It's probably worth doing if it breaks this deadlock. Sure the Mining Code says DRC has to be 10% but that's just a minimum requirement, can certainly have more. Ivanhoe/Zijin agreed to cede 20% to DRC when they were having licensing issues, and they've been on the gravy train since. Sure it was alleged they also engaged with brownie bags, which we cant do, but if thats what the holdup is then a negotiation is in order. Perhaps could say we'll cede 10% of the dathomir 15% should we win that ICC case? Just to get us across the lineThis is nothing new but there seems to be this constant social media claim from DRC people about the DRC Govt needing to ‘make the right decision for the DRC’ or ‘act in the best interest of the DRC’. This sentiment is an understandable stance for a patriot (as I would have for Australia) but this needs to be reflected in the mining code. If the DRC wants an international company to investigate, drill, and sure up a resource and then claim to have a right to a greater % of its ownership if it proves to be a winner, then put this condition in the mining code. If this is in the best interests of the DRC then put it in the mining code. I am not sure how many international investors will want to participate in the investment but at least buyer beware. AVZ has abided by the mining code. C’mon Nige and team, keep fighting the good fight!
I do take exception at that last paragraph, many, myself included, have significant amounts of money invested in AVZ. Sure we all understand it is a risk and I'm sure all those that have been around long enough have experienced sudden announcements and drops in share prices of 20%+, shit does happen and its the risk you take on the stockmarket. However I dont think anyone really expects their money to be locked away for 13 fucken months and counting. if someone is telling me to relax about this and patiently wait while we hear crickets from mgmt on the current status, well a mighty big fuck you. No doubt my mental health has suffered due to this suspension, if I could just blow it off and be free, for sure I'd be better for it, however hard to do when so much capital is tied up. sure I have funds outside of avz but fuck me, what I have in avz is significant to me. GIVE ME MY FUCKING MONEY BACK ASAP!Everyone seems to be set on a TO and some weirdos are throwing around prices that aren't $12 , but realistically, I can't see the Worlds best BOD entertaining any sort of TO talk unless there's a ML included. They've spent a lot of time and energy so no way they would sell out and lose their lucrative paycheck unless they were getting more than compensated through the $$$ for the shares they own.
I have no idea what the SP is realistically worth in the current market with or without the ML as I'm not smart enough to calculate it, but I do recognise there's always the biggest wave of negativity and criticism right before something interesting gets announced.
So many on here complaining about wishing they'd never bought in and would sell out in a heartbeat, just as the lowballers, trolls and schemers want.
Grow a set, hang on and wait and see how it all plays out. But please stop carrying on like a pork chop because you took a risk and you aren;t happy with the outcome.
$12 Billion.... plus damages payout in excess of US $10bil…
* It's hard to believe, but The Business of doing Business in the DRC is in a Bad way - OMG
Business climate: Félix Tshisekedi thunders after noticing excessive shenanigans at the one-stop shop
View attachment 38714
In his statement made during the meeting of the Council of Ministers of June 16, 2023, the President of the Republic Félix-Antoine Tshisekedi Tshilombo mentioned the deterioration of the conditions for creating businesses in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
In the report of the Council of Ministers, the Minister of Communication and Media, government spokesman, Patrick Muyaya, hammered home the recommendations of the Head of State who invited the Executive to the need to work to improving the business climate.
On the basis of the information in his possession, he underlined, the President of the Republic dwelt again on the more than worrying situation of the Single Window for Business Creation (GUCE).
"For the Head of State, this entity, though created to facilitate the installation of investors in the country and the formalization of the activities of economic operators, has unfortunately for some time been experiencing a dysfunction in its service characterized, in particular, by long waiting times and discontinuity of service,” said the government spokesman in his report after the meeting of the Council of Ministers.
According to him, the stakeholders were urgently invited to find solutions to put an end to the difficulties currently deplored.
