US 2 year bond yield which tracks US interest rate has rolled over. The 20ema has crossed below the 100ema with bond yield below 200ema on daily chart.
That signals the end of US Fed rate hikes. US 2 year bond yield now at 3.775% & US interest rate at 5.00% implies 1.25% of rate cuts are on the way.
My CPI calculations the other day indicated rate cuts to commence in July 26-27 at FOMC meeting. Futures indicate first cut in June.
The Fed Funds Futures indicate 1% rate cuts by January 2024.
View attachment 32928
This is the reason BRN SP bounced yesterday along with other beaten down ASX tech/growth stocks.
- The markets are anticipating the March interest rate hike being the last.
- Some asset classes hit hard in 2022, such as bonds, gold/silver futures, Bitcoin, and tech stocks, are rebounding.
- As the fed eventually moves on to lowering rates, these assets could rally, making an attractive buying opportunity at current prices.
Rule of thumb for stock valuations is +9% rise for every 1% decline in the interest rate. 1% rate cuts = +9 % valuation. Beaten down high beta stocks will rise more than this as market sentiment improves & 'risk on' increases.
Term deposits will be affected & Judo Bank currently offering 4.6% for 12 months will decline to 3.6% when RBA cuts interest rate by 1% to be same as US interest rate. Will be better to invest in dividend stocks paying 4-5% franked dividends & 'risk on' growth/tech stocks.
The shorters would be aware of this which is why I think SP got bullied down recently. They are running out of steam because it has become oversold on daily & weekly charts. Interest rate cuts will also work against them as DCF valuations will increase.
Big money has commenced rotating into tech/growth stocks. Technology, Consumer Discretionary & Communications sectors tend to perform better during the upcoming period. Bonds also do well due to interest rates declining. We are currently in Stage 1 of the business cycle & about to enter Stage 2 shortly when US Fed pivots along with the RBA. Should be similar to post Covid market bounce without the steroids.
View attachment 32930
May be a bit bumpy next few weeks prior to market rising. Invest smart & take care.
The counter argument.US 2 year bond yield which tracks US interest rate has rolled over. The 20ema has crossed below the 100ema with bond yield below 200ema on daily chart.
That signals the end of US Fed rate hikes. US 2 year bond yield now at 3.775% & US interest rate at 5.00% implies 1.25% of rate cuts are on the way.
My CPI calculations the other day indicated rate cuts to commence in July 26-27 at FOMC meeting. Futures indicate first cut in June.
The Fed Funds Futures indicate 1% rate cuts by January 2024.
View attachment 32928
This is the reason BRN SP bounced yesterday along with other beaten down ASX tech/growth stocks.
- The markets are anticipating the March interest rate hike being the last.
- Some asset classes hit hard in 2022, such as bonds, gold/silver futures, Bitcoin, and tech stocks, are rebounding.
- As the fed eventually moves on to lowering rates, these assets could rally, making an attractive buying opportunity at current prices.
Rule of thumb for stock valuations is +9% rise for every 1% decline in the interest rate. 1% rate cuts = +9 % valuation. Beaten down high beta stocks will rise more than this as market sentiment improves & 'risk on' increases.
Term deposits will be affected & Judo Bank currently offering 4.6% for 12 months will decline to 3.6% when RBA cuts interest rate by 1% to be same as US interest rate. Will be better to invest in dividend stocks paying 4-5% franked dividends & 'risk on' growth/tech stocks.
The shorters would be aware of this which is why I think SP got bullied down recently. They are running out of steam because it has become oversold on daily & weekly charts. Interest rate cuts will also work against them as DCF valuations will increase.
Big money has commenced rotating into tech/growth stocks. Technology, Consumer Discretionary & Communications sectors tend to perform better during the upcoming period. Bonds also do well due to interest rates declining. We are currently in Stage 1 of the business cycle & about to enter Stage 2 shortly when US Fed pivots along with the RBA. Should be similar to post Covid market bounce without the steroids.
View attachment 32930
May be a bit bumpy next few weeks prior to market rising. Invest smart & take care.
Surely if Akida is inside, there will be a license agreement. It would really light a torch under the shorters and see a reversal of our share price.Qualcomm's flagship Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 chip sees key details leak
BYOLIVER HASLAM
PUBLISHED 4 HOURS AGO
Qualcomm's next flagship chip is starting to leak in a big way.
Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 flagship chip was only announced in November 2022 but it looks increasingly likely that we will see its replacement sooner rather than later. The first real Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 leaks are here, and they're super interesting.
The next big thing from Qualcomm is shaping up to be some stiff competition for the likes of Apple's A-series iPhone chips, not to mention Google's Tensor silicon. A leak appears to have outed that the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 will have a whole new configuration while also dropping support for 32-bit entirely.
That information comes via Twitter and leaker Kuba Wojciechowski who shared that the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 will come with a 2+3+2+1 next-gen ARM configuration.
They go on to report that the chip, dubbed SM8650, is currently using one of two codenames inside Qualcomm; Lenai or Pineapple. They say that the launch is expected to take place in late 2023, but we've heard before that it is unlikely Qualcomm will go a full year before replacing the Snapdragon 8 Gen 2.
