VUL General Discussion 2022

JohnMaz

Emerged
It's seems me that after all the grief with the JCAP situation and shorters recently over on HC, that fellow VUL holders could benefit from this forum as a better moderated platform. I'm afraid I'm not the best one to start this thread, but hopefully others with better knowledge will get this going.

Things we are anticipating fairly soon.

DFS coming soon

Model Plant that will prove production will work - after all we already bought a brine extraction plant ready to provide lithium enriched brine.

Great management doing what they say they will do.
 
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krugerrands

Regular
That HC forum is very quiet currently.
But it is very likely that underhanded action took place and while the price was high, heaps of downrampers.

Even now after the court ordered J Cap report may not be disseminated by anyone HC still have the TMH article pinned in the Corporate spotlight.
It is the first thing you see on the mobile.

Dual listing on Frankfurt Stock Exchange Prime Standard is due "first half" of Feb 22
 
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krugerrands

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krugerrands

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2 Feb aggregated shorts outstanding 5,448,737

1644314594578.png
 
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krugerrands

Regular
FSE listing update - trading 15 Feb

1644377123195.png
 
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JohnMaz

Emerged
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krugerrands

Regular
Timelines from latest company presentation

1644807565360.png
 

krugerrands

Regular
Near-term events.
  • Insheim formal handover 1 January 2022

  • Expanded laboratory to be opened in early 2022

  • The DLE section of the Demo Plant is targeted to commence operation in Q2 2022

    Will represent an approximately 1:200 scale of the first commercial plant.
    Phase 1 is 15Ktpa LiOH.
    Would the Demo plant produce 75 tpa then?
    This to me is the real test of the flowsheet and extraction methods chosen by Vulcan.
    Working at scale and proof of the durability of any materials. ( which will affect viability )

  • Phase 1 DFS due in H2 2022 followed by financing
 
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krugerrands

Regular
Shorts have not been using the macro event to reduce their positions, greedy.
They must really be betting on the Demo plant / DFS to flop?
Or are they waiting for the financing?
Dunno the game plan but they are still increasing their position.

22- Feb Aggregated shorts.
Shorted Shares
6,241,407 (4.74%)
Open Short Value
$53.61m ($1.13b market cap)
Days To Cover
7.08
Short Rank
28th (28/716)


Increasing position is not really pushing the price down.
28 Jan trading at ~$8.8 with 3.69% shorts outstanding
22 Feb trading at $8.8 with 4.74% shorts outstanding
1646098251706.png
 

krugerrands

Regular
Near-term events.
  • Insheim formal handover 1 January 2022

  • Expanded laboratory to be opened in early 2022

  • The DLE section of the Demo Plant is targeted to commence operation in Q2 2022

    Will represent an approximately 1:200 scale of the first commercial plant.
    Phase 1 is 15Ktpa LiOH.
    Would the Demo plant produce 75 tpa then?
    This to me is the real test of the flowsheet and extraction methods chosen by Vulcan.
    Working at scale and proof of the durability of any materials. ( which will affect viability )

  • Phase 1 DFS due in H2 2022 followed by financing

Update:
New lab is now open ( 23 Feb )

Our team continues to successfully demonstrate multi-cycle sorption tests on Upper Rhine Valley geothermal brine using multiple commercially available aluminate-based sorbents, including from our partners such as DuPont. All sorbents have demonstrated >90% lithium recovery, in line with the assumptions used in the Pre-Feasbility Study.

Offsite lithium electrolysis test work is also ongoing. Following the signing of our collaboration agreement in January 2022, we are working closely with Nobian to build and operate our electrolysis demo plant at the Frankfurt site in the second half of the year.

Led by Vulcan’s in-house team and supported Hatch Ltd, the Lithium Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) is due to be finalised in the second half of 2022.


The team are proving the durability of the sorbtion materials.
AFAIK one of the the key areas they want to still optimise is the process for pre-treatment of the brine.

Next up is the Demo plant proving this process at scale as well as the electrolysis from LiCl to LMH.
This is where the Nobian partnership is coming in .

Then later in the year the DFS is due.
 
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JohnMaz

Emerged
Message regarding the yearly report received by email today from Chair and CEO.

link or read below.

Dear Friends,

Today we released our H1 FY22 Report. Vulcan has achieved significant project milestones during the half-year ended 31 December 2021, as the Company remains focused on delivering the Zero Carbon Lithium™ Project, targeting phase one lithium production in 2024.

Your Chair, Gavin Rezos, and I have also taken the opportunity to reflect on the current world events and share our thoughts on the energy crisis in Europe. We believe geothermal renewable energy can and will play an important part in achieving Europe and Germany’s energy security and independence. Our message is below, and I hope you have a chance to read it.

