That's a bit disappointingFrom what I've heard. I'm content. Not happy, not sad.
Just want to exit and move on with my life.
That's a bit disappointingFrom what I've heard. I'm content. Not happy, not sad.
Just want to exit and move on with my life.
Just sayin'
Fuck me .....at least you copied me enough to actually get the punctuation and grammar correct
100% agree mate. I can’t imagine a single company on earth buying in to this who isn’t already somewhat involved in the (dodgy af) situation. Which sucks for us SH as it’s a tiny tiny group of potential buyers meaning bargaining power ain’t great.Can't see anything happening without a mining licence, nothing that ends in value for shareholders anyway. If management are negotiating anything the ML has to be a key part of it you'd imagine.
Hi Sam,Can't see anything happening without a mining licence, nothing that ends in value for shareholders anyway. If management are negotiating anything the ML has to be a key part of it you'd imagine.
Thanks ChillaLook at the sale of 24% to CATH for what’s required.
Edit I just checked the Cath proposal and the 24% didn’t request shareholders approval.
The value of the company would be cash backing then.Can somebody smarter than me clarify something.
If AVZ sells the asset, let’s say it sells putting the market cap at $5 a share, and then we start trading again. How would this value be reflected in the share price in a speculative marketplace? Obviously the company would be worth that in cash. But who would buy the shares?
Question is who would sell in those conditions? You’d have to be bat shit crazyThe value of the company would be cash backing then.
If a company has $200M in cash then it's market cap is not going to be worth $100M. Because investors will know it's value is at least $200M and will buy.
That makes sense, but what compels management to do a special dividend? If Nigel wants to continue his ambitions as a mining magnate, can he just keep the funding and buy into another asset with approval of the BOD? We are shareholders in AVZ, not the deposit itself. Just thinking out loud here. Wondering who if anyone has some insight?I'm speculating here.
Hypothetically AVZ sell the rights to tenement/assets to A and B for $C amount.
Current holders would get a special dividend payment.
AVZ will have $C in funds but pretty much no physical assets of value. Just cash.
AVZ will exit TH (Question: before or after special dividend payment?).
What that does to SP? No idea, I have not seen something like this before. Usually market cap will reflect current assets... but unsure in this hypothetical case given the issues facing this company.
Yes speculating on all this without all the pieces can be a bit frustrating, I'm asking myself is it even worth the effort knowing there are a number of paths forward and an exercise like this is really a bit of guess work to a certain extent.
However, there's not much else to do until we wait on an AVZ announcement to provide the clarity we deserve.
In any evert, under the potential scenario of a asset sale, the company could make a special dividend, (that dividend could be partly or fully franked IMO, depending on how tax paid in the DRC is treated here) or maybe a share buy back would be an option.
Maybe under an asset sale the BOD decide to secure another resource opportunity (AUS?) on or around the same time of selling the interest in Manono? This could mean AVZ is not left without an assert at any stage, or possibly depending on the timing of things, Manono would not be assessed as the only asset held under the company.
Big guesses here on all this, wish I was a Taxation Lawyer as it would be helpful to know if under an asset sale whether shareholders would enjoy some local taxation relief for tax paid on the gain in the DRC.
As others have mentioned, a special dividend is income to shareholders, fully taxable unless there is some franking involved. All questions for a tax lawyer as this information is not easily discernible when reviewing ATO information, nor can I find a precedent.
It would be a shame not to enjoy the CGT discount from selling our AVZ shares in due course, assuming the value is representative of the realisation of a potential asset sale.
Some have said AVZ may not need to trade again on an asset sale, maybe. However trading again on completion of an asset sale may provide the opportunity for a shareholder to exit while others come in to make a clip or margin on any special dividend. Anyway, just kicking this thing as there's not much else to do in the interim, the rabbit hole on these types of scenario's goes deep
Of course all of the above is irrelevant should there be no asset sale, and some new type of JV is agreed, or if a group makes a bid for AVZ Minerals Ltd on the ASX, which would be a cleaner outcome and a preference assuming the pricing is attractive and there's no blocking by the FIRB.
For what it is worth, I think an asset sale is the most likely outcome, yet happy to be surprised with any other outcome for shareholders that provides better value now or in the short term.
Cheers
Definitely want CGT discount in any scenario going forward
Should an alternative prevail and we are afforded no CGT relief you may as well be sucking the taxman's dick...
If the asset is gone can we expect our Chinese SH to off load if trading resumes ? Could get very messy . Would be much better if AVZ can retain a stake in the project . If AVZ has a future then obviously all the money wont be dished out to SH . IMOI'm speculating here.
Hypothetically AVZ sell the rights to tenement/assets to A and B for $C amount.
Current holders would get a special dividend payment.
AVZ will have $C in funds but pretty much no physical assets of value. Just cash.
AVZ will exit TH (Question: before or after special dividend payment?).
What that does to SP? No idea, I have not seen something like this before. Usually market cap will reflect current assets... but unsure in this hypothetical case given the issues facing this company.
Yes definitely can keep the money and buy another asset.That makes sense, but what compels management to do a special dividend? If Nigel wants to continue his ambitions as a mining magnate, can he just keep the funding and buy into another asset with approval of the BOD? We are shareholders in AVZ, not the deposit itself. Just thinking out loud here. Wondering who if anyone has some insight?