BRN Discussion Ongoing

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Thanks for introducing me to Heiken-Ashi @DingoBorat.

I’m not really all that into charting, I’m more a long-term hold, and ride the roller coaster kind of investor. But I must admit that, on first visit, Heiken-Ashi does indeed appear to be a trend spotting tool.

I also agree that charts can confirm market sentiment, which often drives prices and can help explain seeming insanity. But I tend to let the science do most of the convincing for me.

As an exercise, I have included the Heiken-Ashi chart for BrainChip. To my untrained eye, it appears to be demonstrating indecision at the moment. Brave traders may see this as a reversal, but it could be a false indicator, similar to those at $1.70, $1.20, and $1.10. The green, confirmed up trends, and red, confirmed down trends, of the past, are quite easy to spot. And I take it the “tails” a take some getting used to. For instance, in the uptrend from 70c to,$2.30, all,bars have decent tails, which, as I understand it, indicates trend-changing pressure. It would take a brave trader to ignore those and stay the path.

But therein also lies my aversion to all forms of charting, they all lag and are open to interpretation! Plus you MUST always consider the real-world picture which can shape the chart and cause deception. Events such as demergers, splits, consolidations, and special distributions can throw the chart into disarray for extended periods—months.

That said, this format is one of my new favourites. I also like MACD and a personalised modification of Hull—which mainly uses convergence and divergence of the multiple MAs.

View attachment 9514

Following is my modified Hull approach applied to BRN to keep it relevant. This uses multiple fast and slow period MAs. The fast MAs I use are 3,5,7,9,11, and 13 and the slow MAs are 21,24,27,30,33, and 36. I have added Heiken-Ashi to show how the two work nicely together. With Heineken-Ashi surprisingly having far less lag but showing more false reversals.



View attachment 9516
No problem Slymeat, I'm happy to have introduced something of value 👍

There are many dozens of different charting tools and indicators and anyone wishing to use charting, for a better view of what's happening, should just play with and try the different ones.
Choosing the ones that "speak" to them the best.

I'm a complete amateur and like to keep things simple, which is why I chose the ones I use.
 
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chapman89

Founding Member
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cosors

👀
Thanks for this! I like how understandable they both talk. And it's fascinating for me how far-sighted PVDM is and he 9a before predicts what Brainchip has brought to the market in 2022!

___
I can't get it out of my head that in 2013 he said what they were going to do in 2022 and they delivered on the dot. That's mind blowing when it comes to reaching milestones in a startup. Who else delivers that reliably?
boom-mind-blown.gif
 
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Foxdog

Regular
Well after last night on the NASDAQ I think the butt hurt is going to be strong today. It's going to be a tough 6 to 12 months on the markets until Ukraine wins the war and inflation returns to acceptable levels (watch China and Taiwan though, this could change everything). What I've learnt in the past is unless you've sold before the 'crash' then ignore the noise and hold tight - there will always be a recovery, usually to higher levels. Holding BRN throughout should eclipse any previous and current investment losses 10 fold - I'm personally thinking 'wait until 2025 to feel comfortable again'. Notwithstanding all that it will be interesting to see price action after inclusion in the ASX 200.

Personal musings only, not investment advice. Have a good weekend all 😉
 
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Thanks for this! I like how understandable they both talk. And it fascinating for me how far-sighted PVDM is and he 9a before predicts what Brainchip has brought to the market in 2022!

___
I can't get it out of my head that in 2013 he said what they were going to do in 2022 and they delivered on the dot. That's mind blowing when it comes to reaching milestones in a startup. Who else delivers that reliably?
View attachment 9518
And that is why the long term visionary shareholders believe.

It is just that simple.

My opinion only DYOR
FF

AKIDA BALLISTA
 
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cosors

👀
And that is why the long term visionary shareholders believe.

It is just that simple.

My opinion only DYOR
FF

AKIDA BALLISTA
Please forgive my naivety.

