AVZ Discussion 2022

cruiser51

Top 20
Totally agree, we obviously need to push forward with ICSID and ICC. That's the only pressure point we've got.

My only dispute is with those who say we shouldn't compromise whatsoever and should await the eventual ICC/ICSID rulings. As if that's a simple pathway invariably leading to a positive outcome in some reasonable time frame.

I say keep pressing our arbitration cases with full vigor, up to the point where some deal might be possible that gets us a PE. Then we try to leverage that into a half-decent sale price to a major thats interested in a world class lithium deposit and that has the know-how and willingness to operate in this challenging jurisdiction. Might be a short list, but the upside is so high that I imagine we could find a suitor. If that takes some trade-offs or concessions then so be it. And to have any hope of getting there before I go grey(er), we need our licensing/ownership issues to be settled one way or the other.

Otherwise sure, if nobody comes to the table, then we go full ICSID and sit in for the long haul.
Rio's endeavour in Serbia is not exactly smooth sailing.


I don't know if they are mesmerising about Manono, or giving Manono a wide berth as being a poison pill.
They did visit the DRC MoM recently, I am curious what that was all about.
 
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wombat74

Top 20
Seems to be the concensus they are legit and there is both a French and an English version

Fucking completely contradicts this official statement below made a few weeks ago by the same organisation where they advise Felix they are having amicable discussions with AVZ and the case is being reviewed by experts


View attachment 67910

Fuck me..... you couldn't make this shit up :rolleyes:
Yeh but they also said this.

"An expert was recruited to assess the risks that the country may incur following this dispute if it were to be resolved through legal channels."
" The defence team has recommended the continuation of the arbitration ".

In other words the asset is worth more than the penalty and Chinese snacks are delicious .
 
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oxxa23

Regular
Seems to be the concensus they are legit and there is both a French and an English version

Fucking completely contradicts this official statement below made a few weeks ago by the same organisation where they advise Felix they are having amicable discussions with AVZ and the case is being reviewed by experts


View attachment 67910

Fuck me..... you couldn't make this shit up :rolleyes:
I reckon i'm having dejavu.... swear i've read this 1312 times over the last two years....

"Fuck me..... you couldn't make this shit up"
 
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Mr_Tones83

Regular
Yeh but they also said this.

"An expert was recruited to assess the risks that the country may incur following this dispute if it were to be resolved through legal channels."
" The defence team has recommended the continuation of the arbitration ".

In other words the asset is worth more than the penalty and Chinese snacks are delicious .
I didn't exactly read that way, but could be wrong... they said the defence team recommended continuing arbitration, then they said they've recruited an expert, so it doesn't sound like this 'expert' has done their work yet
 
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Doc

Master of Quan
I didn't exactly read that way, but could be wrong... they said the defence team recommended continuing arbitration, then they said they've recruited an expert, so it doesn't sound like this 'expert' has done their work yet
Can only imagine where this 'expert' might hail from.......
 
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wombat74

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I didn't exactly read that way, but could be wrong... they said the defence team recommended continuing arbitration, then they said they've recruited an expert, so it doesn't sound like this 'expert' has done their work yet
Yes I did edit a few words . However that was my take on it .

There were some positive take aways from AVZ's report . Enough to perhaps promote a potential successful CR . Something the Chinese/DRC became aware of and are now trying to foil. IMO
 
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cruiser51

Top 20
I didn't exactly read that way, but could be wrong... they said the defence team recommended continuing arbitration, then they said they've recruited an expert, so it doesn't sound like this 'expert' has done their work yet
If you are a lawyer, wouldn't you recommend to continue the fight?

Isn't that the same as a your car mechanic recommending don't stop with your car maintenance?

At the end, if the lawyer doesn't win he will say 'Well mate we did our best', Ka fucking ching.

It is not in the best interest of a lawyer, if you kiss and make up.
If everybody did, the legal fraternity would have to take up a newspaper round, or pull beer in the pub, they are great in the talking shit department.
 
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Mr_Tones83

Regular
If you are a lawyer, wouldn't you recommend to continue the fight?

Isn't that the same as a your car mechanic recommending don't stop with your car maintenance?

At the end, if the lawyer doesn't win he will say 'Well mate we did our best', Ka fucking ching.

It is not in the best interest of a lawyer, if you kiss and make up.
If everybody did, the legal fraternity would have to take up a newspaper round, or pull beer in the pub, they are great in the talking shit department.
Yep, I'm not disputing that the lawyers would say to keep going. Aside from the bribe-takers, they're the main winners in this saga so far.

What I meant to highlight was the fact that the DRC MoM likely hasn't had their recruited 'expert' complete the assessment as to the potential risks of the legal cases running their course as yet. If that were to be done by a competent person then it could put extra pressure on them to come to the table and get a deal done quicker.
More than likely it'll be a Zijin shill used to keep kicking the can down the road though.
 
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cruiser51

Top 20
Yep, I'm not disputing that the lawyers would say to keep going. Aside from the bribe-takers, they're the main winners in this saga so far.

