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Ning Wang, Zijin and Huayou teamed up to perform the battle for the world's largest lithium mine, and jointly squeezed out the Australian listed company!
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05.2518:26
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Comparable to Infernal Affairs! Ning Wang, Zijin and Huayou teamed up to perform the battle for the world's largest lithium mine, and jointly squeezed out the Australian listed company!
Source: Market Capitalization
Short sellers believe that this may be a story of CATL, Zijin Mining and Huayou Cobalt working together to squeeze an Australian-listed mining company out of the worldās largest lithium mine project.
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Author | Fusu
Edit | Xiaobai
In recent years, the demand for lithium resources has been strong. After realizing that "there is lithium all over the world", many A-share listed companies have deployed the lithium industry.
Recently, Feng Yunjun read a short report on Australian listed lithium mining companies.
Interestingly, Fengyunjun discovered a "business war" involving three Chinese companies, Ningde Times (300750.SZ), Zijin Mining (601899.SH) and Huayou Cobalt (603799.SH). The movie "Infernal Affairs".
The old irons should listen to the fun.
CATL enters the world's largest lithium mine project
AVZ Mining (AVZ.AX, "AVZ") is an Australian-listed lithium mining company that owns control of the Manono lithium mine in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
The Manono Lithium Mine is one of the largest open-pit mineable lithium-rich LCT (lithium, cesium, tantalum) pegmatite deposits in the world, with a total resource of 401 million tons, containing 1.63% lithium oxide.
The local operating entity of the Manono Lithium Mine is āDathcom Miningā (āDathcomā), which holds a mining license issued by the DRC government.
AVZ claims to hold 75% of Dathcom and is the controlling shareholder; the remaining 25% is held by Cominiere (āCominiereā), a state-owned mining company in the DRC.
Open Sina News
On May 11, AVZ voluntarily suspended trading on the Australian Securities Exchange and has not resumed trading so far.
The reason for AVZ's application for the suspension is that there is a lot of market rumors that it is about to lose control of the Manono lithium mine.
The Manono Lithium Mine was initially held as to 70% by Dathomir Mining Resources (āDathmirā) and 30% by Cominiere.
Open Sina News
In 2016, AVZ purchased a 60% stake from the original controlling shareholder Dathmir to realize control of the Manono lithium mine.
During this period, Dathmir also acquired a 5% stake from Cominiere.
As a result, the shareholding structure of the Manono Lithium Mine becomes: the controlling shareholder AVZ holds 60%, Cominiere holds 25%, and Dathmir holds 15%.
Open Sina News
Later, AVZ said it bought 5% and 10% of Dathmir in July 2019 and August 2021, respectively, bringing the stake to 75%.
Dathmir subsequently withdrew from the project.
Open Sina News
With the increasing shareholding ratio, AVZ believes that it has achieved "solid" control over the Manono lithium mine.
In May this year, AVZ disclosed to Australian investors that it had previously planned to sell a 24% stake in the Manono Lithium Mine to a private Chinese company, "Suzhou CATH Energy Technologies" ("CATH", "Suzhou Tianhua Times"). completed within the month.
(CATH/Suzhou Tianhua Times, source: Qichacha)
For AVZ, this was a great event.
First, the transaction price is very attractive for AVZ.
AVZ sold its 24% stake to Suzhou Tianhua Times for a price of up to US$240 million. Just less than a year ago, AVZ's consideration for acquiring a 10% stake in Dathmir was only $15.5 million, which is a premium rate of 545%!
In addition, AVZ expects to retain control of the Manono lithium mine after the transaction is completed.
Cominiere, another 25% shareholder of Manono Lithium, is planning to withdraw from the project and transfer 10% of its shares to the Congolese government.
According to AVZ's plan, it intends to use the controlling shareholder's "right of first refusal" to buy the remaining 15% from Cominiere.
According to the plan, the future shareholding structure of the Manono Lithium Mine will become: AVZ holds 66%, Suzhou Tianhua Times holds 24%, and the Congo (DRC) government holds 10%.
(AVZ expects changes in shareholding structure)
And one of the shareholders behind the new buyer, Suzhou Tianhua Times, is CATL, a leading manufacturer in the mid- and downstream lithium industry chain.
(Suzhou Tianhua Timesā shareholding structure, source: Qichacha)
Zijin Mining cuts Hu and directly becomes the third largest shareholder
Things didn't turn out as AVZ expected.
On May 9, Zijin Mining issued a press release stating that it owns a 15% stake in the Manono Lithium Mine.
Newly launched Zijin Mining said that in September 2021, its subsidiary had signed an agreement with Cominier to acquire a 15% stake in the Manono Lithium Mine.
This undermines AVZ's "right of first refusal" program.
According to AVZ's plan, before the transaction with Suzhou Tianhua Times, it already held 75% of the equity; after the sale of 24% of the equity, there is still 51% of the equity, which can still be controlled.
