TRADING OPPORTUNITIES

CashKing

Regular
Thanks Disco, i dont like losing, even worse when others lose with me, hey just a thought, as you are coming to Perth, maybe we catch up for a drink, along with @Cashcity and maybe even @JAG too............just a thought :unsure:
Ohh are you paying for the drinks 😂 cash kinda tied up atm lolololololo
 
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DiscoDanNZ

Regular
Thanks Disco, i dont like losing, even worse when others lose with me, hey just a thought, as you are coming to Perth, maybe we catch up for a drink, along with @Cashcity and maybe even @JAG too............just a thought :unsure:

Yeah I'd definitely be keen for that, what area are you guys in/suits? I'll have to cross reference that to the wife's itinerary spreadsheet :ROFLMAO:
 
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Winenut

Go AVZ!
@Cashcity , @CHB , @DiscoDanNZ , @Winenut

Sorry chaps for your short term loss..............nothing wrong with my chart, it was the FA that let us down.

When you only have 2mt indicated out of 13m at a lowly grade of 1.2%, that aint gonna cut it when the overall trend of lithium stocks is bearish.........

MRE needed more indicated and higher grade ...............should never of been a TH for that.

LRS had alot of good pockets of 3% hits, so i thought the overall grade would of been in the 1.5% vicinity, :unsure::unsure:

View attachment 24002



View attachment 24003

These 2 charts aint helping the lithium cause.............more pain to come i reckon.


View attachment 24005

Currently the trend still intact for LRS with strong support at 12.5 / 11, altho trend has been broken with the RSI 14.

Hoping support holds, but given the bearish macro, no guarantee.

Big drill programme early next year ......65000m worth, plenty of upside.

Your choice is HOLD or SELL in the mean time.


imo
No apologies required Beish

We're all grown up and responsible for our own actions

I simply appreciate the viewpoints and the discussion......everything else is up to the individual

Cheers
:cool:
 
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CHB

Regular
No apologies required Beish

We're all grown up and responsible for our own actions

I simply appreciate the viewpoints and the discussion......everything else is up to the individual

Cheers
:cool:
speak for yourself

i'm invoicing a reimbursement charge to beisha :cool:
 
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CHB

Regular
Good stuff mate

I sincerely hope that what you say about PLS doesn't come true, especially if it hits the 61 fib. If that's the case then all lithium stocks will go down IMO


:cry:
 
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BEISHA

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Sorry brother to have been the bearer of bad news........but you were right in your statement,

ALL LITHIUM STOCKS ARE GOING DOWN .

Take heart in the fact that AVZ is still suspended tho..........other wise it would be pummelled in its current situation.



imo
 
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Remark

Top 20
MRR looking tasty @ 3.2c. Couldn't resist a top up at these levels.

Assay results to be announced early next year apparently.
 

CHB

Regular
Not much dry powder left to take advantage unfortunately.

If your charts are about right then we might still see another ~ 10% drop?
 
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BEISHA

Top 20
Not much dry powder left to take advantage unfortunately.

If your charts are about right then we might still see another ~ 10% drop?

PLS got close to touching the 50 fib ( 381.76 ), before a nice correction up took place .......was that the low ?

1671341774042.png


Hard to tell, SP is sort of in no mans land atm, with no great support until the 61 fib ( 339.35 ), where co incidentally the 200 ma lies.

Strong support lies at 320, but will it go that low given RSI 14 is very close to over sold ?

Conversely, if 440 strong resistance is broken to the upside, then that could be the signal for a change of trend.

Its a wait & see, next week will reveal more.


AKE


1671343469680.png


How low can AKE go with RSI 14 at oversold 30 ?

RSI 14 has gone as low as 20 in the past.

Its a wait & see, next week will reveal more.


LTR ( @taofufa )


1671344114700.png


LTR has now hit the 50 fib support ( 154 ), how much lower can that go given RSI 14 is now oversold 28 ?

Historically, RSI 14 has gone as low as 20.


Its a wait & see, next week will reveal more.


ESS

1671346098115.png


Well, what a fucking train wreck ESS is !!

SP sitting right at the bottom of the support zone, failure to hold there, then next support isnt until 24

RSI 14 is at 21, hisorically has gone as low as 19.

Its a wait and see, next week will reveal more.


GLN

1671346932988.png

GLN has now reached the .786 support line ( 110 )

How much lower can this go with RSI 14 over sold at 24 ?

Historically RSI 14 has gone as low as 19, so a drop down to 99 / 92 support zone is still a possibility.

Its a wait and see, next week will reveal more.


LRS ( @DiscoDanNZ , @CHB , @Winenut )

1671347656039.png


Well, i had high hopes that LRS would buck the lithium bear, but alas, its following the same path as all the others, with yellow arrow highlighting a clear break of the long term trend line.

RSI 14 @ 38 is not over sold, so the fear is that if 10 support doesnt hold, then a drop to 8c could be on the cards.