As always, thank you for your support.

Dr Francis Wedin

A Message from the Chair and CEO

At Vulcan, the foundation of our business is to enable the decarbonisation of energy supply in Europe, as well as the decarbonisation of battery raw materials for the electrification of transport in Europe. We do this for the benefit of our shareholders, local communities, employees, customers and as part of the solution to the effects of climate change.

As the world has witnessed over the last few weeks, energy security in Europe is being held hostage by Russia, resulting in reverberating geo-political impacts globally, but more keenly felt in Germany which has built a reliance on Russian energy. European citizens and industry, especially in Germany, recognise the threat to their economy, jobs, well-being, and prosperity, as they see large increases in energy bills. They are demanding from their elected representatives that they regain their energy independence, whilst also decarbonising the same energy supply. Already we are seeing new policies from Germany and Europe prioritising the rapid growth of renewable energy sources in response to the magnitude of the energy threat, including geothermal.

Geothermal renewable energy on a mass scale, combined with lithium extraction from the same deep geothermal source, can and will play an important part in achieving Europe and Germany’s energy security and independence. Geothermal heating can reduce reliance on Russian energy.

Fraunhofer, the leading applied research institute in Europe, recently produced a study commissioned by the German government, that showed a quarter of Germany’s heating needs could be supplied by deep geothermal reservoirs, while shallow geothermal heating, using heat pumps, could supply more than 60% of Germany heating needs by 2050.

Vulcan Energy Resources is focused on working with the German government and other European governments to support the development and utilisation of efficient and zero carbon geothermal energy to enhance energy security and neutralise the growing threat on energy and battery metals supply from geopolitical events.

Turning to our results, the first half of FY 2022 has been an important period for Vulcan as we continue to develop our Zero Carbon Lithium™ Project and execute on our plan to build a fully integrated renewable energy and battery-quality lithium chemicals project in Europe. We are swiftly capitalising on strategic opportunities to ensure timely project development.

The Insheim plant acquisition is a significant first step in establishing Vulcan as a revenue generating, renewable energy producer, and Vulcan intends to build several further distributed geothermal renewable energy plants across the Upper Rhine Valley region. Discussions with multiple local stakeholders to provide renewable heating to communities are ongoing. Ultimately, these plants should also provide us with a pathway to sustainable lithium chemicals production for the European electric vehicle industry. We also moved to purchase two deep drilling rigs to ensure we can execute on this large-scale geothermal-lithium development. At a time when Germany is seeking to decarbonise its heating and deploy widespread deep geothermal development, these are strategic assets for Vulcan.

Europe is the world’s fastest growing electric vehicle and lithium-ion battery production centre, yet currently has no local production of lithium chemicals. Our binding, definitive lithium offtake agreements with Volkswagen Group, Stellantis, Umicore and Renault Group, and most recently with LG Energy Solution, ensures we have a diversified mix of offtakers from the cathode, battery and automotive sectors. The quality and diversity of our lithium offtakers is unmatched by our peers, a reflection of the environmental and strategic importance of the project. Importantly, the partnerships are consistent with Vulcan’s strategy to meet Europe’s demand gap, while working with Tier One companies in the EU market.

Our core mission is to build shareholder value by having a materially decarbonising effect on the lithium supply chain for battery electric vehicles, and on energy production in Europe. To do this, we aim to further grow our Zero Carbon Lithium™ Project. Our recent 3D seismic data acquisition, together with the newly granted exploration licenses, give us significant potential to rapidly advance and further scale up our project as the market continues to grow. In response to significant customer demand, we are targeting completion of our Phase 1 DFS in H2 2022, to accommodate the inclusion of more project areas into expanded production studies. The DFS is progressing well. However, because of the ongoing invasion of Ukraine and the aftereffects of the pandemic, we are seeing highly disrupted supply chains, as well as rapidly rising inflation, interest rates and commodity prices. We are expecting the cost of some of our materials for our project development to increase in the short term, and supply chain disruption may also influence our planned timeline. Importantly, government prioritisations may minimise potential short-term impacts. We will keep our shareholders informed and will provide an update once we have greater clarity on this fast-moving global dynamic.

The successful production of the first battery quality lithium hydroxide monohydrate (LHM) sample from Vulcan’s piloting operations, together with securing the site for our planned Central Lithium Plant (CLP) and opening our new laboratory in Karlsruhe-Durlach, are important milestones and demonstrate our commitment to methodically progress, de-risk and execute on our project plan.