"In view of the seriousness of the situation, the President of the Republic has asked the Prime Minister, Head of Government, to convene around him, as soon as possible, the main stakeholders to, in the very short term, resolve the difficulties of financing and taking charge of the agents and pooling of the intervening services which arise within the GUCE; in the medium term, proceed in parallel with an evaluation of the reform of the GUCE which should make it possible to identify the avenues likely to promote the optimization of the completion of business formalities”, indicated Minister Patrick Muyaya.
In the same vein, the government spokesperson specified that the unit (Business climate) will have to be called upon to find solutions to this problem.
It should be understood that the remorse and anger of the President of the Republic will be able to move things forward in the direction of putting an end to the shenanigans that are already taking shape at the Single Window.
mediacongo
*Shame he doesn't feel / act the same about the "Excessive Shenanigans" at Manono
Because there's a Shitload of Shenanigans going on over there atm
Oh, that's right, I forgot - We don't talk about that in Public
Do we
Tick - Tock
View attachment 38715
My thoughts
The Democratic Republic of the Congo's (DRC) ambition for vertical integration of lithium into batteries is contingent upon the production of the Manono mine. Despite the DRC's numerous meetings, it is unlikely to be taken seriously in the Western world, where investors are unwilling to risk their capital without tangible progress.
French President Macron addressed this issue directly by advising FT to focus on domestic matters instead of globe-trotting. Such frank remarks underscore the need for the DRC to address internal challenges before gaining international credibility.
Manono's value remains significant, regardless of the mining license's status. Although the current lithium spot market is relatively subdued compared to the peak it reached last year, it is important to consider the anticipated future surge in lithium prices during the mine's operational lifespan. Historical projections suggest that demand will outpace supply.
There is also a race to secure off-take agreements to ensure a consistent supply of lithium. Manono, provided the government upholds its own laws, is an ideal source for maintaining uninterrupted supply. This factor must be considered in evaluating the Dathcom/Manono project.
As an illustration of pricing trends, Lithium Carbonate reached CNY597,500 per tonne, equivalent to AUD$122,507 per tonne.
Lithium - 2023 Data - 2017-2022 Historical - 2024 Forecast - Price - Quote - Chart (tradingeconomics.com)
View attachment 38719
If Sin Bin has approached AVZ to acquire their interests in Dathcom, it can be assumed that the mining license approval has either been promised or is guaranteed, even if it has not been officially issued. Therefore, any negotiations with Sin Bin regarding the mine's purchase should proceed under the assumption of approved or guaranteed mining rights.
While it may appear that the DRC disregards its international image, public mockery and ridicule of government officials during their international trips would undoubtedly cause reputational damage on the global stage. This issue will be further accentuated through actions within the International Criminal Court (ICC) and the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), involving key figures such as the President, Prime Minister, Ministry of Mines, and the World Bank.
If FT loses the elections in December, there could be a potential reshuffling of ministers, which might lead to a clean slate and potentially nullify previous commitments made to questionable actors, thereby facilitating the approval of the mining license.
Sharing factual information about AVZ's experiences on Twitter can be beneficial in shedding light on the situation.
In this context, alliances may form based on the principle that "my enemy's enemy is my friend."
Regards,
Silent - This is not advice but purely an opinion - do your own research
I fully support Nigel and his team
It’s that fucking simpleThis is nothing new but there seems to be this constant social media claim from DRC people about the DRC Govt needing to ‘make the right decision for the DRC’ or ‘act in the best interest of the DRC’. This sentiment is an understandable stance for a patriot (as I would have for Australia) but this needs to be reflected in the mining code. If the DRC wants an international company to investigate, drill, and sure up a resource and then claim to have a right to a greater % of its ownership if it proves to be a winner, then put this condition in the mining code. If this is in the best interests of the DRC then put it in the mining code. I am not sure how many international investors will want to participate in the investment but at least buyer beware. AVZ has abided by the mining code. C’mon Nige and team, keep fighting the good fight!
I reckon that about sums it up. Now BBOTasx get me out of this fucken cluster fuck ASAP.You don't sue the government if prospects are looking good to work with them in the future, only as a last resort.
