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I’m going to call @VictorG next week to confirm details and will post an updateThanks Rocket missed it. Will check tab out![]()
I’m going to call @VictorG next week to confirm details and will post an updateThanks Rocket missed it. Will check tab out![]()
Looks like his suffering bad from jaundice lol
my own humble opinion is that anything between $10-70 is possible until 2030.![]()
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Should Sean be spending more time communicating with shareholders ... or spending that time talking to partners and customers? I know where I want him spending his time.Hi M_C:.
Yes the SP is not good but it's not what I'm refering to, it's the lack of communication from the Management, Sean should be communicating more with Shareholders and I'm talking about Twitter posts because that in the scheme of things can easily be discarded.
Are we talking brn in billions of productsmy own humble opinion is that anything between $10-70 is possible until 2030.
If Brainchip delivers, and I personally believe they will. Then this will be the forum of the rich brainchip shareholders.
What's peoples thought on a time frame that they think Brn will be hitting the road hard with deals/licences and decent revenue to push us beyondlet's say 3 bucks per share ?
Yes it's a guessing game but I'm just interested in people's personal views on the matter.
And no cheeky replies saying "mmm duh why don't you do a poll .![]()
So, pretty much what I said without all the Brainiac stuff calculations.........$3 SP = $5.4B MC. At a high PE100 will require $54M NPAT / 0.7 ATO = $77.14M EBITDA / 0.65 = $118.68M revenue.
To maintain around $3 SP with hot PE100 requires circa $120M revenue.
$5.4B MC / $120M revenue = x45 revenue multiple.
A Nasdaq listing could result in PE150 similar to Nvidia & would require $36M NPAT & $79.12M revenue.
$5.4B MC / $80M revenue = x67.5 revenue multiple.
PE100 & PE150 are quite high so would require high growth rate & high forward looking revenue.
So the question becomes, how long until BRN can generate $80-120M revenue?
Could be quite fast such as via 50c royalty from Qualcomm x 200M smart phones = $100M revenue.
Or slower such as via Mercedes with premium cars having about 70 MCU's x 15% AI equipped = 10 x 2M cars pa = 20M x $1 royalty = $20M revenue. If 50% of the 70 MCU's are AI equipped in future due to extra sensors/Lidar etc = 35 x 2M cars pa = 70M x $1 royalty = $70M revenue.
I allowed higher royalty for Mercedes as their products are more expensive & royalty was going to be higher for more expensive products.
Then there will also be washing machine, dryer, air conditioner etc applications for MCU's as well. Will take a few years for mass adoption & there will be hundreds of millions units per year. May start with 25-50M units first year x 50c royalty = $12.5-25M revenue & within 2-3 years reach $100M revenue.
Combination of the above should result in about $100M revenue by end of next year including more license agreements. Thus SP should maintain around $3 SP towards the end of 2024. But it will need to be at a high PE100-150.
However, BRN SP tends to spike due to market excitement so it would not surprise me to see SP at $3 on the back of a couple of big name license agreements. If Qualcomm were to be announced it would create a frenzy & the $100M revenue will get priced in within 3-4 months of the announcement. 50c SP x 6 run to $3 SP would be highly likely as we had 39c SP x 6 run to $2.34 intraday peak when Mercedes was announced without any revenue.
So $3 SP could come as early as next 6 months or as late as end of 2024. The earlier it gets to $3 SP without revenue the higher the probability of a 50% retrace to $1.50.
Happy Easter to all.
Well laid out Steve and some great scenarios shown.$3 SP = $5.4B MC. At a high PE100 will require $54M NPAT / 0.7 ATO = $77.14M EBITDA / 0.65 = $118.68M revenue.
To maintain around $3 SP with hot PE100 requires circa $120M revenue.
$5.4B MC / $120M revenue = x45 revenue multiple.
A Nasdaq listing could result in PE150 similar to Nvidia & would require $36M NPAT & $79.12M revenue.
$5.4B MC / $80M revenue = x67.5 revenue multiple.
PE100 & PE150 are quite high so would require high growth rate & high forward looking revenue.
So the question becomes, how long until BRN can generate $80-120M revenue?
