ICSID decision is YEARS away lol
This may be so but the arbitration proceedings might start to put the squeeze on DRC a lot sooner.
The focus right now should be on the latest announcement which stated:
Regardless of Manono Lithium's compliance with the DRC Mining Code, Cominière's conduct in, at least, procuring the modification of the CAMI register constitutes a clear breach of the emergency relief made by the International Commercial Court (ICC) on 15 November 2023, which ordered Cominière "not to take any steps to explore and exploit, directly or indirectly, the mining reserves within the perimeter of PR 13359 and PR 15775". Accordingly, the Company has referred the matter to the ICC tribunal constituted in case 27720 and submitted that only an order for the immediate payment of the daily fines imposed by the emergency arbitrator on Cominière for breach of the emergency relief will ensure Cominière's due compliance with the Tribunal’s orders pending a final award. As at the date of this announcement, AVZ estimates the aggregate amount of penalties accrued on account of Cominière'S continuing breaches of the emergency relief to be approximately US$73.85 million.
You would hope that things like the miraculous Manono Lithium exploitation permit that arrived out of nowhere and nothing (like it was born of the virgin fucking Mary) granted recently might highlight the urgency and seriousness of these breaches by cominiereSA.