Fullmoonfever
Top 20
Some info for you. Hope you get something from them.Hi Everyone
Just in regards to shorters, I'm trying to understand the way they work.
My understanding, which I could be completely wrong so please correct me.
They borrow a heap of shares, do they sit on them and then decide when is a good time for them to sell them, they then sell a massive amount so as to spook the market, triggering stop losses, thus this reduces the SP all the more and then when they think they've hit rock bottom they quickly buy back in so they can then return the borrowed shares? If this is the case then can we expect some frantic buying from them over the next couple of days/weeks, which should recover the SP?
Also thinking about the SP, I've been in since my baby girl was born, she's now 10, I see there are a lot of people here who are not happy about the SP and it seems that this is their only focus. I'm curious say if the SP had shot up to $1, would you sell or hold knowing what the potential is for BRN, I know I wouldn't sell, if you would still hold how is that any different to holding now. I appreciate some may need the money now which if that is the case I feel for you. I think people were expecting to see revenue towards the end of last year but the plan changed from a Chip supplier to selling IP which meant changes had to be made which took time to implement. I think that we could all agree that this will be far more beneficial for BRN in the long run.
Happy to be corrected, I don't often contribute here so please don't shoot me!
Thank you to all the great posts and finds, they are very much appreciated.
Also sorry if a similar question has already been asked about shorters.
Short selling is obviously an allowable transaction in the normal course of trading and can also be used for hedging but also by so called activists.
Short Selling: Pros, Cons, and Examples
Short selling occurs when an investor borrows a security, sells it on the open market, and expects to repurchase it for less money.
www.investopedia.com
Activist shorting is the same mechanism but can be driven differently as per the ASIC explanation and link below.
Activist short selling campaigns in Australia
This information sheet (INFO 255) outlines the practice of activist short selling campaigns in Australia and ASIC's expectations to promote market integrity during these campaigns. It:- briefly explains what activist short selling is
- describes the impact of activist short selling on markets
- provides an overview of the Australian regulatory framework relevant to these campaigns
- recommends better practices for activist short sellers and authors of short reports, market operators, target entities and market participants
- lists some of the actions that we may take in response to these campaigns.
What is activist short selling?
Short selling
People sometimes sell (short sell) financial products they do not own with a view to repurchasing them later at a lower price.Generally, where a person executes a short sale and relies on an existing securities lending arrangement to have a 'presently exercisable and unconditional right to vest' the products in the buyer at the time of sale, the sale is a covered short sale. Covered short selling in section 1020B financial products (e.g. securities, bonds and managed investment schemes) is permitted under the Corporations Act 2001 (Corporations Act).
Short selling without a securities lending arrangement is known as 'naked short selling' and is generally not permitted in section 1020B products in Australia. More information on short selling can be found in RG 196.
Activist short selling
Activist short selling involves a person taking a short position in a financial product and then publicly disseminating information (e.g. one or more reports) directly or through an agent to negatively impact the price of the product ('short report'). A short report may, for example, criticise an entity's finances, management, public disclosures or future prospects. A short report does not necessarily have to be in the form of a formal report. It could be, for example, a post on a social media platform, blog or online forum. The activist short seller expects the short report to cause the price of the financial product to fall, enabling them to realise a profit.Activist short selling campaigns are not new. Over time, they have received more attention with online news and social media outlets providing instantaneous access to a broad audience. This can exacerbate the speed and depth of the market's response to a short report.
Most campaigns against Australian entities have been by overseas activist short sellers that caveat their reports as not intended for an Australian audience. In practice, online distribution and reporting of campaigns by Australian media mean the reports (or their key messages) are widely accessed by Australians.
Our research indicates that activist short selling campaigns tend to target entities with complex and opaque corporate structures and accounting practices, or poor disclosure. They also tend to target companies with lower market capitalisation. There is also a tendency to follow cyclical trends (e.g. to target entities and industries that are high growth/high risk or may be overvalued or have experienced rapid security price growth). They may also target sectors that are technically complex and/or easily misunderstood (e.g. medical research, technology and mining).
Impact of activist short selling
Investors expect to transact in a fair and informed market. When activist short sellers provide accurate and meaningful new information, they can have a positive impact on price formation and market integrity as they may counterbalance excessive market optimism.Short reports can provide new research and analysis and test the veracity of information released by a target entity.
Some activist short sellers have exposed flawed business models, questionable business or accounting practices, insolvency and fraud in targeted entities.
However, activist short sellers can also unduly distort the price of a target entity's securities. For example, by making false or misleading statements, providing an incomplete view of the facts, drawing conclusions unsupported by adequate evidence or by using overly emotive or inflammatory language to distort the facts ('short and distort' campaigns).
Short reports are often released during trading hours for maximum and immediate effect on the price of the target entity's securities. The time taken:
- to request and implement a trading halt, and
- for the target entity to issue a response,
If the claims in a short report appear plausible or if the market suspects the target entity is subject to a 'short and distort' campaign (regardless of the plausibility of the short report claims), they can cause significant and immediate security price volatility. Other investors may be induced into selling the target entity's securities for less than their true value, potentially resulting in financial loss. If the price fall is as a result of a false or misleading statement, this can undermine investor confidence in the market and may affect their willingness to participate in the future.
This activity can also harm the reputation of the target entity. In addition to creating doubt in the minds of existing shareholders, it may discourage future investors, negatively influence future valuations and the price of the target entity's securities, and impact the target entity's ability to raise capital.