Not sure many here, have the luxury of waiting another 18 years, me included..
Some think A.S.I. will be here before the end of the decade now.
Nobody really knows what that will mean, but probably not good, at least further down the track.
I'm hoping we'll be full steam ahead, within the next couple.
Sean said we were on the cusp of recurring revenue (I think in the quarterly before last).
I reckon that relates to the Nintendo Switch 2, which will certainly get things rolling nicely, if correct.
Hi Dingo,
Assuming our technology is involved in Nintendo Switch 2, I've been trying to get a feel for the type of revenue we could expect once sales start to ramp up.
I asked ChatGPT, how many Switch 2's would be projected to be sold each year on the basis of past sales and it said:
"Based on historical sales data and industry projections, the Nintendo Switch 2 is expected to achieve significant sales figures in its initial years. Analysts project that the console will sell between 15 and 17 million units in its first year, with total sales surpassing 80 million units by 2028." famiboards.com
For context, the original Nintendo Switch, released in 2017, has sold over 150 million units as of December 2024, making it one of Nintendo's most successful consoles.
As far as understand it, royalty calculations would depend on several factors, including licensing agreements and the pricing model used.
OPTION 1) The most common calculation appears to be "Per-Unit Royalty".
- Example: If the agreed royalty is $1 per unit and Nintendo sells 20 million units, BrainChip would earn $20 million in royalties.
OPTION 2) Another calculation could be "Percentage of Product Revenue" similar to how ARM sometimes structures deals.
- Example: If Nintendo sells the console for $400 and BrainChip gets 0.5% of sales, that’s $2 per unit.
According to the two options above, and so long as the analysts are actually correct about the projected
80 million units expected to being sold by 2028, then that would equate to the following potential revenue
over the next 2.5 years.
- UNDER OPTION 1) $80 million
- UNDER OPTION 2) $160 million
Obviously, these figures are just an example only because I have no idea what price or percentage per unit BrainChip has negotiated.
I guess, we're all going to know at a certain point, once sales start, whether we begin to see those sales reflected in our Quarterly Reports. If revenue comes in around this time-frame, it'll be pretty darn oblivious it's from Megachips, because it's not like we have an other potential opportunities that would sell that sort of quantity of units.
And, if we don't receive any revenue at all by October, then I'd say it would be fairly obvious we are not involved and we'll all have to toddle off to the pub to drown our sorrows.