means AMERICAN involvement. It does NOT mean exclusively KoBold.
If that's your position, then it makes it harder for CATH,sure. But it doesn't mean Kobold are running a 1-horse race as they try to make it look.
 
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Flight996

Regular
I wonder if there is any correlation to scheduling of ICSID and the 30 day clock. It is understood by me that AVZ wanted to wrap up a deal YEARS ago with the DRC (and recently agreed to temp suspend for that reason - but were evidently kept in the dark). How can you negotiate for control of something without the rightful owner privy or represented in the negotiations?

Re: How can you negotiate for control of something without the rightful owner privy or represented in the negotiations?

The same incredulity surrounds the 'friendly' ruling by the Kalemie High Court (DRC) in May 2023, which upheld and legitimised Cominiere's dissolution of the Dathcom JV. AVZ Minerals was not given prior notice of the matter, and therefore was not able to argue and defend its position. The rest is history.
 
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Skar

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Flight996

Regular
Yeah I am almost not losing money on it again :ROFLMAO:

I'm back on it too after getting stopped out on Thursday by a bunch of algos doing their stop-hunting thing.

Generally when I buy, it's a good time to sell; and when I sell, it's a good time to buy.
 
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whales

Regular
Absolutely they probably already have.

This is from the Australian article:
View attachment 88756
This is new info yes? Considering the source I'm taking it with a grain of salt but I love the idea.
Let's see if DRC give an Exploration permit and a Mining Licence to Kobold over Manono in regard to the South with conditions that AVZ are fairly compensated by July 31st.
Check Amovatio post on hotcrapper that potentially highlights this .
Makes no legal sense but with the right price doable
 
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CHB

Regular
I'm back on it too after getting stopped out on Thursday by a bunch of algos doing their stop-hunting thing.

Generally when I buy, it's a good time to sell; and when I sell, it's a good time to buy.

FFS selling it tomorrow ASAP :D
 
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BRICK

Where’s Zeebot 😶‍🌫️
I'm back on it too after getting stopped out on Thursday by a bunch of algos doing their stop-hunting thing.

Generally when I buy, it's a good time to sell; and when I sell, it's a good time to buy.
Its shouldnt be called the ASX

its more like a fucking algo wasteland.
 
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Flight996

Regular
Its shouldnt be called the ASX

its more like a fucking algo wasteland.

Absolutely, it's just a dodgy roulette wheel.

I'll warn you all when I decide to sell. In that way you can buy with confidence that the SP will make a spectacular run.
 
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cruiser51

Top 20
Absolutely, it's just a dodgy roulette wheel.

I'll warn you all when I decide to sell. In that way you can buy with confidence that the SP will make a spectacular run.
Can I get FROR?
 
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Felix

Member
Looks like we have a kuntseestraight / Fatkunce reach around party going on here, no that there's anything wrong with that...

It's starting to smell a little HCish in here:rolleyes:

What is this term ‘reach around' party please? In DRC we don’t use that term. Do you think I might be too big to play?

I like parties, especially when Lissette comes to one of mine, but yes, she smells a bit HCishy too
 
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BEISHA

Top 20
I wonder if there is any correlation to scheduling of ICSID and the 30 day clock. It is understood by me that AVZ wanted to wrap up a deal YEARS ago with the DRC (and recently agreed to temp suspend for that reason - but were evidently kept in the dark). How can you negotiate for control of something without the rightful owner privy or represented in the negotiations?
Oh the irony considering DRC revoked AVZ license for not delivering in time.......:ROFLMAO:

carnts !
 
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Mute22

Regular
1168 days or 3.2 year since we went into suspension.

House prices up 35% in my city since then.

1753180534991.jpeg
 
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Mute22

Regular
Updated the meme below to reflect yesterday’s thoroughly researched and expertly sourced valuation of AVZ courtesy of The Australian.



1753181095585.png
 
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Mute22

Regular
This is the first time I have seen the AVZ account like a LinkedIn post.

IMG_0556.png
 
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Flight996

Regular
1168 days or 3.2 year since we went into suspension.

House prices up 35% in my city since then.
House prices in my coastal town are down 10-15% over the past three years, but they had a meteoric 60% rise in the previous two years.

I am currently building, and material and labour costs keep rising almost overnight by random amounts depending on the phase of the moon. The biggest rises are govt and council costs where cost rises are way out of proportion to the service delivered...but I guess you already knew that.
 
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Randenj

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staz024

Emerged
Im keen to learn more about this AI exploration, after all the years I did drilling and seismic exploration for BHP/BMA and few other parties, never once would have I thought you could do AI exploration. Alien technology or what?!
This is a video which was linked to Kobold Metal's website a few months back.
Kobold Metals have re-done their website to remove things of interest.
An interesting explanation of how they use AI and Bayesian probability to target deposits which are buried, and without visible outcrops.

Mar 2, 2023

Dr. Kurt House, Co-founder and CEO of KoBold Metals, gave an invited talk at Stanford Earth and Planetary Sciences Seminar - "The Critical Materials Challenge: Using Machine Learning to Find Lithium, Nickel, Cobalt, and Copper."
I find the transcript facility helpful for Youtube videos.

Kurt House: The Critical Materials Challenge

Actually I'm addicted to Youtube and especially the historical and Ukrainian videos.
My favorite is "Between 2 Wars" about the interwar years.

"Elvira Bary" on Youtube offers a Russian viewpoint of Russia-splaining of the West.
With comments such as "the Iron Curtain didn't descend in 1945, as Churchill claimed, but in 1920".

As for AVZ, not sure if Kobold is going to rewrite history - which is a bit of a theme of Trump these days.
 
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Bray

Regular
This is a video which was linked to Kobold Metal's website a few months back.
Kobold Metals have re-done their website to remove things of interest.
An interesting explanation of how they use AI and Bayesian probability to target deposits which are buried, and without visible outcrops.

Mar 2, 2023

Dr. Kurt House, Co-founder and CEO of KoBold Metals, gave an invited talk at Stanford Earth and Planetary Sciences Seminar - "The Critical Materials Challenge: Using Machine Learning to Find Lithium, Nickel, Cobalt, and Copper."
I find the transcript facility helpful for Youtube videos.

Kurt House: The Critical Materials Challenge

Actually I'm addicted to Youtube and especially the historical and Ukrainian videos.
My favorite is "Between 2 Wars" about the interwar years.

"Elvira Bary" on Youtube offers a Russian viewpoint of Russia-splaining of the West.
With comments such as "the Iron Curtain didn't descend in 1945, as Churchill claimed, but in 1920".

As for AVZ, not sure if Kobold is going to rewrite history - which is a bit of a theme of Trump these days.
Thanks mate I’ll have a look. Will be very interested to see if the technology can develop to the point where it is actually cost viable and not just a billionaire slush fund
 
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CHB

Regular
1168 days or 3.2 year since we went into suspension.

House prices up 35% in my city since then.

View attachment 88767
Could be worse.

You could have got divorced and now pay $800 a week in rent.
 
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