I thank my lucky stars i sold majority of holdings at 13c, the day of the announcement of MRE, i was holding 70k worth

Just holding 10k worth now with a SL @ 9.8


MACRO


1671348533139.png


Given the DOW potentially has another 2000pt drop and Li prices on the slide, i have alot of cash on the side lines atm and will not act on any of the stocks listed above until a base build and development of higher lows / highs has been defined.

I used to be guilty of predictive charting, but now i prefer to trade based on PRICE ACTION, no matter how attractive a opportunity looks right now.

In my experience, stocks can still develop lower lows in OVER SOLD conditions on the RSI 14, the same way as stocks can still develop higher lows / highs in OVER BOUGHT conditions too.


So i will sit on my hands and observe next week PRICE ACTION.



imo
 

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taofufa

Member
PLS got close to touching the 50 fib ( 381.76 ), before a nice correction up took place .......was that the low ?

View attachment 24728

Hard to tell, SP is sort of in no mans land atm, with no great support until the 61 fib ( 339.35 ), where co incidentally the 200 ma lies.

Strong support lies at 320, but will it go that low given RSI 14 is very close to over sold ?

Conversely, if 440 strong resistance is broken to the upside, then that could be the signal for a change of trend.

Its a wait & see, next week will reveal more.


AKE


View attachment 24730

How low can AKE go with RSI 14 at oversold 30 ?

RSI 14 has gone as low as 20 in the past.

Its a wait & see, next week will reveal more.


LTR ( @taofufa )


View attachment 24731

LTR has now hit the 50 fib support ( 154 ), how much lower can that go given RSI 14 is now oversold 28 ?

Historically, RSI 14 has gone as low as 20.


Its a wait & see, next week will reveal more.


ESS

View attachment 24737

Well, what a fucking train wreck ESS is !!

SP sitting right at the bottom of the support zone, failure to hold there, then next support isnt until 24

RSI 14 is at 21, hisorically has gone as low as 19.

Its a wait and see, next week will reveal more.


GLN

View attachment 24739
GLN has now reached the .786 support line ( 110 )

How much lower can this go with RSI 14 over sold at 24 ?

Historically RSI 14 has gone as low as 19, so a drop down to 99 / 92 support zone is still a possibility.

Its a wait and see, next week will reveal more.


LRS ( @DiscoDanNZ , @CHB , @Winenut )

View attachment 24741

Well, i had high hopes that LRS would buck the lithium bear, but alas, its following the same path as all the others, with yellow arrow highlighting a clear break of the long term trend line.

RSI 14 @ 38 is not over sold, so the fear is that if 10 support doesnt hold, then a drop to 8c could be on the cards.

I thank my lucky stars i sold majority of holdings at 13c, the day of the announcement of MRE, i was holding 70k worth

Just holding 10k worth now with a SL @ 9.8


MACRO


View attachment 24743

Given the DOW potentially has another 2000pt drop and Li prices on the slide, i have alot of cash on the side lines atm and will not act on any of the stocks listed above until a base build and development of higher lows / highs has been defined.

I used to be guilty of predictive charting, but now i prefer to trade based on PRICE ACTION, no matter how attractive a opportunity looks right now.

In my experience, stocks can still develop lower lows in OVER SOLD conditions on the RSI 14, the same way as stocks can still develop higher lows / highs in OVER BOUGHT conditions too.


So i will sit on my hands and observe next week PRICE ACTION.



imo
Decided to topup LTR today, broke 61.8 fibonacchi but RSI hitting 20 ( lower than June) next gap at 1.21 ?

Today annoucement is solid ( IMO), looking at shortman the short level is not high ( only ~4%),

Not sure what to takes on the fairly bigger volume in these few days. ( triggered stop losses ?)
1671519967238.png


Also waiting to topup GLN at 99
 
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BEISHA

Top 20
Decided to topup LTR today, broke 61.8 fibonacchi but RSI hitting 20 ( lower than June) next gap at 1.21 ?

Today annoucement is solid ( IMO), looking at shortman the short level is not high ( only ~4%),

Not sure what to takes on the fairly bigger volume in these few days. ( triggered stop losses ?)
View attachment 24936

Also waiting to topup GLN at 99
If you are a long term investor, then a top up at these levels is perfectly fine, however, as a trading opportunity, i aint seeing any signs of a bottom yet.......;)

1671672280466.png

4, 8, 21 ema all pointing south........no sign of it flattening out

MACD.........green line still pointing south ( needs to cross the red line )

61 fib ( 139 ) support broken, could potentially drop to the 78 fib ( 116 ) support

MACRO is bearish still.

For me to get excited about a trade with LTR, i need to see the green line cross the red on the MACD and SP to breach the 4 & 8 ema, to start the accumulation phase.

ATM.......TA wise , its still a wait and see for me.


GLN

1671673837648.png


GLN still in the same boat as LTR...........altho i am noticing that green line on the MACD flattening out a bit and closer to the red signal line.............histogram still negative, need to see postive bars appearing.


Still a wait and see for me.


imo
 
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@BEISHA What are your thoughts on AGY at the moment?
 

BEISHA

Top 20
@BEISHA What are your thoughts on AGY at the moment?
1672052712315.png


Looking at the WEEKLY chart for AGY, it appears that sub wave 3 up is complete, with sub wave 4 down taking place.