I have one more general question. I'm not social media affin. Yesterday I flew over the AISIC rules regarding social media. And today I have read through the terms and rules here again. I understand it that our rules clearly state that blanket statements posted here are not advice. You end almost all of your posts with - my opinion and DYOR. I think it is clear and unambiguous that we are all not analysts, we don't time stamp or give our clear name like journalists do, so no disclaimer. So do I always have to say DYOR when I write for example blue is the most beautiful color in the world or Akida will be ubiquitous?

Just my opinion DYOR?
 
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BaconLover

Founding Member
Please forgive my naivety.

I have one more general question. I'm not social media affin. Yesterday I flew over the AISIC rules regarding social media. And today I have read through the terms and rules here again. I understand it that our rules clearly state that blanket statements posted here are not advice. You end almost all of your posts with - my opinion and DYOR. I think about that as phrases as it is clear and unambiguous that we are all not analysts, we don't time stamp or give our clear name like journalists do, so no disclaimer. So do I always have to say DYOR when I write for example blue is the most beautiful color in the world or Akida will be ubiquitous?

Just my opinion DYOR?
Our lovely Zeebot has already put a disclaimer at the bottom for us so we don't need to repeat but feel free to if you like doing so.
 
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Well after last night on the NASDAQ I think the butt hurt is going to be strong today. It's going to be a tough 6 to 12 months on the markets until Ukraine wins the war and inflation returns to acceptable levels (watch China and Taiwan though, this could change everything). What I've learnt in the past is unless you've sold before the 'crash' then ignore the noise and hold tight - there will always be a recovery, usually to higher levels. Holding BRN throughout should eclipse any previous and current investment losses 10 fold - I'm personally thinking 'wait until 2025 to feel comfortable again'. Notwithstanding all that it will be interesting to see price action after inclusion in the ASX 200.

Personal musings only, not investment advice. Have a good weekend all 😉
Further to the above I was just reading an article about where the US is at and it is just one persons opinion but the following paragraph is interesting:

“At this point, it’s also worthwhile to remind investors about the nature of bear markets. While the typical definition is a 20% market fall, I prefer the legendary investor Howard Marks’s old-school definition of a bear market – “nerve-wracking”! A bear market is a curious beast; they are genuinely only definable in hindsight, and they take a significant amount of skill and conviction to manage through (successfully). They are not as our memories might suggest – a straight line – for instance, since the 1960s there have been 10 bear markets in the S&P500, totalling 114 months in length. The S&P 500 average monthly return for these months is -2.2%, however almost one-in-three of the months during these bear markets delivered a positive, averaging +3.4%. Plus, the month that signalled the end of a bear market (only in hindsight) averaged a massive +7.5% return. Bear market rallies can hurt if under-invested!”

Assuming the stats referred to are correct then the average bear market has lasted 11.4 months.

This writer and others have a view that the Bear Market in the US commenced 5 months ago so based on the average it has about 6.4 months left to run.

Again based on the average we should see two positive months at least during the 6.4 months then a recovery.

Now if the average holds then the 6.4 months will coincide with the last quarter 4C due end of January, 2023 which is when we have an expectation of income growth starting to appear.

So one might think that these two events if they coincide could be a significant BRN share price recovery catalyst.

Despite all the negatives in play the economic drivers that do not seem to be likely to go away are:

1. High tech defence spending.

2. Electric vehicle adoption by 2030.

3. Edge computing transition.

4. Energy conservation and efficiency.

5. Technology driven medical services.

6. Cybersecurity.

There are always winners and losers when adverse economic headwinds occur. If you are in the right place and set up to capitalise then you will emerge a winner.

The question is whether Brainchip is in the right place and set up ready to win.

Factors in its favour:

1. Technology lead across all the relevant areas where growth seems assured.

2. Strong commercialisation team in place.

3. Established strong commercial partnerships.

4. No debt.

5. Well capitalised through to 2024 at least.

My opinion only DYOR
FF

AKIDA BALLISTA
 
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Please forgive my naivety.

