Winenut
GO AVZ!!!!
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Yes they do - The Brown Paper Bag RulesYes, but DRC rarely play by the rules.
How much is that plane worth? Just for future reference.View attachment 87557![]()
Le Président Félix Tshisekedi est arrivé à Luanda pour participer au sommet des affaires Usa- Afrique
Le Président de la République Félix Antoine Tshisekedi Tshilombo est arrivé ce lundi matin à Luanda, en Angola, pour participer au 17ème Sommet des affaires États-Unis -Afrique ( 2025, US- Africa Business Summit).presidence.cd
It looks like to me that Felix is going the US road...lets see
Could be a rent-a-plane plane, Felix is more dodgy than his make believe chinese omeca wotches.How much is that plane worth? Just for future reference.
I wish I could share your optimism....I am in Bali atm and don't have the time to read the many posts from today, but from what I have read my thoughts are ...
1. USA is pushing on with facilitation of the DRC/Rwanda peace agreement.
2. Kobold will not deal with the corrupt Cominiere.
3. Kobold will deal with DRC government and AVZ directly.
4. AVZ/DRC should have deferred the ICSID proceedings for 1 month rather than 1 week.
5. Despite the DRC not playing the game wrt ICSID as per AVZ's announcement today, following the peace agreement on 27-Jun, the process will see results that favour AVZ ... albeit over several steps, and the DRC goverment will have to involve AVZ even though it is clear that they despise AVZ.
6. Several people have today been posting ridiculous inflamatory posts on TSE that are really uncalled for and these posts have been despite AVZ specifically requesting posters to not do this.
Btw I wish I was in Bali, it is bloody cold in WA and am not and don't wish to be used to this anymore.I wish I could share your optimism....
1. AVZ/DRC ICSID deferment was for 1 month rather than 1 week.
2. DRC appointed the ceo of Cominière as one of their advisors for the negotiations of minerals for security deal.
Sorry Jongo, maybe being in Bali could well mean you are slightly disconnected, mate.
However my personal opinion is that the extension of the DRC proceedings was not to please anything else than the USA, in regards of the negotiations and am very happy the DRC choose the path they took, so AVZ can continue with the ICSID procedure and say 'I told you what the DRC is all about'.
Side effect is, if the ICSID arbitration is allowed to run its case, Kobold Metals will know a little more about the true Manono value.
Also the AVZ - Kobold deal is non binding, there could well be Chinese interested parties.
The future is interesting, will the DRC/Kobold try to bleed AVZ to death?
Who knows.....
Don’t know that that would be the case. Kobold are not under any legal or other pressure to pay us for unrealised gains. Which is what the court is supposed to do. We are saying to court. We could have made A but corrupt actors ruined our opportunity to do so and are therefor in debt to us for A. But kobold are paying us for the right to realise the gains we cannot due to the corruption. So they need to make their nut it must be below the actual value. Otherwise why would they mine it?Been thinking again.
Now that ICSID has been resumed, it means that the financial claim stated by AVZ has to now be the benchmark.
If AVZ go the full course with a >US$10B claim and are successful, then Kobold will have to reimburse AVZ that amount in order to take over the project. OR, can AVZ go double bubble and hamstring DRC with a financial claim that entails ICSID enforcing the amount payable, acquire the funds then flog off the rights for another amount.
I'm not sure..
Been thinking again.
Now that ICSID has been resumed, it means that the financial claim stated by AVZ has to now be the benchmark.
If AVZ go the full course with a >US$10B claim and are successful, then Kobold will have to reimburse AVZ that amount in order to take over the project. OR, can AVZ go double bubble and hamstring DRC with a financial claim that entails ICSID enforcing the amount payable, acquire the funds then flog off the rights for another amount.
I'm not sure..
Been thinking again.
Now that ICSID has been resumed, it means that the financial claim stated by AVZ has to now be the benchmark.
If AVZ go the full course with a >US$10B claim and are successful, then Kobold will have to reimburse AVZ that amount in order to take over the project. OR, can AVZ go double bubble and hamstring DRC with a financial claim that entails ICSID enforcing the amount payable, acquire the funds then flog off the rights for another amount.
I'm not sure..
Got ya knickers in a knot there Timbo! AVZ has the golden nugget and can also say no to any offers it considers low ball. Glass can be half full or half empty!No one HAS to buy AVZ. We are worth what buyers say we are worth. It's as simple as that.
If any company in the world has US$10 Billion to spend on Lithium they're buying PLS, twice.
Got ya knickers in a knot there Timbo! AVZ has the golden nugget and can also say no to any offers it considers low ball. Glass can be half full or half empty!
While I don't know how significant the CCP's influence/role in resolving these matters is atm, I think we should not ignore or discount it - they are still live actors with an significant iron in the fire (for them). They still pull a lot of political strings in the DRC. Who knows, it could benefit their interests to play a clandestine subversive role by supporting Rwandan forces to distract American attention/forces from elsewhere - just don't make any assumptions or put anything past anybody. If Zinjin/CCP could be severely weakened would be a huge benefit in weakening the DRC hand -> hence the important role of the ICSID. But there's so much at stake for the CCP to just walk away from this game (including face) given their growing presence in Africa, it could be a key/strategic inflection point - so it could take some pretty hard knocking together of heads to get it sorted. Will the ICSID provide this - I don't know. It could require a coordinated strategic combination of timed hits against DRC/CCP players to get things moving. DRC/CCP players will exploit any & every weakness or chink they can find, including running down our finances etcGotta disagree.
I don't think the DRC government are fools.
They have stayed true to their own totally corrupted selves and will continue to do so.
They are not interested in general DRC wellbeing. They are interested in themselves and to a much lesser extent the clans that give them strength.
Their MO is designed to keep them:
Out of prison
In power.
Continuing to collect large paper bags.
Nothing has changed, nor will it ever.
None of us are party to the goings on but the government has conceded nothing, is still in power and is still collecting all of the other paper bags from that huge country.
I'm quite sure that US military power, or lack thereof, means that they will eventually have to play ball, but remember all of the leverage, known and ' unknown ' that th CCP has to delay and obfuscate in an attempt to wear AVZ and the West down.
They will do what CCP tells them to do until it's no lnger tenable.