'The Sole Arbitrator determined"So as some predicted, the Zijin f*@#$ managed to delay the hearings.
k*%#s
If this paragraph in the announcement is accurate;
'The Sole Arbitrator determined that a short continuance was appropriate, strictly limited to a response to the issues raised in the IGF Report, and that the Parties should discuss and agree on a “tight” procedural calendar bearing in mind that a hearing should be held in September and not later than early October.'
then the arbitrator has allowed for a 'short continuance', and the hearing is likely to be held no later than early October.
What will Zijin do next to try and stall... my guess is they'll try to claim that AVZ wouldn't cooperate/agree on a date or some bs like that.
I think AVZ will get the necessary backing $$$ if it comes that . We are suing the DRC government . The path is already chosen . In the mean time between now and ICSID if something can be worked out then that's great . Stalling is now irrelevant .'The Sole Arbitrator determined"
AVZ was pushing for a 3 person panel.......
AVZ behind the 8 ball already.......
Chynas feelers everywhere....
China has just confirmed the long game.
Suck us dry of finances, hope for a President who doesnt mind his arsehole greased a bit more than is currently offered...
Farken
Financing the battery arms race: the $514 billion cost of bridging the global EV supply chain divide
19th June 2023
5 min read
BatteriesCritical MineralsESSEV
Globally, the battery industry needs to invest at least $514 billion across the whole supply chain to meet expected demand in 2030, and $920 billion by 2035, according to a new analysis by Benchmark.
Demand for lithium ion batteries is forecast to grow to 3.7 terawatt-hours by 2030, up from around 1 TWh this year. Most of this growth is driven by an ever increasing demand for electric vehicles.
Producing the critical raw materials will require $220 billion (43% of the total), with nickel and lithium accounting for over half of that. Manufacturing the additional 2.7 TWh of batteries needed by 2030 will require $201 billion and the midstream production of battery materials will take the remaining $93 billion.
The amount is just a fraction of the estimated $35 trillion needed to be spent on the energy transition by 2030, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency. This includes spending on renewables such as wind and solar as well as grid and other infrastructure.
Global investment in technologies to help the energy transition reached a record $1.3 trillion in 2022, IRENA said.
“The energy transition is still in its early stages and massive capital deployment is going to be needed in order to meet the goals of industry and policy makers,” Andrew Miller, Benchmark’s chief operating officer, said. “Energy storage might form a relatively small piece of the overall financing required, but it is a strategically critical piece of the puzzle. Batteries are the platform technology for clean energy goals, so financing these supply chains is at the heart of the race towards net zero.”
Critical Raw Materials
This year is expected to see over a million tonnes LCE of lithium mined for the first time, according to Benchmark’s Lithium Forecast.
By 2030 this number will need to increase to 2.8 million tonnes, with almost all of this demand growth driven by the need for lithium ion batteries. Benchmark’s analysis shows that the expansion of the global lithium industry will need $51 billion of investment.
Benchmark’s view is that lithium, more than any other part of the supply chain, will be the bottleneck for the growth of the battery industry. To put the scale of the lithium challenge into context, more lithium will be needed in 2030 than was mined between 2015 and 2022, according to Benchmark’s Lithium Forecast.
Refined nickel, too, will pose a challenge. With a near two million tonne supply gap between what is in production today and what is needed globally by 2030, nickel requires the largest critical mineral investment of $66 billion.
Most nickel demand is for non-battery applications with stainless steel accounting for half of global nickel demand in 2030. However, batteries are the fastest-growing demand market for nickel. This year nickel demand from batteries is just 15%, but this is forecast to rise to 32% by 2030, according to Benchmark’s Nickel Forecast.
Natural and synthetic graphite are forecast by Benchmark to have a combined supply gap of 3.6 million tonnes, but the relatively lower capital requirements for graphite mines and synthetic graphite production facilities results in an investment need of $4.3 billion.
The rise of gigafactories
In 2030, Benchmark forecasts that annual global demand for lithium ion batteries will hit 3.7 TWh, as assessed in Benchmark’s Lithium ion Battery Database. This year, the world is forecast to produce 1.0 TWh.
Closing this 2.7 TWh gap will need $201 billion of investment. Most of this (56%) will be put towards building 1.2 TWh of new gigafactories on greenfield sites. The remaining $89 billion is needed to expand and develop brownfield sites where industry players such as CATL are already operating, and thus capex intensity is lower.
