You are not playing the numbers.
Occidental Petroleum Corporation v. Ecuador (ICSID Case No. ARB/06/11)
- Final Award: In October 2012, the tribunal awarded Occidental Petroleum approximately $1.77 billion (plus interest) for Ecuador’s unlawful termination of an oil exploration contract.
- Payout/Settlement: In 2015, Ecuador and Occidental reached a settlement. Ecuador paid $980 million to Occidental, a significant reduction from the original award, after negotiations and an annulment proceeding that partially upheld the award. The settlement was publicly reported as a resolution to avoid further enforcement actions.
They received half the payout as was awarded. Equadors GDP is 1.6 the size of DRCs. Equador is 40 places better ranked on the corruption index than DRC.
This is assuming the ICSID agrees with our claim and gives us the full 10 Billion. Occidental Petroleum were asking for 3.4 Billion (awarded 1.77). The effective payout was 25%.
If we are given 5 Billion USD settlement, we take it. Effective payout of 50%.