Xerof
Biding my Time 1971
Most of the 4.5 mtpa is under contract but if US want to help in a 10mtpa with CATH at 9 % it is a win win as CATH through its link with CATL will be supplying car majors I'm the USA.
Why and how the DG of CAMI can hold up the surface rights is the issue IMO.
Unless parts of CDL remains unclear as management have never specifically said that CDL conflict is resolved.
Binding off takes so far based on 4.5mt pa (700k concentrate):
Ganfeng 160kmt pa, 5 years plus another 5years at their option
Chenxing 180kmt pa, 3 years, extended at MUTUAL agreement
Yibin (CATL) 200kmt pa, 3 years plus 2 more at their option
CATH (CATL) will take up to 50% of annual production if expand to 10mt pa (1600mt concentrate), so 800kmt to them (not sure if this excludes or includes Yibin supply)
There is some allowance for PLS within the first 3 contracts, IIRC about 45kmt pa for this
Overall, lions share would go to China in early years, but remember, CATH is yet to be signed off
Not a lot left for anyone else eh?