Cathodes and anodes
Although the lion’s share of investment into the battery supply chain is needed for critical raw materials and gigafactories, anode and cathode production still requires significant attention.
Indeed, Benchmark’s analysis suggests cathode production will require $40 billion and anode production $15 billion to close the supply gap currently looming over 2030.
Without investment into the midstream, the gigafactories won’t be able to operate at full capacity if access to anodes and cathodes becomes a bottleneck.
The bulk of investment into cathode production will need to focus on the two chemistries that are emerging as most popular: lithium iron phosphate (LFP) and NCM811.
Electrolytes and separators also need significant investment, with Benchmark’s analysis showing that the area needs $38 billion to close the supply gap by 2030.
Adding the cost of geopolitics
Currently, China dominates in every segment of the battery supply chain. With this, the country has built up substantial expertise in building the required production facilities at a relatively low cost.
The $514 billion bill for the industry will likely grow as countries increasingly look to develop regional supply chains. Take US lithium producer Albemarle, for example: their lithium refinery in Meishan, China, is projected to cost around $500 million for 50,000 tonnes LCE. Their equivalently sized facility in South Carolina, USA is projected to cost $1.3 billion.
IRA tax credits may lessen the burden on companies operating in the US, but ultimately the bill has to be paid, whether by a company or a government subsidising the industry.
Timeline considerations
A gigafactory can be built in two to five years. A refinery can be built in two. But the mines needed upstream of them take between 5 and 25 years to develop.
So even though gigafactories require the largest amount of investment, it is imperative that investment is made now in the mines. Otherwise, the gigafactories will stand idle with production constrained by limited feedstock.
The industry must use joined-up thinking to ensure all aspects of the supply chain grow in tandem to maximise efficiency, according to Simon Moores, chief executive of Benchmark.
Financing the battery arms race: the $514 billion cost of bridging the global EV supply chain divide | Benchmark Source
Globally, the battery industry needs to invest at least $514 billion across the whole supply chain to meet expected demand in 2030, and $920 billion by 2035, according to a new analysis by Benchmark. Demand for lithium ion batteries is forecast to grow to 3.7 terawatt-hours by 2030, up from...source.benchmarkminerals.com
That isn't going to play out so well for them at ICSID you'd imagineFor you Sam and @Frank…. I thought a few of us shareholders who posted AVZ’s story to official sponsors, banks and companies on various platforms ahead of the DRC MINING WEEK 2023 did a good job, and it was shortly after that we saw a major French mining company say it was pulling out of investing in the DRC because of the corruption.
Well you know me fella’s, I’ve already started putting my resources together ahead of THE VUKA GROUP’s next event…. The DRC - AFRICA BATTERY METALS FORUM 2023 event in September.
Here’s a little reminder of how the DRC government has shit on us over the last two years
"AVZ was invited by the DRC government to implement this agreement"
AVZ Minerals and DATHCOM since the genesis of the creation of the DRC Battery Council (DBC)?
In November 2021, AVZ Minerals represented by Nigel Ferguson Managing Director of AVZ, Balthazar Tshiseke Deputy Managing Director and Director of Dathcom, including Serge NganduGeneralAffairs Director of AVZ's Dathcom Mining subsidiary, was part of the Africa Business Forum. It was in particular in the presence of SE the Head of State, Felix Antoine Tshisekedi Tshilombo and his Zambian counterpart, SE Hakainde Hichilema.
The forum was led by the Minister of Industry, Julien Paluku in the presence of other members of the Congolese and Zambian government, including Mrs. Ève Bazaiba Masudi Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of the Environment and Sustainable Development, Mrs. Antoinette Nsamba Kalamba Kalambayi Minister of Mines.
The objective of the forum was to promote the development of an industrial value chain and a battery market, in the DRC in particular and in Africa in general.
Here is the statement of Nigel Ferguson, Managing Director of AVZ Minerals at this Forum in Kinshasa:
"The signing of this commitment provides a solid platform for the development of a battery mineral industry in the DRC, which AVZ wholeheartedly supports, and is also an incredibly significant development as we enter the final stages of obtaining the mining license and permits for the Manono project. The DRC and Africa are strategically positioned to play a central role in the global transition to clean energy and de-carbonization and the Manono project will greatly contribute to improving the lot of the Congolese people, which AVZ Minerals unreservedly supports. ”
At the end of this forum, the Congolese government as well as the technical and financial partners; CEA, AFC and BADEA signed an agreement for the development of a battery industry in the DRC.