Environmental, Social and Governance matters, or “ESG”, are also foundation stones of Vulcan, and we are focused on expanding our ESG goals in the business. We are increasing our engagement with the community, as we seek to build trust and understanding in the regions in which we plan to operate. Our dual listing on the regulated market of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange is part of our concerted strategy to foster widespread public acceptance of our project in the Upper Rhine Valley. Vulcan’s peerless environmental credentials are also an important part of building community support. The Zero Carbon Lithium™ Project is designed to have the highest environmental performance, with the lowest impacts, of any lithium project anywhere in the world. This was reconfirmed with our updated Life Cycle Assessment completed in August 2021.

Our uncompromising approach to the climate and the environment, has allowed us to attract and grow a world- leading scientific, commercial and professional organisation. I would like to thank the team who together are working towards what is likely to be the first raw materials and renewable energy project with net zero greenhouse gas emissions in the world. As the global decarbonisation effort ramps up, Vulcan is focused on delivering the Zero Carbon Lithium™ Project, targeting phase one production in 2024. We stand committed to helping ensure Europe’s and Germany’s energy independence and security of supply of sustainably sourced battery metals.
 
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Slymeat

Move on, nothing to see.
It seems that HotCrapper member Lightwaver is continuing to fly Vulcan’s flag by showing proof of progress in the faces of nay-sayers. He seems to live in Germany and has posted photos, I believe taken by himself, proving that the demonstration plant in Landau is making brilliant progress.

He posted a pdf containing a few photos, but I will respect his watermark asking for these not to be distributed. The following picture he posted with no such protection request so I feel comfortable sharing it here.

His wording to support this is: “Just have a look onto this wonderful picture on top of my
post - from yesterday. If this doesn’t look like progress??” He made this post this morning: 7am 14 Mar 2022


1647212319193.jpeg
 
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Slymeat

Move on, nothing to see.
Here’s an interesting podcast involving Francis Wedin, managing director at Vulcan Energy Resources (ASX:VUL). I think it is well worth a listen.

https://player.whooshkaa.com/episode?id=1005371

What I found extremely interesting is the fact that their Lithium will be extracted at a NEGATIVE cost.

Forget about the zero carbon footprint, it actually has a negative carbon footprint and makes money from the extraction process.

All energy requirements to process the brine to extract Lithium is sourced from within the embodied energy (heat) of the brine itself with excess being sold off for heating. With that sale covering all operation costs and turning a profit by itself.

Plus the brine is under sufficient pressure to come to the surface with no need for pumping.

In a nutshell, Vulcan will make money even if it sells no Lithium.
 
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krugerrands

Regular
Bemused.....shorts still hanging in there, price creeping up.

1659688266363.png

Meanwhile looks like VUL is continuing to put the puzzle pieces together, some good announcements concerning the different parts of the business recently.
 

krugerrands

Regular
Update:
New lab is now open ( 23 Feb )




The team are proving the durability of the sorbtion materials.
AFAIK one of the the key areas they want to still optimise is the process for pre-treatment of the brine.

Next up is the Demo plant proving this process at scale as well as the electrolysis from LiCl to LMH.
This is where the Nobian partnership is coming in .

Then later in the year the DFS is due.

Nice update today, even though some date have slipped from earlier projections

Project timeline and budget

• Vulcan’s internal surface engineering team, VEE, remains on track to start cold commissioning
of the Sorption-Demo Plant in late 2022, ahead of starting operation in early 2023.

• In-house drilling company Vercana continues to target operational readiness in early 2023 for the
electric drills, which is likely to be early Q2 2023.

• The DFS for Phase 1 of the Zero Carbon Lithium™ Project is progressing, with an updated Pre-
Feasibility Study (PFS) for Phase 2 targeted for completion at the same time. While the Company
is working hard to achieve its H2 2022 target, the completion date is likely to be in Q1 2023.



Glad they finally highlight in an anouncement some of the key reasons I invested here.

Typically other "DLE" type implementation have the issue of being too energy intensive and uses lots of water - in places where water is scarse.
Just look at the other hopefulls and the actual results - like for example Rincon which Rio Tinto just bought a few months ago been going for years and still way off. But look closer at their "DLE" results and problems.
Also see comment from incumbents and experts that have looked at alternative processes to their current commercial operations.

Here the energy requirements for the processes is significantly reduced because the brine is already hot.
Add to that the fact that they will be producing their own renewable energy to make up any shortfall and it is just beautiful if it comes together.