This theory is supported by the MACD, with the green line dropping below the red signal line and histogram displaying a negative bar line, once SP drops below the 21 ema........that will be confirmed.

Looking at the RSI 14, bottom yellow trend line has been broken to the down side, with upper blue trend line displaying divergence........which is bearish.

So if i am right with sub wave 4 down, that wave normally finishes around the 38 fib, or the height of sub wave 1 up, so either 44.97 or 36.4 support lines is my guess.


imo
 
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JNRB

Regular
Hey @BEISHA , thanks for setting up these threads. 2023 I want to be a bit more focused on my understanding of charts and technical analysis so this is a great help.
 
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BEISHA

Top 20
Hey @BEISHA , thanks for setting up these threads. 2023 I want to be a bit more focused on my understanding of charts and technical analysis so this is a great help.
You may want to have a look at the ROBIN HOOD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS thread, there is a bunch of videos to watch and learn there, the recent video i dropped is what i am adopting on this thread.......;)
 

ptlas

Regular
You may want to have a look at the ROBIN HOOD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS thread, there is a bunch of videos to watch and learn there, the recent video i dropped is what i am adopting on this thread.......;)
Sorry mate
Don't have time to post properly, but noticed ESS had a tail today on huge volume.
Sitting on support
 

BEISHA

Top 20
Sorry mate
Don't have time to post properly, but noticed ESS had a tail today on huge volume.
Sitting on support
Lol.........880,000 aint HUGE VOLUME, but certainly i have been noticing some "green shoots ", not only with ESS, but the entire lithium sector.

DAILY CHART................ESS

1672403577870.png


Blue bubbles from the top.

a) Nice inverted hammer candle on the HEIKEN ASHI ( usually formed at the end of a down trend )

b) green line converging with the red signal line on the MACD

c) RSI 14 ..........developing some higher highs / lows coming off OVERSOLD 20


1 HOURLY CHART ESS

1672403464030.png


Good action on the hourly.

a) 4 & 8 ema cross 21 ema..................Bullish

b) Green line cross the red signal line with histogram positive on the MACD......bullish.

c) Nice trend developing on the RSI 14.

The worm is definitely turning for ESS.



I will throw out a heap more charts on the weekend, PLS, AKE, LTR, GLN, ASN , CRR etc.........all following in the same vein


Have a happy new year PTLAS and hoping you can find some time to collaborate with me on some of these charts from time to time.


robin hood tree target.gif



imo
 
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CHB

Regular
Did all the charts posted a week or two ago end up doing the same thing out of curiosity?
 

ptlas

Regular
Lol.........880,000 aint HUGE VOLUME, but certainly i have been noticing some "green shoots ", not only with ESS, but the entire lithium sector.

DAILY CHART................ESS

View attachment 25651

Blue bubbles from the top.

a) Nice inverted hammer candle on the HEIKEN ASHI ( usually formed at the end of a down trend )

b) green line converging with the red signal line on the MACD

c) RSI 14 ..........developing some higher highs / lows coming off OVERSOLD 20


1 HOURLY CHART ESS

View attachment 25650

Good action on the hourly.

a) 4 & 8 ema cross 21 ema..................Bullish

b) Green line cross the red signal line with histogram positive on the MACD......bullish.

c) Nice trend developing on the RSI 14.

The worm is definitely turning for ESS.



I will throw out a heap more charts on the weekend, PLS, AKE, LTR, GLN, ASN , CRR etc.........all following in the same vein


Have a happy new year PTLAS and hoping you can find some time to collaborate with me on some of these charts from time to time.


View attachment 25652


imo
My mistake was looking at options not heads after a 'couple'of Cooper's.

It may be a subtle clue about a trend change though.
Will watch.

Good job I wasn't trading.

Will be posting a lot more on stocks in new year.
 

BEISHA

Top 20
Did all the charts posted a week or two ago end up doing the same thing out of curiosity?
@taofufa , @Bin59

PLS

1672482405851.png


AKE

1672482478922.png


LTR

1672482519608.png



GLN

1672482556160.png


Up until last thursday / friday, all lithium stocks were taking a massive hit after good runs and now the worm is turning up on all lithium stocks too......;)

All the yellow bubbles on ALL the charts listed above indicate a common theme....

a) Bullish harami candle patterns emerging with HEIKEN ASHI candle displaying wick up.............bullish

b) Green line curling and converging with the red signal line on the MACD...........bullish

c) RSI 14 spiking up from massively over sold positions........bullish

For some reason, COMMSEC IRESS wont allow HOURLY charts on the weekend, but if you refer to ESS chart, the correlation is the same

As a result of this , i have started accumulating LTR, PLS and topping up on GLN...........I havnt gone hard, cause the MACRO is still bearish atm.

I have set tight stop losses ( horizontal yellow lines ) just in case this is a fake out.


I will add to my positions when the swing is confirmed, that is when....

a) SP clear breaks the 8 / 21 ema

b) RSI 14 clear breaks the upper trend line

c) Green line clear breaks the red signal line with histogram being positive on the MACD


imo
 
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