I have one more general question. I'm not social media affin. Yesterday I flew over the AISIC rules regarding social media. And today I have read through the terms and rules here again. I understand it that our rules clearly state that blanket statements posted here are not advice. You end almost all of your posts with - my opinion and DYOR. I think it is clear and unambiguous that we are all not analysts, we don't time stamp or give our clear name like journalists do, so no disclaimer. So do I always have to say DYOR when I write for example blue is the most beautiful color in the world or Akida will be ubiquitous?

Just my opinion DYOR?
I have had a mission which I embarked upon over on HC back in 2018 to encourage every retail investor to do their own research and not take the anonymous opinion of anyone on social media as accurate until they have fact checked what they have written.

My point has been and continues to be that even the best most reliable person you know in the world can read something and form an opinion which when you read the same thing you disagree with their interpretation.

If you are investing your money you cannot afford to take anything for granted least of all anonymous posts on HC or here and you need to do your own research.

Regards
FF

AKIDA BALLISTA
 
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Esq.111

Fascinatingly Intuitive.
Good Morning Chippers,

Should be a exciting day.

This being the last day for Index Balanced / Weighted Funds to acquire BRN stock due to our inclusion into the ASX200.

Something to ponder...

$, Some funds will already hold BRN stock due to our inclusion into the ASX300 some time ago, but thay will be required to buy more to balance their ASX200 index tracking fund.

$$, Completely new funds , which only deal with ASX200 companys and larger, will be taking new positions within our company.

Some fun figures....

BRAINCHIP total listed & unlisted shares is roughly 1,800,000,000 shares.
So if funds , NATIONAL & INTERNATIONAl, have to buy say 5% ( ????? ) Of our stock this is roughly 90,000,000 shares TODAY, to balance their tracking portfolios trading on Monday 20th June.

Don't let their manipulation throughout today mess with your head.
Remember Instotutional funds CAN, WILL & DO execute trades after the market has shut.


Have a plan and stick to it.

I AM EXCITED .
😊
Woo Hooo.

HOLD ONTO YOUR CHIPS CHIPPERS.

Regards,
Esq.
 
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cosors

👀
I have had a mission which I embarked upon over on HC back in 2018 to encourage every retail investor to do their own research and not take the anonymous opinion of anyone on social media as accurate until they have fact checked what they have written.

My point has been and continues to be that even the best most reliable person you know in the world can read something and form an opinion which when you read the same thing you disagree with their interpretation.

If you are investing your money you cannot afford to take anything for granted least of all anonymous posts on HC or here and you need to do your own research.

Regards
FF

AKIDA BALLISTA
I understand that. We had a very very good TLG group. But questions came up that no one could answer. I didn't dare to post for over half a year, I'm a bit shy. But I wanted to know where the problem was. So I did my own research and bit into the subject, drilling deeper and deeper down the rabbit hole, and finaly found. When the group was destroyed I followed here. But I often looked over at your group
since I had a few shares. Your profound research let me sell everything I did not know as well as you with BRN and took the money and focused it. I have never been so calm. I just need tse 💘
 
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Xhosa12345

Regular
Further to the above I was just reading an article about where the US is at and it is just one persons opinion but the following paragraph is interesting:

“At this point, it’s also worthwhile to remind investors about the nature of bear markets. While the typical definition is a 20% market fall, I prefer the legendary investor Howard Marks’s old-school definition of a bear market – “nerve-wracking”! A bear market is a curious beast; they are genuinely only definable in hindsight, and they take a significant amount of skill and conviction to manage through (successfully). They are not as our memories might suggest – a straight line – for instance, since the 1960s there have been 10 bear markets in the S&P500, totalling 114 months in length. The S&P 500 average monthly return for these months is -2.2%, however almost one-in-three of the months during these bear markets delivered a positive, averaging +3.4%. Plus, the month that signalled the end of a bear market (only in hindsight) averaged a massive +7.5% return. Bear market rallies can hurt if under-invested!”

Assuming the stats referred to are correct then the average bear market has lasted 11.4 months.

This writer and others have a view that the Bear Market in the US commenced 5 months ago so based on the average it has about 6.4 months left to run.

Again based on the average we should see two positive months at least during the 6.4 months then a recovery.

Now if the average holds then the 6.4 months will coincide with the last quarter 4C due end of January, 2023 which is when we have an expectation of income growth starting to appear.