I'd love to know what proponents of anything other than a takeover or suing of the DRC government are thinking as an alternative?
You want to try to work with these corrupt pricks enduring constant hostility by the Chinese? After many years of legal battles to establish our rights? (Sounds to me like a delusional fantasy)
Nigel himself said the whole thing is worth next to nothing without a licence. We either need the licence as part of a negotiated outcome or we try to sue the arse off DRC for more than their entire gdp which sounds like pushing diahorea up hill without a shovel.
Best outcome imo is we sell to whatever corrupt Chinese schmucks of the DRC's choosing with the licence as part of the settlement. This unlocks the deposit for them and saves years of legal battles for AVZ.
We'll likely not get anything like what it's 'worth' but China and the DRC's government have rendered it effectively worthless anyway and they had better make a somewhat reasonable offer or it simply remains locked up. And with drc snuffling their 28% the higher the offer the better for them.
If we get a takeover the shorts still burn and the Chinese don't get the opportunity to buy up shares dirt cheap on re-listing.
Shareholders walk away with something in their pocket to put towards greener pastures.
Happy fucking days and lesson learned.
Alternately we can hang on for years in the hope to become exceedingly wealthy one day.
Imo there are more important things in life and the mental health is one of them.
Or we need that 'miracle' in which case I'll renounce all my sins and blasphemy to Xerof.
But having said that if we get the licence by some miracle then fucking sell it anyway and gtfo of DRC! Red flags everywhere! Every fucking where!! The treacherous DRC government can't be trusted!
Xerof would be making overtime, probably get a young Chinese student to do the job while he goes out surfing.You don't sue the government if prospects are looking good to work with them in the future, only as a last resort.
I'd love to know what proponents of anything other than a takeover or suing of the DRC government are thinking as an alternative?
You want to try to work with these corrupt pricks enduring constant hostility by the Chinese? After many years of legal battles to establish our rights? (Sounds to me like a delusional fantasy)
Nigel himself said the whole thing is worth next to nothing without a licence. We either need the licence as part of a negotiated outcome or we try to sue the arse off DRC for more than their entire gdp which sounds like pushing diahorea up hill without a shovel.
Best outcome imo is we sell to whatever corrupt Chinese schmucks of the DRC's choosing with the licence as part of the settlement. This unlocks the deposit for them and saves years of legal battles for AVZ.
We'll likely not get anything like what it's 'worth' but China and the DRC's government have rendered it effectively worthless anyway and they had better make a somewhat reasonable offer or it simply remains locked up. And with drc snuffling their 28% the higher the offer the better for them.
If we get a takeover the shorts still burn and the Chinese don't get the opportunity to buy up shares dirt cheap on re-listing.
Shareholders walk away with something in their pocket to put towards greener pastures.
Happy fucking days and lesson learned.
Alternately we can hang on for years in the hope to become exceedingly wealthy one day.
Imo there are more important things in life and the mental health is one of them.
Or we need that 'miracle' in which case I'll renounce all my sins and blasphemy to Xerof.
But having said that if we get the licence by some miracle then fucking sell it anyway and gtfo of DRC! Red flags everywhere! Every fucking where!! The treacherous DRC government can't be trusted!
you and me both and i am 64 see my youngest and middle child 8 weeks per year , we all lived together before this , finding it hard to make extra money to travel to see the kids , but really i think the BOD have so much stress also , dont blame they there are so many more to blame and I am sure we will get out of this mess as they also have a vested interest in AVZ$12 Billion.
For those struggling with the stress of this circus know that you are not alone. AVZ has taken me from flat broke and nearly homeless with no way to pay a $400 rent bill, to multi millionaire capable of buying my first home for cash with enough left over to retire at 42. But as one who recklessly went all in with everything I could raise over 6 years of hard work and severe frugality I'm now hanging somewhere between those two extremes.
So hang in there, stay positive, and thank you all for helping me to do the same. You lot are a good bunch.