Subsequently, AVZ plans to use the "preemptive right" of the controlling shareholder to purchase a 15% stake in Cominiere, increasing its shareholding ratio from 51% to 66%.
However, Zijin Mining said that after AVZ agreed to sell 24% of its shares to Suzhou Tianhua Times, it has lost its controlling shareholder status, so it is not to mention the "right of first refusal".
Why is this?
Zijin Mining stated in a press release that according to the information it obtained, AVZās shareholding in Manono Lithium Mine has always been 60%, and its subsequent acquisition of 15% of the shares from Dathmir has been ruled invalid by the court.
According to court documents, a third (5%) of Dathmir's 15% stake sold to AVZ in 2019-2021 was borrowed from Cominiere in 2018, and Dathmir's sale did not require the lender's consent.
The Congolese (DRC) local court recognized the fact that Cominiere lent the equity, and therefore found that Dathmi's sale of 15% of the equity to AVZ was illegal.
That is to say, at the legal level, AVZ has always held only 60% of the equity of the Manono Lithium Mine.
Cominiere will use 15% of its 30% stake (the original 25% plus the 5% returned by Dathcom) to complete the transaction with Zijin Mining, 10% will be transferred to the DRC government, and 5% will be sold to Another buyer "MMCS".
Therefore, the future shareholding structure of Manono Lithium Mine will become:
AVZ holds 36% of the shares and loses control; Suzhou Tianhua Times holds 24% and is the second largest shareholder; Zijin Mining holds 15% and is the third largest shareholder.
Open Sina News
The "trap" set by the joint layout of the three parties?
In the whole thing, the most unfortunate is undoubtedly AVZ, which lost control of the Manono Lithium Mine.
AVZ has still appealed through the court, asking the court to find that Cominiere has no right to sell the 15% stake to Zijin Mining, and request that it has the right to buy this part of the stake.
But the short seller Boatman Capital ("Short Agency") believes that AVZ's chances of winning the lawsuit are slim.
This is also the reason why short-selling institutions have recently shorted AVZ.
The short-seller believes that the court has ruled that its purchase of a 15% stake in Dathmir is invalid as early as the end of 2021. But AVZ has been hiding the lawsuit from investors in Australia while it appealed, insisting it has a 75% controlling stake in the Manono lithium mine.
Until May 9, Zijin Mining's press release exposed the matter.
Speaking of which, the story of the battle for the stake in the Manono lithium mine is not over yet.
It is worth mentioning that AVZ itself has a relatively scattered shareholding structure and has no controlling shareholder. Among them, there are two āpowersā of Chinese companies: Suzhou Group, which holds 7.3% of the shares, a joint venture of Suzhou Tianhua Times; and 6.3% of the shares. Huayou Cobalt.
(AVZ shareholding structure)
Among them, Huayou Cobalt became a shareholder of AVZ in 2017, when AVZ had just obtained 60% control of the Manono Lithium Mine.
Since Huayou Cobalt and Suzhou Group together hold nearly 14% of AVZ's shares, if the two are united, they have the ability to exert influence within AVZ.
In fact, Huayou Cobalt and Suzhou Tianhua Times and Ningde Times behind the Suzhou Group have closely cooperated in the layout of overseas lithium resources.
The short-selling agency said that Zeng Yuqun and Huayou Cobalt, the actual controllers of CATL, also jointly invested in a mining company called "Minicom" in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
At first glance, there are two parties in the battle for equity in the Manono Lithium Mine: Huayou Cobalt and Ningde Times on the one hand, and Zijin Mining on the other.
Huayou Cobalt and Ningde Times jointly hope to use AVZ's control over the Manono lithium mine to expand their lithium resource layout, including facilitating the sale to Suzhou Tianhua Times. However, Zijin Mining's "spoiler" directly caused AVZ to lose control of the project.
However, short-sellers have another view.
On the surface, it seems that AVZ made two wrong decisions: the non-compliant acquisition of Dathmir and the sale of Suzhou Tianhua Times, which led to the loss of control.
Zijin Mining seems to be a "spoiler", but it may be closely related to AVZ's internal Fang Huayou Cobalt and CATL.
Open Sina News
The short-selling agency mentioned that Fang Qixue, vice chairman of Huayou Cobalt, was the executive director of Zijin Mining.
Coincidentally, AVZ originally announced the sale of its stake to Suzhou Tianhua Times in September last year. In the same month, Zijin Mining negotiated with Cominiere to acquire the equity of Manono Lithium Mine.
Zijin Mining chose to reveal the "mystery" this month, which is also a coincidence, and it happened to be the latest time for AVZ to complete the equity sale transaction.
Short-sellers believe that this may be a story of a Chinese company teaming up to push an Australian-listed mining company out of the world's largest lithium mine project.