AVZ Discussion 2022

[Xerof]

Perhaps all the haters are too worried about their own portfolios for the moment.
AVZ's just about outperforming everything right now.

Saw that guy too, sounds like wishful thinking whatever he's trying to imply.

He’s drawing a long bow, I can too

 

[John25]

Haha, you mean HOT INVESTOR ?

Or that other dick head FLASH POINT ?

I can get away by saying this, ole Hot , put his lifes savings ( 70k ) in SPX aka Cirralto, bought around 8c.....its now .008c....

If Flash Point took notice of my advice or Cabbie or Hoots, he would have saved 50% on LTR

LTR now 1.02 and as we all know, is in the ORPHAN period, not even TESLA offtake could stem the slide, remember when AVZ had 3 offtakes and it failed to move the dial ?

That was in a bull market too, unlike the Bear market which we have right now.

LTR could drop to 90/80c or lower.

imo

Gotta love the old @h00ts ..have known him a while now ..doesnt take much shit from certain chartists …Flash included

 

[BEISHA]

I should have stayed in bed

Carnage for my portfolio today....

CRR in TRADING HALT...............MAVIS LAKE results.

You dodged a bullet there son......

 

[BEISHA]

Excellent work on the chart, i didnt understand a thing but you had me at " lithium players will get a jolt in the arm"
Q: US is going to announce rate hike today , some 75 basis points, would it drag the market again in red when their market opens ? sorry if i got the terminology wrong

US rate hike will be determined on Wednesday night, Dow futures green tonite, i expect a correction up on the ASX tomorrow, then probably another dump on Thursday, assuming .75% hike as rumoured.

2 more weeks of TAX selling, then watch out for the mother of all bounces there after.......... IF inflation is reduced and controlled........just about every stock i see and watch, are skimming the basement.

Thats how i read the tea leaves

imo

 

[BEISHA]

Gotta love the old @h00ts ..have known him a while now ..doesnt take much shit from certain chartists …Flash included View attachment 9287

I know HOOTS well too, damn good chartist that one and Flashy pants giving him grief too, its called

Hoots and Cabbie providing much needed balance in my absence, along with the BUNNY, and Snakes and Ladders, who both dont know crap, but doesnt matter.......

Flashy is under the cosh and losing credibility all the time.

Confirmation bias to the extreme.

imo

 

[BEISHA]

Off topic i know, but thought i would show a chart of BITCOIN and the reasons why its tanked, lots of commentators stunned by the down fall, but if you understand the rules of EW, then it shouldnt surprise at all.

BITCOIN completed a set of 5 waves back in 5/4/21 ( main wave 1 up ) , RSI 14 got as high as 92 which was well and truly over bought ( anything over 70 ), so what goes up vertically, most of the time, goes down vertically, especially if there is little support on the way down, ABC wave 2 down can go rather low, in fact , it can go all the way back to just shy of the basement if the market is bearish enuff and would still satisfy EW rules.

So a few other red flags on that chart to note apart from EW....

a) double top 71000

b) RSI 14 displaying clear divergence in relation to SP ( SP high, but RSI 14 sloping down ) @ptlas would understand that better than most

c) 5 ema ( purple line ) dropping below the 20sma ( red line )...........yellow arrow

If a competent chartist knew points A, B & C, without any knowledge of EW, then they would of exited their position at around 53000 ...........saving themselves a further 50% reduction.

A little knowledge of TA can save you plenty.

All of this knowledge you will eventually learn on the ROBIN HOOD TA EDUCATION thread over time, should you have the inclination.

Good nite ALL.

imo

 

[CashKing]

W..

US rate hike will be determined on Wednesday night, Dow futures green tonite, i expect a correction up on the ASX tomorrow, then probably another dump on Thursday, assuming .75% hike as rumoured.

2 more weeks of TAX selling, then watch out for the mother of all bounces there after.......... IF inflation is reduced and controlled........just about every stock i see and watch, are skimming the basement.

Thats how i read the tea leaves

View attachment 9296
imo

I wonder who’s buying all these throw away shares atm

My bet it’s the Big boys that announce doom etc, scoop up shares just like last time although covid kinda “covered up” that recession didn’t it… Looks like the $$$$ pump into the economy behind “health” didn’t work so now it’s time possibly..

Then they sleep with the media everything ok and make a Squillion ok the way up

AIMO

GLTAH

 

[BEISHA]

W..

I wonder who’s buying all these throw away shares atm

My bet it’s the Big boys that announce doom etc, scoop up shares just like last time although covid kinda “covered up” that recession didn’t it… Looks like the $$$$ pump into the economy behind “health” didn’t work so now it’s time possibly..

Then they sleep with the media everything ok and make a Squillion ok the way up

AIMO

GLTAH

GOLDMAN SUCKS and MORGAN STANLEY have alot to answer for........

Retail continue to get eaten up by their predatory behaviour



imo

 

[CeckRaiseFold]

Just looked at the bird for the first time in a while,,, what happened to all the z down ramping? All dried up?? Did notice some flog pushing some ajn barrow around,,, any one comment on his claims?? Or has he just run out of ideas to dramp? Cheers Hemi

I love "dramp" we need to nominate for word of the year and add to dictionary

 

[DoubleA]

Der Geist just absolutely tore AFRTom and his AVZ article to pieces.

 

[lellep]

Haha, you mean HOT INVESTOR ?

