obe wan
Regular
Its USD so 420m AUD$260m/4b shares is 6.5cps
Its USD so 420m AUD$260m/4b shares is 6.5cps
Yep, so AUD 10.5cpsIts USD so 420m AUD
Based on shares registered ; they’ve acquired GLH so not sure how issued shares work in that regard as yet . But current shares issued is circa 3.6billion ; based on 30.5% that’s circa 1.1B shares for 420m AUD that’s around 38c roughlyYep, so AUD 10.5cps
Don't we need FIRB approval for this new agreement?Based on shares registered ; they’ve acquired GLH so not sure how issued shares work in that regard as yet . But current shares issued is circa 3.6billion ; based on 30.5% that’s circa 1.1B shares for 420m AUD that’s around 38c roughly
For your 6.5cps , you initially divided 260m USA ‘value’ by a quantity of 4 billion shares and didn’t use fhe 30.5% factor . AVZ is currently valued at $2.77b at the suspended price.
No, GLH is incorporated in SingaporeDon't we need FIRB approval for this new agreement?
Yes because the Australian government has been SOOO keen to make sure this project stays in Australian hands....Don't we need FIRB approval for this new agreement?
"First deal was 24% for $240mil. ~1 Bil MCToo me on the whole seems positive.
The big question is not how does this value the company, it's how does the valuation compare to the initial CATH deal.
(rounded figures, i'm lazy)
First deal was 24% for $240mil. ~1 Bil MC
This deal 30% for $280mil. ~0.86 Bil MC
So despite AVZ's situation, and aaaall the shit we've been through, and still have to go through...
it seems CATH still willing to value the company similarly to their previous arrangement.
Sure, slightly less, circa 15%, but they' thrown in some other sweeteners to help us power through to the end of this shit show. That's a very positive sign to me. Don't use this price to try and estimate what our MC should be. Just as useless as trying to do the same thing when they made the first deal. OF COURSE they are getting a bargain! Because of what else they can bring to the table. They get a good deal but it increases the value overall because it increases the potential of what we can achieve.
But on the whole:
This is the best sign we've received in years that we are nearing the end of this thing, we're gonna survive it, get what we deserve!
Some more random thoughts.
This is still a great deal for the Chinese. They will get all the Lithium they need.
- They will get the lithium cheap, but this thing is so fk'ing huge i'm sure it's still gonna work out well for us holders.
- USA is fkd now. They did fk all to help us out so too bad for them. China will continue to control the worlds lithium supply. Maybe CATH caught wind of US or other companies sniffing around AVZ and so decided to just make a move and lock things in?
- Chinese companies often compete against each other. Time for CATH to squash Zijin.
- CATH can apply pressure in ways that AVZ can't. It's good to have a clear commitment from them that we're in this thing together and they are fully throwing their weight behind pushing forwards WITH AVZ.
- I'm not clear how the 'discount' works..
I was worried I'd made a mistake somewhere in my roughing it out, and very glad the correction aparently works in our favour"First deal was 24% for $240mil. ~1 Bil MC
This deal 30% for $280mil. ~0.86 Bil MC"
Previous deal was 24% of Dathcom.
This is 30.5% of GLH (currently 75% of Dathcom)
So roughly similar valuation looks like.
Surely not?Brown paper bags at 10 paces - Mr Pei v Zijin
Yes i think that is the way it will go...imoSurely not?
Zijin get the north, CATH the south.
Is that you Hoots ????Chinese don’t think the way we western do. If going by what’s been published this “deal” will allow legal access on the tenement. Once that occurs they will be impossible to remove especially with this capital expenditure funding agreement and grey repayment clause. They will do a Mali and LLL and squeeze AVZ for the whole company in collaboration with DRC government. Once the foots in the door they will do everything to get it all. This just accelerates that aggressive and illegal takeover.
Don’t know about that ; it’s states in the ann - PR13359 The Mining Licence . Sounds to me like the JV is going for the lot I.e. North and SouthSurely not?
Zijin get the north, CATH the south.
Zijin and CATH have very different motivations.Surely not?
Zijin get the north, CATH the south.