So one might think that these two events if they coincide could be a significant BRN share price recovery catalyst.

Despite all the negatives in play the economic drivers that do not seem to be likely to go away are:

1. High tech defence spending.

2. Electric vehicle adoption by 2030.

3. Edge computing transition.

4. Energy conservation and efficiency.

5. Technology driven medical services.

6. Cybersecurity.

There are always winners and losers when adverse economic headwinds occur. If you are in the right place and set up to capitalise then you will emerge a winner.

The question is whether Brainchip is in the right place and set up ready to win.

Factors in its favour:

1. Technology lead across all the relevant areas where growth seems assured.

2. Strong commercialisation team in place.

3. Established strong commercial partnerships.

4. No debt.

5. Well capitalised through to 2024 at least.

My opinion only DYOR
FF

AKIDA BALLISTA
Great post FF (like always) Lthers should have nothing to worry about and for the love of god i hope most dont have stop losses.... set your price target and your timeframe and come back then!

Just imo, we cant win against the big boys but keep your shares out of the market !
 
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cosors

👀
I understand that. We had a very very good TLG group. But questions came up that no one could answer. I didn't dare to post for over half a year, I'm a bit shy. But I wanted to know where the problem was. So I did my own research and bit into the subject, drilling deeper and deeper down the rabbit hole, and finaly found. When the group was destroyed I followed here. But I often looked over at your group
since I had a few shares. Your profound research let me sell everything I did not know as well as you with BRN and took the money and focused it. I have never been so calm. I just need tse 💘
That said, do I care? No - Russell2000
Screenshot_2022-06-17-01-30-15-28_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg
 
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Merlin357

Member
This has probably done the rounds before, but if you think your having a bad day, consider this.
In 1976 Ronald Wayne sold his 10% stake in Apple for $2300.00.
It's now worth $70 Billion !!! Good luck to everyone today.
 
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Great post FF (like always) Lthers should have nothing to worry about and for the love of god i hope most dont have stop losses.... set your price target and your timeframe and come back then!

Just imo, we cant win against the big boys but keep your shares out of the market !
Thank you for your kind words.

Older and I mean ancient posters like myself will remember a time when there were independent journalists when journalism was a true profession in its own right.

When a journalist interviewed someone on a subject they were invariably an expert in their particular field and the journalist as a rule did not express an opinion that was left to the Editor in a piece often titled ‘Editors Opinion.’ It was made perfectly clear that it was an opinion not a fact.

Today however even on the ABC we have journalists interviewing other journalists who they describe as the respected journalist Ms or Mr X, Y or Z.

They then engage in a process of expressing their respective opinions as fact without any actual authority or proof of their expertise and without the disclaimer that this is my opinion and I do not have any formal qualifications in science, engineering, economics, international relations etc;

The growth, no explosion of social media, means that most of what we read is now unqualified anonymous opinion. Even when the author is named their qualification and experience remains unverified.

We all laugh about @chapman89 having established an online identity as a Verification Engineer. It is hilarious and we all benefit from the information Jesse uncovers and shares. Thanks Jesse.

However think about how easy it would be to set up a similar identity and spread misinformation and fake opinions.

Windsurfer one day financial guru the next.

Anyway it’s all anonymous opinion of no value until you have done your own research.

End of old guy rant.

FF


AKIDA BALLISTA
 
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jla

Regular
Thank you for your kind words.

Older and I mean ancient posters like myself will remember a time when there were independent journalists when journalism was a true profession in its own right.

When a journalist interviewed someone on a subject they were invariably an expert in their particular field and the journalist as a rule did not express an opinion that was left to the Editor in a piece often titled ‘Editors Opinion.’ It was made perfectly clear that it was an opinion not a fact.

Today however even on the ABC we have journalists interviewing other journalists who they describe as the respected journalist Ms or Mr X, Y or Z.

They then engage in a process of expressing their respective opinions as fact without any actual authority or proof of their expertise and without the disclaimer that this is my opinion and I do not have any formal qualifications in science, engineering, economics, international relations etc;

The growth, no explosion of social media, means that most of what we read is now unqualified anonymous opinion. Even when the author is named their qualification and experience remains unverified.