Or that other dick head FLASH POINT ?

I can get away by saying this, ole Hot , put his lifes savings ( 70k ) in SPX aka Cirralto, bought around 8c.....its now .008c....

If Flash Point took notice of my advice or Cabbie or Hoots, he would have saved 50% on LTR

LTR now 1.02 and as we all know, is in the ORPHAN period, not even TESLA offtake could stem the slide, remember when AVZ had 3 offtakes and it failed to move the dial ?

That was in a bull market too, unlike the Bear market which we have right now.

LTR could drop to 90/80c or lower.

imo

Rip Hot Investor, I remember how he was hoping AVZ to fail..

 

[Sammy_da_Smile]

Der Geist just absolutely tore AFRTom and his AVZ article to pieces.

I must say that's a decent analysis, that would have taken many hours to write.

 

[DiscoDanNZ]

W..

I wonder who’s buying all these throw away shares atm

My bet it’s the Big boys that announce doom etc, scoop up shares just like last time although covid kinda “covered up” that recession didn’t it… Looks like the $$$$ pump into the economy behind “health” didn’t work so now it’s time possibly..

Then they sleep with the media everything ok and make a Squillion ok the way up

AIMO

GLTAH

Definitely not me buying... I did my arse 'buying the bottom' weeks ago and now I'm out of funds to buy the bottom this week

Lithium investors a few weeks ago...

and now...

 

[Retrobyte]

Der Geist just absolutely tore AFRTom and his AVZ article to pieces.

Interesting. I wonder what Geist is playing at now?

 

[Retrobyte]

I must say that's a decent analysis, that would have taken many hours to write.

Skills he learned while obtaining his librarian qualifications

 

[thegh0stwithin]

4 of my holdings are even... AVZ in suspension, DRE in trading halt, BAT has already shit the bed in the last year and VRC but I'm already down 20% in one and a half weeks so far anyway so might as well be red LOL.

My Portfolio is only down 1.65% today so I'll take that as a win since I'm beating the ASX.

I gave up faith in Flanno a long long time ago. I was lucky to escape with my shirt and a free pair of socks from BAT. Looks like 20% down is not so bad based on some other holdings I have. I bought into another lithium player thinking we had some market technically support and lost over 20%.. there goes my shirt again.

I am not so worried, I have some of my larger holdings in a Pilbara gold explorer drilling like mad at Hemi (DEG). I have my eye on another player (NOV) after reading about them in stockhead but I am still slowly working my way through numbers and seeing if a buy there is a smart move.

Previous environments like this we see raw gold supply being pushed first, pushing up the gold price. We then see the explorers rise as market supply gets constrained.

From there gold price rises until the market finds an overall floor. At this point I will look to move out of my 15% or so gold holding and move further into AVZ if it is trading.

What I am trying to work out right now is the fair value estimate (FVE) on AVZ based on market movements of other lithium players since the day we went into suspension, the movement of Li2O sales and overall market movement plus a level of risk perceived by the market on the AVZ vs Zijin drama.

Please do not scratch my face, I am thinking FVE is in the neighborhood of 49-52c. Is anyone else coming to a number around this? I know what we are and the number seems low, but this is what market data is telling me AVZ would be cooking for right about now on open trading.

 

[JAG]

Thanks that make you go........hmmmmmm

 

[DiscoDanNZ]

I gave up faith in Flanno a long long time ago. I was lucky to escape with my shirt and a free pair of socks from BAT. Looks like 20% down is not so bad based on some other holdings I have. I bought into another lithium player thinking we had some market technically support and lost over 20%.. there goes my shirt again.

I am not so worried, I have some of my larger holdings in a Pilbara gold explorer drilling like mad at Hemi (DEG). I have my eye on another player (NOV) after reading about them in stockhead but I am still slowly working my way through numbers and seeing if a buy there is a smart move.

Previous environments like this we see raw gold supply being pushed first, pushing up the gold price. We then see the explorers rise as market supply gets constrained.

From there gold price rises until the market finds an overall floor. At this point I will look to move out of my 15% or so gold holding and move further into AVZ if it is trading.

What I am trying to work out right now is the fair value estimate (FVE) on AVZ based on market movements of other lithium players since the day we went into suspension, the movement of Li2O sales and overall market movement plus a level of risk perceived by the market on the AVZ vs Zijin drama.

Please do not scratch my face, I am thinking FVE is in the neighborhood of 49-52c. Is anyone else coming to a number around this? I know what we are and the number seems low, but this is what market data is telling me AVZ would be cooking for right about now on open trading.

Who hasn't given up on Flanno, over 20% of SH voted for him to be removed! I held 300k shares at 1.9c then bought another 200k at .006 last week so a huge average down. The ground in Vic has potential but yeah it's like buying ZIP, I don't really expect to ever see that money again.

BAT had a lot of potential and I bought a load more like 2 days before they announced the sale of the Graphite... The name alone should be worth 5c

 

[Bin59]

Thanks that make you go........hmmmmmm

View attachment 9351

View attachment 9352

View attachment 9353

View attachment 9354

“Things that make you go hmmm” … 100% agree with you Jag … whilst I agree with some of the points he makes, I also think that Der Geist is trying to distance himself from the whole debarcle as well by reviewing the story the way he has, ie trying to appear more “impartial” towards AVZ … hmm

 

[Bin59]

Good to see the DRC governments progress in the collection of tax revenue: