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Russia is a complex country. I have four stories:May I step in and point to the white elephant in the room being Putin. A very reasonable possibility (and given absolute mess he has created for himself at home and abroad) is he is toppled from power in the very near future and a certain Alexei Navalny steers the Russians to peace through immediate productive negotiations with Ukraine and the Eu. Gas pipeline goes back on the table, Russian sanctions reversed, Russian economy opens quickly, world market sentiment reverses to positive territory and there is a collected world sign of relief. Chinese government then learns of worst case and re-think their plans of taking Thailand. This could pan out very quickly...watch this space.
1. One of my cases involved acting for a person who the Police described as the mister big of organised crime here with links to the Russian marfia. I do not know if he was but he certainly had a lot of Russian friends and his eldest son disappeared fleeing arrest and surfaced in Russia. Eventually he returned of his own accord as apparently did not like the cold and handed himself in to police after 3 years in Russia.
2. My niece went to Moscow as an exchange student arranged through her university to study international law. Part of the exchange involved living with a Russian family. The family she was allocated was very, very wealthy. She only meet their 12 year old daughter, the servants and the estate was fenced and guarded. After a couple of months she discovered that the others on this exchange program were having a similar experience and that these very, very wealthy Russian families considered there was some sort of status in having an overseas student living with them and speaking English with their children. She and her other exchange students arranged to move into university accommodation.
3. Three years before my niece went to Russia one of my daughters friends in high school was sent back to Russia by her mother to meet her extended family. She came back with terrible stories of poverty, lack of heating and as she put it only having cabbage to eat. She and my daughter both loved drama and she has gone on to be an author so allowing for these dramatic tendencies the stark contrast in the wealth of some to normal Russians as she told it was impressive.
4. When my wife and I were staying in a reasonably nice hotel in London we became friendly with a British Engineer and his Russian girlfriend who were resident at the hotel while he underwent surgery and recovery for a knee injury he suffered on a Russian oil rig. They confirmed the contrast in the lives of the wealthy and the ordinary Russian people and told an extraordinary story which he claimed was not extraordinary. He was at a prestigious Russian restaurant. Towards the end of the evening a dispute broke out at one of the tables over the bill and became very heated and a hand gun was produced. It turned out that the patrons dispute was that the bill he had been given was not enough and he had been made to look bad in front of his guests because the bill given to the adjoining table was larger than his and those at the adjoining table were not his superiors in any way shape or form. Visible ostentatious wealth is something to be flaunted in Russia by those who have it.
The point of the above is history is littered with examples of the above which lead in the end to uprisings and change and Russia has mirrored this over the centuries and the Russian people eventually rebel. Despite the tight controls on media Russians have seen what the rest of the world enjoys and while the sanctions will not save Ukrainian citizens they may see the end to Puto.
My opinion only DYOR
FF
AKIDA BALLISTA