Sorption-type DLE includes several key advantages compared to traditional brine evaporation
including higher lithium recovery, lower water and chemicals consumption, shorter lead time to
production and minimal land footprint. -
Typical "DLE" sales pitch.
Critically, since sorption-type DLE typically requires the brine to be hot, Vulcan intends to use
the heat already embodied in the waste brine stream from its geothermal renewable energy
operations, removing the requirement to heat the brine with natural gas as happens at other
commercial operations worldwide. This represents a significant financial and greenhouse gas

emissions saving, and enables the technology to be used on lower grade lithium brines compared
to salars


Looking forward to see the sorption process material durability and scalability proven at larger scale in the demo together with LiLy to really prove out the flowsheet.
 

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  • VUL_Zero_Carbon_Lithium_Project_Update.pdf
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krugerrands

Regular
CommSec Executive Series interview
Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL) CEO, Dr Francis Wedin, speaks with Tom Piotrowski about the global transition to renewable energy, demand for lithium and its partnership with European automaker Stellantis.

 
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ACinEur

Regular
Interesting post on Vulcan LinkedIn profile, Investor Day outtakes from a team that went on site… positive, some delay, DLE is ‘hard’ but staying long term holders… sorry link won’t post
 

krugerrands

Regular

Germany's Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE), while lagging behind Tesla, has ambitious plans through the end of the decade, targeting well over $100 billion to build out its global EV portfolio, add new battery "gigafactories" in Europe and North America and lock up supplies of key raw materials.

BMW (BMWG.DE), Stellantis (STLA.MI) and General Motors (GM.N) each plan to spend at least $35 billion on EVs and batteries, with Stellantis laying out the most aggressive battery program: A planned 400 gigawatt-hours of capacity with partners by 2030, including four plants in North America.



Some VULCAN customers/shareholder mentioned....
 
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krugerrands

Regular
Market liked the last update.....annoucement attached.
Well, either the market liked it or some shorters are getting cold feet. hahahah

The latest material produced graded 57.1% LiOH, easily exceeding the best-on-the-market battery grade specification of 56.5% LiOH required from offtake customers. Impurities were well below market specification minimums.

Managing Director and CEO, Dr. Francis Wedin commented, “As our DFS draws towards its conclusion, we are encouraged by these latest highest grades and lowest impurities recorded to date, from LiCl production from our pilot plant, with electrolysis conducted offsite. The embodied renewable heat within our brine means we are able to leverage sorption, a commercially proven process to extract lithium from brines that requires heat to work. Sorption is highly selective, which means that we can produce a very pure LiCl eluate. This in turn means we are able to use lithium electrolysis, a method of producing lithium hydroxide directly which by its nature produces a very pure product, in excess of the purity required for use in Electric Vehicle (EV) batteries, with minimal reagent usage.
“Works are continuing apace on our Demo Plant and DFS, and we are looking forward to sharing further updates with our stakeholders in the coming months, as we continue to execute towards our target of first commercial production from our Zero Carbon Lithium™ Project in 2025.”



As I mentioned before, a few differentiators for me in VUL from other "DLE" hopefulls.

They are not using some new novel process, just putting it together in a novel way.

Energy and water usage being key problem areas for other operations....especially in the middle of a desert.

The brine is heated AND VUL will be generating it's own electricity from renewable source - this pushes up the capex but makes the process green and lower opex....bigger profits down the line.

I would prefer that this process gets done from the Demo plant soon and we can get clarity on the scale of the operations in kg....preferrably tons :)

If you look at the shorts vs price chart it looks like an ink blot test..... almost symmetrical.
I wonder how much trading on VUL is NOT short and short covering.
These people are just selling and buying amongst themselves - lol.

10,193,936 reported short as of 18th October.
Days to cover on current average volume 24.62.

Over 1M of those shorts added at/below ~$8 - brave.

Wonder what is the plan?
We already had interest rate rises and the Ukraine war.... still not closing out on these gifted opportunities.

Stellantis investing was great.
Stellantis (STLA.MI) and General Motors (GM.N) each plan to spend at least $35 billion on EVs and batteries, with Stellantis laying out the most aggressive battery program: A planned 400 gigawatt-hours of capacity with partners by 2030, including four plants in North America.

The DFS is around the corner.
Demo plant is around the corner.

The cretins are running out of road and the noose is tightening ... at least in my opinion.
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  • 20221024_VUL_Highest_Grade_Lowest_Impurity_LiOH_produced_from_ZCL.pdf
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Slymeat

Move on, nothing to see.
Morgan Stanley have acquired more shares and have now become a significant holder. They now hold direct shares and instruments that give them 5.6% voting rights.

I find that to be a vote of confidence in the company.

 
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