Winenut
GO AVZ!!!!
12 billion.....if Zijin is the buyerI thought he said 10 billion a while back.
Never forget the "fuck you" premium
12 billion.....if Zijin is the buyerI thought he said 10 billion a while back.
I thought it was Zijin 12b - damages. And a separate buyer $12.12 billion.....if Zijin is the buyer
Never forget the "fuck you" premium![]()
everyone was drinking tap water cause funds were frozenHow did everyone go at the Melbourne catchup?
Good opportunity to chat with fellow investors?
Share a few ideas and get a bit of emotional support?
Hope it went well for those that attended......very good intitiative
Don't be silly, no one wants the icsid. It's just a lever they're pulling as the final back up plan to close it out. Deal incoming, if they don't get a deal then they will go to ICSID but reality is, no one wants that
Probably because ICSID is going to take a long time. And although we are confident, the outcome is not guaranteed. They may also be ordered to pay back what has been spent and tell us to move on. Unlikely but who can say that won't happen.Mate, I am unsure why nobody wants the ICSID arbitration to proceed. Nothing has worked to date, AVZ is ignored by the DRC govt, the ICC seems a bit insipid, and the impasse remains. As we are acutely aware, the DRC govt, its agencies and the judiciary are corrupt to the core. And Chinese miners are complicit in this corruption. As a result, AVZ is cornered and faced with endless shitfuckery as it defends its ownership of Manono.
From my perspective, it's a good thing that AVZ is calling out the DRC govt and its agencies through this process. On the available evidence, particularly the IGF report, road-blocking by CAMI and arbitrary ministerial decision-making, AVZ seems to stand a good chance of a favorable outcome. While it may take a while to unfold and finalise, ICSID arbitration carries a big stick. For instance, it's awards (decisions) are binding and enforceable, and not subject to appeal in any international or domestic court. That means that the DRC and its agencies cannot appeal to a friendly domestic court if they lose, and Zijin cannot bribe its way to a favorable decision.
In addition, there is no binding precedent, which means that the DRC cannot rely on previous awards made in other cases in its defence, and also cannot rely on diplomatic immunity to avoid compliance with an award.
Having said all that, I agree with you that a negotiated settlement prior to arbitration is a strong possibility.
Cheers
F
Flight - Great Summary - Fully agree with your perspectiveMate, I am unsure why nobody wants the ICSID arbitration to proceed. Nothing has worked to date, AVZ is ignored by the DRC govt, the ICC seems a bit insipid, and the impasse remains. As we are acutely aware, the DRC govt, its agencies and the judiciary are corrupt to the core. And Chinese miners are complicit in this corruption. As a result, AVZ is cornered and faced with endless shitfuckery as it defends its ownership of Manono.
From my perspective, it's a good thing that AVZ is calling out the DRC govt and its agencies through this process. On the available evidence, particularly the IGF report, road-blocking by CAMI and arbitrary ministerial decision-making, AVZ seems to stand a good chance of a favorable outcome. While it may take a while to unfold and finalise, ICSID arbitration carries a big stick. For instance, it's awards (decisions) are binding and enforceable, and not subject to appeal in any international or domestic court. That means that the DRC and its agencies cannot appeal to a friendly domestic court if they lose, and Zijin cannot bribe its way to a favorable decision.
In addition, there is no binding precedent, which means that the DRC cannot rely on previous awards made in other cases in its defence, and also cannot rely on diplomatic immunity to avoid compliance with an award.
Having said all that, I agree with you that a negotiated settlement prior to arbitration is a strong possibility.
Cheers
F
Interesting. So would this mean that in the unlikely scenario of unfavourable ICC rulings, any ICSID ruling would override any /all of the ICC cases?In addition, there is no binding precedent, which means that the DRC cannot rely on previous awards made in other cases in its defence, and also cannot rely on diplomatic immunity to avoid compliance with an award.
My understanding is that the ICC arbitrations involve different parties, different issues, and subsequent remedies would be different. Only the ICSID claim names the DRC government as a respondent.Interesting. So would this mean that in the unlikely scenario of unfavourable ICC rulings, any ICSID ruling would override any /all of the ICC cases?
Mate, I am unsure why nobody wants the ICSID arbitration to proceed. Nothing has worked to date, AVZ is ignored by the DRC govt, the ICC seems a bit insipid, and the impasse remains. As we are acutely aware, the DRC govt, its agencies and the judiciary are corrupt to the core. And Chinese miners are complicit in this corruption. As a result, AVZ is cornered and faced with endless shitfuckery as it defends its ownership of Manono.
No one has proof of anything Mr. Wombles, some appear to have access to people close to the guys in charge however, and unless it's official from the Horses mouth, all info has always been rumors, speculation and word of mouth with no proof.Do we have any proof negotiations ever happened ? Or was it just a load of bollocks to keep punters quiet ? To get punters off the BoD's back ?
No one has proof of anything Mr. Wombles, some people appear to have access to people close to the guys in charge however, and unless it's official from the Horses mouth, all info has always been rumors, speculation and word of mouth with no proof.
I think those sharing information are sworn to secrecy, and keepting their groups tight.
And it's gone very quiet because serious battles are going on.
I've been hearing some things from different directions, and they're matching up.
Wheels do appear to be in motion. Time frame maybe not that long, but who the hell really knows.
ICSID appears to have given AVZ a far more powerful position to negotiate.
A boss move as it turns out, and not reactionary from a position of weakness as many first thought.
Court cases, in my opinion don't even need to play out.
Mines fucked been on ice for 18 fucken months. So fuck the champagne until I'm out of this complete and utter fuck up.