I would argue it is both TC - buses, roadtrains and actual trains will be a large part of it but so will autonomous EV's.
Tony Seba argues that it will be cheaper per km to pay for a autonomous EV's (AEV's) like a "robotaxi" as a service (Think Uber at the moment but no driver), than it will be to use/run an existing car that is already paid off. (TaaS - Transport as a Service).
Australia will be one of the last western countries for mass adoption IMO due to the large land mass and small population, but America and the EU will kick off with this due to high density areas (China is also rumoured to approve Tesla FSD this year)
There's even talk about robotaxis taking some market share off of short domestic flights. Think how long it takes from door to door (getting to airport, checking in, flying, grabbing baggage and driving to hotel) and compare that with being picked up at your door and taking an autonomous electric vehicle on a 6 hour drive where you can sit back in the privacy of the car.
Think about people who would prefer to take an AEV than catch the bus or train - if it costs the same why wouldn't they.
And for people doubting autonomous EV's, Waymo already has a driverless rideshare system running in San Francisco today, yes it isn't perfect but it's progressing, although they are Geofence restricted with HD mapping and have lots of LiDar sensors. Teslas vision only system (And Chinese Companies are already trying to copy it) has been improving rapidly since their FSD 12 Version and it will only become a matter of time before they "turn on" the system to their entire fleet as their hardware in all of the existing fleet is capable to handle the software.
I'm saying all of this because I'm not sure if the majority of people (Including Government) actually realise how strategically important Manono still is. By 2030 it will be glaringly obvious.
View attachment 65186
The Great Transformation [Part 2] - The #Disruption of #Transportation
View attachment 65187