What I meant to highlight was the fact that the DRC MoM likely hasn't had their recruited 'expert' complete the assessment as to the potential risks of the legal cases running their course as yet. If that were to be done by a competent person then it could put extra pressure on them to come to the table and get a deal done quicker.
More than likely it'll be a Zijin shill used to keep kicking the can down the road though.
Don't forget that the current vice MoM, Godard Motemona Gibolum
1723455534633.png
, is the same as in last government, we probably could say the left hand of the current MoM and might not agree that the current MoM is, under instruction of FT and PM, talking with AVZ.
Who knows maybe the left hand is not talking with the right hand, or he is pissed off that he is not MoM.
Creating a bit of animosity to undermine the current MoM, could well be a game of the Chinese.
 
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Frank

Top 20
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pow4ade

Regular
I didn't exactly read that way, but could be wrong... they said the defence team recommended continuing arbitration, then they said they've recruited an expert, so it doesn't sound like this 'expert' has done their work yet
I interpreted MoM letter differently also, when read in full context:

From preliminary observations, it appears that the AVZ's claims, as formulated in the said project, are
disadvantageous for the Republic where the defence team has recommended the continuation of the
arbitration
as long as AVZ does not diminish its ambitions.

To wit, we will not countenance any claim to CDL, it's gone. AVZ should be happy with RD, or what's left of it. Until they accept that reality we continue arbitration. End of discussion.

AIMO
 
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Winenut

Go AVZ!
I interpreted MoM letter differently also, when read in full context:

From preliminary observations, it appears that the AVZ's claims, as formulated in the said project, are
disadvantageous for the Republic where the defence team has recommended the continuation of the
arbitration
as long as AVZ does not diminish its ambitions.

To wit, we will not countenance any claim to CDL, it's gone. AVZ should be happy with RD, or what's left of it. Until they accept that reality we continue arbitration. End of discussion.

AIMO
View attachment 67930

Geez you read a fair few tea leaves into that......to wit.....

"To wit, we will not countenance any claim to CDL, it's gone. AVZ should be happy with RD, or what's left of it. Until they accept that reality we continue arbitration. End of discussion."

Not sure how you managed to extrapolate all that detail and put it into the words of the MoM?
 
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marksmann007

Regular
View attachment 67930

Geez you read a fair few tea leaves into that......to wit.....

"To wit, we will not countenance any claim to CDL, it's gone. AVZ should be happy with RD, or what's left of it. Until they accept that reality we continue arbitration. End of discussion."

Not sure how you managed to extrapolate all that detail and put it into the words of the MoM?
IMG_1122.png
 
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wombat74

Top 20
I interpreted MoM letter differently also, when read in full context:

From preliminary observations, it appears that the AVZ's claims, as formulated in the said project, are
disadvantageous for the Republic where the defence team has recommended the continuation of the
arbitration
as long as AVZ does not diminish its ambitions.

To wit, we will not countenance any claim to CDL, it's gone. AVZ should be happy with RD, or what's left of it. Until they accept that reality we continue arbitration. End of discussion.

AIMO
Nothing was or is going to happen until AVZ secure funding . We are still in the stall and bleed AVZ dry phase . IMO
 
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marksmann007

Regular
Plenty of issues for RIO‘s jadar project..
Might be better to partner up with AVZ to support & assist in our efforts in the DRC to restore our rights & mine Manono.
IMG_1125.png
IMG_1124.png
 
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SilentOne

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wombat74

Top 20
"Is AVZ Minerals Limited Deceiving its Shareholders and Investors to Raise Funds on the Stock Market? "

The title of this article says it all . Cominiere are sh1t scared of AVZ destroying them at ICSID .

Nigel should open up a Capital Raise to all shareholders if necessary . A limited uptake per shareholder so as not to lose control . Remember Nigel you've got back up if you need it . Lets make sure we go after these grubs to the full extent of International Law.
 
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Cumquat Cap

Regular
Completely agree Wonby, we need to rally around team we have who are hell bent on making coniniere and Zijin’s life fucking hell via the courts (for now hopefully not forever).

I would contribute to a raise but I’m sure it would be challenging opening up to the entire shareholder base with so many Chinese sharks waiting for a chance to build a bigger position. Tough spot but it is abundantly clear the strategy is to drain us at all costs which means they will badly lose all cases and hopefully stymie their own economy in the process.
 
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Panther22

Regular
Completely agree Wonby, we need to rally around team we have who are hell bent on making coniniere and Zijin’s life fucking hell via the courts (for now hopefully not forever).

I would contribute to a raise but I’m sure it would be challenging opening up to the entire shareholder base with so many Chinese sharks waiting for a chance to build a bigger position. Tough spot but it is abundantly clear the strategy is to drain us at all costs which means they will badly lose all cases and hopefully stymie their own economy in the process.
Agree, so is it a Capital Raise or a Fighting Fund? CR opens up to non believers. FF would be for believers. Or as someone mentioned the Company can offer shares to whomever they wish. Is this possible?
 
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Flight996

Regular
Well at least we know that the locals at Manono will embrace Rio should Rio take up the opportunity.




Regards,

SilentOne
Mate, I would be surprised if RIO willingly wedged itself into the current shit-fight, regardless of Manono's world class credentials and potential for a tier one mine.
If interested, RIO will probably take the least risky option of waiting for the arbitration award to land, and dust to settle.

Having said that, DD should be a breeze; just one-page double-spaced.

Cheers
F
 
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