We all laugh about @chapman89 having established an online identity as a Verification Engineer. It is hilarious and we all benefit from the information Jesse uncovers and shares. Thanks Jesse.

However think about how easy it would be to set up a similar identity and spread misinformation and fake opinions.

Windsurfer one day financial guru the next.

Anyway it’s all anonymous opinion of no value until you have done your own research.

End of old guy rant.

FF


AKIDA BALLISTA
Allso the great word (COULD) this word then covers them from there Bulldust.
 
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Further to the above I was just reading an article about where the US is at and it is just one persons opinion but the following paragraph is interesting:

“At this point, it’s also worthwhile to remind investors about the nature of bear markets. While the typical definition is a 20% market fall, I prefer the legendary investor Howard Marks’s old-school definition of a bear market – “nerve-wracking”! A bear market is a curious beast; they are genuinely only definable in hindsight, and they take a significant amount of skill and conviction to manage through (successfully). They are not as our memories might suggest – a straight line – for instance, since the 1960s there have been 10 bear markets in the S&P500, totalling 114 months in length. The S&P 500 average monthly return for these months is -2.2%, however almost one-in-three of the months during these bear markets delivered a positive, averaging +3.4%. Plus, the month that signalled the end of a bear market (only in hindsight) averaged a massive +7.5% return. Bear market rallies can hurt if under-invested!”

Assuming the stats referred to are correct then the average bear market has lasted 11.4 months.

This writer and others have a view that the Bear Market in the US commenced 5 months ago so based on the average it has about 6.4 months left to run.

Again based on the average we should see two positive months at least during the 6.4 months then a recovery.

Now if the average holds then the 6.4 months will coincide with the last quarter 4C due end of January, 2023 which is when we have an expectation of income growth starting to appear.

So one might think that these two events if they coincide could be a significant BRN share price recovery catalyst.

Despite all the negatives in play the economic drivers that do not seem to be likely to go away are:

1. High tech defence spending.

2. Electric vehicle adoption by 2030.

3. Edge computing transition.

4. Energy conservation and efficiency.

5. Technology driven medical services.

6. Cybersecurity.

There are always winners and losers when adverse economic headwinds occur. If you are in the right place and set up to capitalise then you will emerge a winner.

The question is whether Brainchip is in the right place and set up ready to win.

Factors in its favour:

1. Technology lead across all the relevant areas where growth seems assured.

2. Strong commercialisation team in place.

3. Established strong commercial partnerships.

4. No debt.

5. Well capitalised through to 2024 at least.

My opinion only DYOR
FF

AKIDA BALLISTA
Encouraging words when you are looking for a way for the US economy to recover:

VW U.S. chief warns of industry challenges with EV battery shift​

By David Shepardson - 3h ago
ReactComments|

© Reuters/FABIAN BIMMER

1655425647436.png

By David Shepardson
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Volkswagen AG's top U.S. executive said on Thursday the United States faces major challenges in ramping up battery production to facilitate a shift to electric vehicles including attracting skilled workers, mining for key metals and supply chain issues.
Scott Keogh, chief executive of Volkswagen Group of America, told an Automotive News forum in Washington that the move to EVs is the single biggest "industrial transformation in America."

Automakers and battery companies are committing tens of billions of dollars to building new battery plants and EV assembly plants throughout North America as they scale up electric vehicle production.
This move, focusing on vehicles powered by advanced new batteries rather than gasoline, requires the United States to overcome a series of challenges, Keogh said.

These challenges include attracting enough skilled workers, dramatically boosting and facilitating U.S. mining for critical minerals to produce the lithium batteries for EVs, supply chain issues and more broadly addressing healthcare, education and infrastructure, Keogh said.
Keogh told Reuters on the sidelines of the forum that potentially hundreds of thousands of people could be employed by 2030 in U.S. battery industry production.
"It comes down to labour, it comes down to the infrastructure, it comes down to the investment," Keogh said.
 
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