Subsequently, AVZ was invited by the Congolese government to implement this agreement signed at the Africa Business Forum:
"We are delighted to be the only mining company in the making to have been invited to join the new DRC Battery Council, which will be chaired by the President of the DRC and the Executive Secretary of the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, as well as a myriad of other important organizations. "said Nigel Ferguson CEO of AVZ Minerals.
A roadmap in particular was agreed at the Africa Business Forum, which will consist of a public and private partnership to support the Congolese government for the implementation of the industrial value chain of Manono lithium batteries.
The Forum had as its objective, in particular, the planning for the creation of a Battery Council in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DBC) and the construction of an EZ (Special Economic Zone) between Greater Katanga and Zambia for the realization of an industrial supply chain of sustainable mineral batteries based on Manono lithium.
Here are the members and composition of the DRC Battery Council (DBC): Steering Committee: The President of the DRC and the Executive Secretary of the ECA, as well as eminent businessmen.
Members: Afreximbank, AFC, AfDB, BADEA, ALSF, UN Global Compact, selected NGOs.
Public: Ministers of Industry, Mining, Economy, Environment, Science and Technology of the DRC.
Private: Chairman of the Board of Directors of Gecamines; AVZ Minerals; Federation of Congo Enterprises (FEC); African Association of Automobile Manufacturers; Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund; Bosch.
University: Steinbeis University- Berlin; University of Lubumbashi (Polytechnic); University of Zambia (UNZA); University of Witwatersrand (SA); University of Mines and Technology (Ghana).
AVZ Minerals et DATHCOM dès la genèse de la création du Conseil de la Batterie de la RD Congo (DBC) ? - Kongo Presse
Par Kiki Kienge En novembre 2021, AVZ Minerals représenté par Nigel Ferguson Directeur Général d’AVZ, Balthazar Tshiseke Directeur Général Adjoint et Directeur de Dathcom, notamment de Serge Ngandu Directeur des…kongopress.com
Surely Nigel would like to have something sorted before the AGM . In the mean time we have the Cath extension to look forward to . imoThey will get smashed and embarrassed at ICSID, so much pointed evidence I feel like myself and MB could represent and still win. Word is Felix, MoM and Vital know this so lets see what sort of negotiated settlement pops up. Nigel and the team cannot be happy submitting depressing market updates for months on end surely
*Fyi, I see where,Summit for a new global financial pact in Paris: during a round table organized by the AfDB, Prime Minister Jean-Michel Sama Lukonde calls for more investment in the DRC, particularly in the energy sector
June 22, 2023 by COMMUNICATION CELL in NEWS
On the sidelines of the summit for a new global financial pact, which opened this Thursday, June 22, 2023, in Paris, capital of the French Republic, Prime Minister Jean-Michel Sama Lukonde took part in a presidential round table on the alliance for green infrastructure in Africa, “AGIA”, at the Palais Brongniart, organized by the African Development Bank (AfDB).
On behalf of the President of the Republic, Félix-Antoine Tshisekedi Tshilombo, Prime Minister Jean-Michel Sama Lukonde not only presented the opportunities offered by the Democratic Republic of Congo as a solution country on climate issues but also and above all, he called for more investment in the DRC, particularly in the energy sector, notably the INGA project.
“We want that alongside this structuring that you have made in terms of project support, we have more investors. Inga is a major integrating project. Initially we wanted a request of 13 billion. Today, the first sentence could ask for 7 billion. And so, we have private investors on the side, who can support us, so that we have the alternative in terms of energy for our populations. Who says energy, says water for these populations. And who says energy, says industries, agriculture, processing at the local level to improve the value chain, especially since we are involved in our role as a solution country, with minerals in the energy transition, in the manufacture of electric batteries. So there are high expectations on this side.
It should also be noted that "AGIA" is a coherent, inclusive and practical solution to accelerate the achievement of the net zero emissions objective. The objective of the alliance is to mobilize 10 billion dollars from the private sectors to finance green infrastructure in Africa.
The AfDB intends to raise $500 million for project preparation and development, which will catalyze targeted private investment of up to $10 billion for green and resilient infrastructure in Africa.
I wonder how easy people will give money to a fraudulent government of which JMS Lukonde is the PM!
The guy on the far right is the president of the Afr. Development Bank