Could be quite fast such as via 50c royalty from Qualcomm x 200M smart phones = $100M revenue.
Or slower such as via Mercedes with premium cars having about 70 MCU's x 15% AI equipped = 10 x 2M cars pa = 20M x $1 royalty = $20M revenue. If 50% of the 70 MCU's are AI equipped in future due to extra sensors/Lidar etc = 35 x 2M cars pa = 70M x $1 royalty = $70M revenue.
I allowed higher royalty for Mercedes as their products are more expensive & royalty was going to be higher for more expensive products.
Then there will also be washing machine, dryer, air conditioner etc applications for MCU's as well. Will take a few years for mass adoption & there will be hundreds of millions units per year. May start with 25-50M units first year x 50c royalty = $12.5-25M revenue & within 2-3 years reach $100M revenue.
Combination of the above should result in about $100M revenue by end of next year including more license agreements. Thus SP should maintain around $3 SP towards the end of 2024. But it will need to be at a high PE100-150.
However, BRN SP tends to spike due to market excitement so it would not surprise me to see SP at $3 on the back of a couple of big name license agreements. If Qualcomm were to be announced it would create a frenzy & the $100M revenue will get priced in within 3-4 months of the announcement. 50c SP x 6 run to $3 SP would be highly likely as we had 39c SP x 6 run to $2.34 intraday peak when Mercedes was announced without any revenue.
So $3 SP could come as early as next 6 months or as late as end of 2024. The earlier it gets to $3 SP without revenue the higher the probability of a 50% retrace to $1.50.
Happy Easter to all.
What a calculation and no one can make a fault out of that.$3 SP = $5.4B MC. At a high PE100 will require $54M NPAT / 0.7 ATO = $77.14M EBITDA / 0.65 = $118.68M revenue.
To maintain around $3 SP with hot PE100 requires circa $120M revenue.
$5.4B MC / $120M revenue = x45 revenue multiple.
A Nasdaq listing could result in PE150 similar to Nvidia & would require $36M NPAT & $79.12M revenue.
$5.4B MC / $80M revenue = x67.5 revenue multiple.
PE100 & PE150 are quite high so would require high growth rate & high forward looking revenue.
So the question becomes, how long until BRN can generate $80-120M revenue?
Could be quite fast such as via 50c royalty from Qualcomm x 200M smart phones = $100M revenue.
Or slower such as via Mercedes with premium cars having about 70 MCU's x 15% AI equipped = 10 x 2M cars pa = 20M x $1 royalty = $20M revenue. If 50% of the 70 MCU's are AI equipped in future due to extra sensors/Lidar etc = 35 x 2M cars pa = 70M x $1 royalty = $70M revenue.
I allowed higher royalty for Mercedes as their products are more expensive & royalty was going to be higher for more expensive products.
Then there will also be washing machine, dryer, air conditioner etc applications for MCU's as well. Will take a few years for mass adoption & there will be hundreds of millions units per year. May start with 25-50M units first year x 50c royalty = $12.5-25M revenue & within 2-3 years reach $100M revenue.
Combination of the above should result in about $100M revenue by end of next year including more license agreements. Thus SP should maintain around $3 SP towards the end of 2024. But it will need to be at a high PE100-150.
However, BRN SP tends to spike due to market excitement so it would not surprise me to see SP at $3 on the back of a couple of big name license agreements. If Qualcomm were to be announced it would create a frenzy & the $100M revenue will get priced in within 3-4 months of the announcement. 50c SP x 6 run to $3 SP would be highly likely as we had 39c SP x 6 run to $2.34 intraday peak when Mercedes was announced without any revenue.
So $3 SP could come as early as next 6 months or as late as end of 2024. The earlier it gets to $3 SP without revenue the higher the probability of a 50% retrace to $1.50.
Happy Easter to all.
From within the article. Very nice plug. That's two nuggets in one day @Rocket577Guess one one has a company email to download this report and then post it.
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Embedded World 2023—the Latest IoT Chipset and Edge Trends
36-page event report highlighting key insights from Embedded World 2023, one of the world’s leading fairs for the embedded community.iot-analytics.com