BRN Discussion Ongoing

If you're happy with $1, I'm going to call you a non-believer in Akida, and might go as far as to call you a downramper.

I'm a newbie as I have only held for about 8 years. Back then, Brainchip Studio was the big thing. It was going to pick up casino croupier's errors and detect firearms in school surveillance footage. Now, if that was a possible use then, surely it still is. I'm willing to bet that someone is still working on it.

The Brainchip tech has come a long way since then and there are an innumerous uses for what it can do. Brainchip have been working with a long list of companies who either want to bring a product to market or protect themselves from invasion. Brainchip will have maneuvered themselves to the best financial outcomes. 'Best' being a trade-off between highest probability of a win and highest pay off.

It is possible that Akida will never end up being sold or at least in enough quantities as to make reasonable money. If so, a lot of reputable companies have been tricked into using resources on something that isn't any good. The possibility of it being a flop will require a flock of Black Swans to fly over.

So, why is it 21c now? Well, Brainchip have a lot of runs on the board for promising and not delivering. There have also been a lot of 'conscientious' investors adding to the expectations which have not been delivered. The 'conscientiousness' lifted the share price to the infamous $2.34 years ago when the company had far less to offer and some of the current advanced engagements weren't a twinkle in Brainchip's eye.

An informed market would know of Brainchip's potential and they would know of the years of non-delivery. Some of that market would have piled in before and got burnt. Maybe, more than once. That market is waiting to see real revenue or at least a watertight promise of it.

"One decent contract will make us profitable overnight" (yeah, that might not be verbatim). One contact profitable, two, very profitable as the incremental cost of selling IP is negligible. One contract is (almost) proof to other customers that Akida is valuable. Once contract leads to two and two, to four. Most contracts will have a licensing fee and down the road, royalties. A bit of expenditure on R & D and some corporate cost and the rest is profit. No need to market it anymore, everyone will want it.

The future has 3 options. 1. A flock of Black Swans fly over and we all remember how we lost our money. 2. Brainchip flounders around for a while and eventually the spoils of billions of dollars spent on edge AI go to a competitor (who may not yet exist). Or 3. A number of the current engagements turn into contracts and some new engagements turn into contracts and the success of the first adopters lead to a feeding frenzy and the 'conscientious investors' return with more conscientious investors and ...

You put probablilities on the three options (or add some more options). I'm not going to make the mistake of selling at $1 to watch if go to many dollars. I'm okay to not sell at $1 and watch it go back to 10c (again).

Cheers to everyone and lets hope option 3 wins and the sooner the better.

H2.
 
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Derby1990

Regular
Ah, the infamous $2.34
I remember that day like it was yesterday. My workmate asked me "aren't you tempted to sell, even a few?".
I said no, I think it's worth more.
We'll see how it pans out though. That number, two point three four, might just haunt me forever :unsure:
 
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Unless something goes terribly wrong at this point we have our first few contracts in sight.

NEXA glasses,
BH VPX card,
AFRL RTX partnership,
Quantum Ventura Lockheed Martin cybersecurity, Mirle Chelpis cybersecurity and robot dogs,
Andes Technology (who are currently presenting in Taiwan today),
Frontgrade Gaisler GR801 hopefully finished by years end.
ESA, OHB Hellas etc. etc.

My opinion is there is a plethora of opportunities for contracts to fall in the next 6-12 months.

Edge AI is in its infancy. I have been waiting both frustratingly and patiently but couldn’t be more excited about Brainchips future. The company is in a much better position today commercially than we were when the price was $2.34.

:)







 
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FF

  1. We’re proud to have attended and sponsored the GSA U.S. Executive Forum 2025 ✨It was a great opportunity to connect with leaders across the semiconductor industry and highlight how BrainChip’s Akida technology is shaping the future of intelligent computing at the edge A special thank you to our executives Sean Hehir, Steve Brightfield & James Shields who represented BrainChip at the event and shared our vision for innovation and growth.And of course, thank you to the Global Semiconductor Alliance for hosting such an impactful forum. We look forward to continuing the conversation and driving the industry forward #BrainChip#Akida
    event
 

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