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Hi The PopeHi tech,
I’m curious on the time frames you have given on potential IP licences of 3 to 5 years. Why not this year?
Also you Indicated small revenue is only projected so based on the above alone and nothing else in your posted comments provided then it’s looking odds on that BRN are headed for a capital raise by no later than late 2024 to continue as planned by Sean and Co. This is based on current cash burn rates provided in BRN 4c’s and yearly reports linked to number of BRN staff and other fix costs that BRN have to absorb
The quoted seven figure IP licence (say $5m) would push potential capital raise out by a quarter only (4c).
I’m also more than happy for Fact Finder, BRN management (current business plan) or anyone qualified from accounting point of view to correct me in any way but when you do please refer to Tech’s post that I’m referencing to as I MAY have misunderstood something in Tech’s post.
Note - sorry to all but I have taken one of David Holland’s negative pills this morning after reading Tech’s post. It should wear off in the next hour or two.
Cheers
The Pope
Not sure if you have taken negative pills or sadly need to see my optometrist or eye surgeon but read this paragraph again as I do not read it as meaning what you have determined:
"When or if an IP License agreement is signed, Sean has already publicly stated that a 7 digit figure is involved, he has also stated a number
of times that the signing of an IP License is very early on in the process, so how can they forward "guess" how many IP Licenses will be
secured over the next 3-5 year period ?...they can't !"
All I understood from this paragraph was that Brainchip cannot issue guidance about how many IP licences will be signed with customers as they cannot predict what a potential target customer may or may not decide to do next week let alone 3 to 5 years ahead.
I believe that Tech would agree with you that a target customer could jump and sign on Tuesday or Wednesday next week or not or at any time over the next 12 months.
Indeed if you go back to 2020 and the interview with Mr. Dinardo after the trading halt to announce Renesas taking the IP licence for two nodes he actually stated it came out of the blue as Renesas decided to move much more quickly than Brainchip ever imagined.
We have also heard the opposite side of this coin that target customers are taking longer than they have ever imagined in part due to chip shortages and economic uncertainties.
We have also heard that target customers have gone through the whole process of testing and confirmed that Brainchip have won the design process only to have companies close down the division that Brainchip was dealing with before the IP licence could be signed.
We even have the known fact that Megachips can be selling IP licences to target customers and the only evidence that we might have of it occurring is when money turns up in a 4C report to shareholders.
All this before we consider the stated fact by the Chair at the AGM that they are very flexible with their sales model and so as Diogenese has stated on many occasions they may proceed as partners with a target customer first off and the IP licence may be dealt with in such a manner as to not involve a reportable upfront financial payment but be amortized over the product life as Brainchip shares in the sales proceeds if the product is successful. I personally suspect that this is the arrangement they have with Tata Elxsi and Socionext.
My opinion only DYOR including confirming that my view of what Tech is saying is correct.
Fact Finder