Damo4
Regular
Everything points towards success here, except for the SP and subsequent paper losses.
This is the root of the issue, for many here.
It confirms the opinion of many, that if we were above $2, we'd be feeling pretty chuffed with the progress.
"Commercial release at y/E 2023 so let's expect revenue to start showing 3rd or 4th quarter 2024 - another year to wait perhaps. Then there's potential small revenue, maybe more, from Gen1 to keep the company ticking over until then."
RE v1/2, Renesas and Megachips have both licensed v1 IP - so agreed on the revenue expectations, but probably still more for gen1 for a while.
We can only speculate as to which customers, be it those two or partners such Mercedes, SiFive, NVISO etc that were involved in the development of v2.
We do know for a fact that Megachips helped with v2.
2020 we had IP for sale, and companies such as Renesas took about 2 years to tape out.
Once we start to see revenue coming in from Renesas, if we can work that out, we can get pretty clear typical timelines.
Although is may be quicker unless we get another Covid.
The way I see it is similar to a flagship phone each year from Samsung, Google Apple etc.
Everyone knows a new one is coming (our roadmap), but each year you buy what is currently for sale.
Some people on a budget may even choose to buy older phones that suit their needs/budget better.
Also I think of STM32 MCU's from Arm, and they have various models depending on requirements.
They also have many models within each range to target both budgets and needs.