According to the leaker, the chip will have the following configuration, including new Titanium cores that are thought to be of the ARM A7XX variety.
Wojciechowski did say that they don't have any information about how those new Titanium cores will differ from the current Gold cluster, but they do add that the "separation seems to be pretty clear in the software." With that, they said that they believe that it's possible the Titanium cores are simply configured with more cache or are clocked higher than their Gold counterparts.
- 2x Arm codename Hayes (A5xx) "Silver" cores
- 3x Arm codename Hunter (A7xx) "Gold" cores
- 2x Arm codename Hunter (A7xx) "Titanium" cores
- 1x Arm codename Hunter ELP (Xn) "Gold+" core
The same leaker also notes that the new chip drops 32-bit support entirely, although it's unlikely anyone will notice at this point — Android has been moving away from 32-bit for some time now.
What that all means for users of the phones that will be powered by these chips, we don't yet know. But performance was strong with the chip that this one will replace, so hopes are already high that we could get something pretty great here.
Qualcomm's flagship Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 chip sees key details leak
Qualcomm's next flagship chip is starting to leak in a big way.www.pocket-lint.com
It would be nice to know wouldn't it.....Surely if Akida is inside, there will be a license agreement. It would really light a torch under the shorters and see a reversal of our share price.
Fingers and toes crossed.
The value of this article is the confirmation that @Diogenese has been telling the absolute truth about analogue compute. It ain’t going to be a competitor at the Edge any day soon:Howdy Brain Fam,
Have you ever imagined a future when you could have a conversation with your toaster in the morning while it cooks your toast? And I don't mean simply standing there in your PJ's muttering at your toaster (i.e.talking to yourself), which is what I do, but having a legit chin-wag about life, death and the universe. Well, this is exactly what AI royalty Geoffrey Hinton believes will happen.
I literally stumbled over this article which was published on 1 December 2022 this morning. So you can only imagine how excited I was to come across these extracts which talk about neuromorphic computing and the prospect of it running your talking toaster for one dollar on a few watts.
View attachment 32945
View attachment 32944
We will see a completely new type of computer, says AI pioneer Geoff Hinton
"Mortal computation" means analog computers marrying AI closely to hardware will put GPT-3 in your toaster for $1 running on a few watts of power.www.zdnet.com
SoundHound video 2 days ago.
Responds faster, without awkward pauses, performing speech recognition on the device without any voice data being sent to the cloud to enhance privacy, multi-modal, learns from each interaction to make personalised suggestions, etc, etc...
Seriously, who else is doing this, if it isn't us?
View attachment 29399
Perhaps counterargument wasn't the right choice of words.
I will add this a long time ago and occasionally since I have suggested that there is no real value to me or anyone else in artificial human intelligence if it is a perfect facsimile of human intelligence because I make mistakes that is what being human is all about. Animals also make mistakes. Insects make mistakes. Every living creature makes mistakes.The value of this article is the confirmation that @Diogenese has been telling the absolute truth about analogue compute. It ain’t going to be a competitor at the Edge any day soon:
“That is because of the attachment to consistency, predictability, he said. "If you want your analog hardware to do the same thing each time... You've got a real problem with all these stray electric things and stuff."
So all these startups that we find claiming they will be on the market soon all they have to do is iron out some minor issues with fabrication have a long hard road to travel funded by ever diminishing venture capital till they realise they turned the wrong way down a one way street.
My opinion only DYOR
FF
AKIDA BALLISTA
I will add this a long time ago and occasionally since I have suggested that there is no real value to me or anyone else in artificial human intelligence if it is a perfect facsimile of human intelligence because I make mistakes that is what being human is all about. Animals also make mistakes. Insects make mistakes. Every living creature makes mistakes.
If I have a robot assistant in my house I don't want one that will occasionally spill hot coffee all over me or drop jam jars as it is getting them out of the cupboard. I can do that myself.
I even had this discussion with Peter van der Made. He agrees and that is why he and Anil Mankar are not going to the point of singularity because there is no demand whatsoever for artificial intelligence that makes mistakes. We have people called husbands for that.
Mr. Hinton with all due respect is completely wrong about machines that are unreliable having a place in my world.
When I come home in the rain carrying the groceries and ask the intelligent door to open I do not want to find that it has forgotten how to do it or has decided it would be funny to pretend to be asleep.
The only place his idea might work is in a child's toy or perhaps in a Faulty Towers script. John Cleese would have fun with such a robot but that is about it. Who wants a car that drives like Mr. Bean? I want a car that drives like Rowan Atkinson.
My opinion only DYOR
FF
AKIDA BALLISTA
Like my dear Father used to assure us in his latter years before we convinced him his driving days were over……
I don’t see Foot Models, Hot Tub Hostesses or Internet Sleuth’s mentioned there.Does this mean soon all of us will be "out of a job" here on TSEX?
80% of workers will be exposed to AI. These jobs will be most affected
Researchers at OpenAI have worked out the potential exposure to AI different occupations face - and its impact is widespread.www.euronews.com
View attachment 32953
I toast with you. Cheers to Brainchip!
I have the feeling that Brainchip needs some support and must be celebrated a bit right now and I didn't know what interesting red sparkling water you have!
View attachment 32921